There are a lot of reasons to like this game. But perhaps the best is that this game is really the start of the postseason. A playoff berth isn't on the line, per se, but the winner of this game is going to have taken a big step toward locking up that No. 8 slot. If Phoenix wins they will be tied with Denver with seven games to play and have an edge because of the tiebreaker. If Denver wins they will have a two-game lead with seven to play and a lot of momentum.
The playoffs mean defense in the NBA. That is why the postseason is more low-scoring and I don't feel that this total reflects what the true tenor of this game is going to be. Sure, there is the potential for 230 points and for this one to go down in flames. But I don't think that will be the case here.
The next reason I really like this situation is that the general public has been slow to react to the reality of these two teams. These aren't the same fly-by-the-seat-of-their-pants Suns and Nuggets teams that we saw from 2008-2010. The top end offensive talent is gone and it has been replaced by a bunch of workers. Look at Phoenix's starting lineup for crying out loud: Shannon Brown, Jared Dudley and Marcin Gortat are among the guys getting the most minutes. Denver - which will be without its No. 2 and No. 5 scorers - is being led by Ty Lawson, Arron Afflalo and Andre Miller. Huh? These teams do have balance. But they don't have the scoring punch we have come to expect.
Phoenix is coming off two of their highest offensive outputs in the past month, scoring 107 and 109 against Utah and Sacramento. They have only topped 105 points seven times in their last 30 games, so to do it in back-to-back games is a bit of an aberration. The last time they went off like that in back-to-back games they came out and scored 91 points on the road against the Clippers. Before that they had a run where they scored 104 in three straight games before they went out and scored just 81 aginst the Clips. They are just 8-12 against the total over their last 20 games and just 8-17 aginast the total in their last 25 road games.
Denver is moving the same way. They are just 6-13 against the total in their last 19 as a favorite and the 'under' is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams. Denver is back after a long road trip, and while they will get a boost from the home crowd I don't know that it's enough to get them into the 120 range, especially without Gallinari and Chandler. The Nuggets haven't cracked 100 points but one time in their last four games and have only topped 105 points just six times in their last 28 non-OT games.
The public is chewing this number up, betting the 'over' at nearly a 70 percent rate. But this total is out of whack with what these teams have done lately and all season long. I think that we'll see 204 points in this game. It will be close enough to give us a scare but in the end we should take the cash!
There are a lot of reasons to like this game. But perhaps the best is that this game is really the start of the postseason. A playoff berth isn't on the line, per se, but the winner of this game is going to have taken a big step toward locking up that No. 8 slot. If Phoenix wins they will be tied with Denver with seven games to play and have an edge because of the tiebreaker. If Denver wins they will have a two-game lead with seven to play and a lot of momentum.
The playoffs mean defense in the NBA. That is why the postseason is more low-scoring and I don't feel that this total reflects what the true tenor of this game is going to be. Sure, there is the potential for 230 points and for this one to go down in flames. But I don't think that will be the case here.
The next reason I really like this situation is that the general public has been slow to react to the reality of these two teams. These aren't the same fly-by-the-seat-of-their-pants Suns and Nuggets teams that we saw from 2008-2010. The top end offensive talent is gone and it has been replaced by a bunch of workers. Look at Phoenix's starting lineup for crying out loud: Shannon Brown, Jared Dudley and Marcin Gortat are among the guys getting the most minutes. Denver - which will be without its No. 2 and No. 5 scorers - is being led by Ty Lawson, Arron Afflalo and Andre Miller. Huh? These teams do have balance. But they don't have the scoring punch we have come to expect.
Phoenix is coming off two of their highest offensive outputs in the past month, scoring 107 and 109 against Utah and Sacramento. They have only topped 105 points seven times in their last 30 games, so to do it in back-to-back games is a bit of an aberration. The last time they went off like that in back-to-back games they came out and scored 91 points on the road against the Clippers. Before that they had a run where they scored 104 in three straight games before they went out and scored just 81 aginst the Clips. They are just 8-12 against the total over their last 20 games and just 8-17 aginast the total in their last 25 road games.
Denver is moving the same way. They are just 6-13 against the total in their last 19 as a favorite and the 'under' is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams. Denver is back after a long road trip, and while they will get a boost from the home crowd I don't know that it's enough to get them into the 120 range, especially without Gallinari and Chandler. The Nuggets haven't cracked 100 points but one time in their last four games and have only topped 105 points just six times in their last 28 non-OT games.
The public is chewing this number up, betting the 'over' at nearly a 70 percent rate. But this total is out of whack with what these teams have done lately and all season long. I think that we'll see 204 points in this game. It will be close enough to give us a scare but in the end we should take the cash!
Hey, i just purchased this pick for 29 dollars on docsports.com. Did you get this from the same site? Robert Farringo. Dam unless he took this from you..
Hey, i just purchased this pick for 29 dollars on docsports.com. Did you get this from the same site? Robert Farringo. Dam unless he took this from you..
Hey, i just purchased this pick for 29 dollars on docsports.com. Did you get this from the same site? Robert Farringo. Dam unless he took this from you..
Hey, i just purchased this pick for 29 dollars on docsports.com. Did you get this from the same site? Robert Farringo. Dam unless he took this from you..
I didn't claim it was mine I just copied and pasted for everyone to see man. You don't see me with a lot of posts nor do I claim to be a capper. If you don't want me to post this stuff for everyone then so be it.
I didn't claim it was mine I just copied and pasted for everyone to see man. You don't see me with a lot of posts nor do I claim to be a capper. If you don't want me to post this stuff for everyone then so be it.
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