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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: """"2012 NBA ALL-STAR GAME"""""
44-dimes send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#1
Posted: 2/26/2012 8:08:22 AM
YTD  48-40  ( +16.45 units )

5u  1-0
4u  3-2
3u  11-7
2u  11-14
1u  22-17

EAST/WEST  UNDER 284.5 ( 1 unit )
I think we've all been accused at one time or another on betting a game just to watch it. The Nba All-Star game falls into this category for me at least.
In recent years Pro Sports All-Star games have reached new heights when it comes to wagering on Totals. When i started betting on sports in the late 80's , I recall the Over Unders in the NFL were in the Mid 40's, an NHL hockey game total was usually set at around 12.5 and you'd be looking at NBA O/U of about 165.
Fast forward to 2012 and we are looking at NFL totals in the high 70's, Nhl totals in the high teens and today's NBA total of 284.5 is an all time record high. The reasons are kind of obvious. The game has changed and with serious head injurious and large player contracts at stake, the element of defense or playing hard has been forced out of the game.
For this specific 2011/2012 season , i believe the Under is the correct play here. It's been a season for the UNDERS and you can blame it on the lockout. This prevented player from staying sharp. Handicapping totals in the nba is much more about pace. Nba shooting percentages are down this year and obviously this is a result of a slowed pace due to the dynamics of a condensed schedule.

GOOD LUCK EVERYBODY, ENJOY THE GAME
BEERS FOR EVERYONE.

For anyone betting props. I would suggest fading Derrick Rose in any kind of player  head to head matchup or total points and assists proposition. I don't think he'll play much due to nagging back injury. All-Star game coaching staffs have been informed of this. 
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#2
Posted: 2/26/2012 8:21:10 AM
under
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#3
Posted: 2/26/2012 8:31:05 AM
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#4
Posted: 2/26/2012 8:37:59 AM
will kobe rest too? im thinking east wins this time around
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#5
Posted: 2/26/2012 9:20:51 AM
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#6
Posted: 2/26/2012 9:34:58 AM
GL 44D
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#7
Posted: 2/26/2012 10:07:22 AM
its gonna go over buddy. bol tho.
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#8
Posted: 2/26/2012 10:10:20 AM
Betting the under in an All Star Game
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#9
Posted: 2/26/2012 11:31:19 AM
I AM GOING WITH :

EAST -3.5

OVER 285

ALWAYS GL2ALL   
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#10
Posted: 2/26/2012 11:54:26 AM
GL 44 but they shot 62% in that other game the other night with 1st and 2nd year players and now you have the BEST PLAYERS. Shooting percentage might be down but it has absolutely nothing to do with an ALL STAR GAME where they play absolutely no defense and every single shot is uncontested. Hopefully it stays close like the other time when Lebron took it seriously and really tried to win. However that total is so freakin high they may have to shoot 75% to hit that over. There is only so much time in a game but who knows. I just hope for a close game.
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#11
Posted: 2/26/2012 12:19:25 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Handicapper33:

GL 44 but they shot 62% in that other game the other night with 1st and 2nd year players and now you have the BEST PLAYERS. Shooting percentage might be down but it has absolutely nothing to do with an ALL STAR GAME where they play absolutely no defense and every single shot is uncontested. Hopefully it stays close like the other time when Lebron took it seriously and really tried to win. However that total is so freakin high they may have to shoot 75% to hit that over. There is only so much time in a game but who knows. I just hope for a close game.

GL 33,  I'm not over confiedent. I do like it a little. Excluding OT there has only been one all-star game that has hit 190 or better and that was last year. I think it's  the only play i can make and like i said just to watch the game. It's like you stated, almost every shot in the paint is uncontested,so I'm hoping for a 60 pt quarter and i think it'll be a winner cause I doubt we'll see an 80 quarter which is what they'll need to make up for a 60 point quarter.

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#12
Posted: 2/26/2012 12:31:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 44-dimes:

YTD  48-40  ( +16.45 units )

5u  1-0
4u  3-2
3u  11-7
2u  11-14
1u  22-17

EAST/WEST  UNDER 284.5 ( 1 unit )
I think we've all been accused at one time or another on betting a game just to watch it. The Nba All-Star game falls into this category for me at least.
In recent years Pro Sports All-Star games have reached new heights when it comes to wagering on Totals. When i started betting on sports in the late 80's , I recall the Over Unders in the NFL were in the Mid 40's, an NHL hockey game total was usually set at around 12.5 and you'd be looking at NBA O/U of about 165.
Fast forward to 2012 and we are looking at NFL totals in the high 70's, Nhl totals in the high teens and today's NBA total of 284.5 is an all time record high. The reasons are kind of obvious. The game has changed and with serious head injurious and large player contracts at stake, the element of defense or playing hard has been forced out of the game.
For this specific 2011/2012 season , i believe the Under is the correct play here. It's been a season for the UNDERS and you can blame it on the lockout. This prevented player from staying sharp. Handicapping totals in the nba is much more about pace. Nba shooting percentages are down this year and obviously this is a result of a slowed pace due to the dynamics of a condensed schedule.

GOOD LUCK EVERYBODY, ENJOY THE GAME
BEERS FOR EVERYONE.

For anyone betting props. I would suggest fading Derrick Rose in any kind of player  head to head matchup or total points and assists proposition. I don't think he'll play much due to nagging back injury. All-Star game coaching staffs have been informed of this. 


 
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#13
Posted: 2/26/2012 12:50:22 PM
I'm likely just taking whichever team is the underdog to win.  If I'm playing this meaningless game, I don't want to lay any juice
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#14
Posted: 2/26/2012 12:55:47 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by dhtakemoto:

I'm likely just taking whichever team is the underdog to win.  If I'm playing this meaningless game, I don't want to lay any juice

 A gamblers Philosophy------------When in doubt take the Points.

gl

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#15
Posted: 2/26/2012 1:14:13 PM

I like the under, but because of a different angle. The criticism that the Pro Bowl recieved this year about the lack of efffort was large. Perhaps these types of games might get a bit more competitive. Now in no way am I expecting guys to play defense for a full game, but perhaps we see a slower paced last 5 min. Perhaps a little competition might be implemented. The NBA might avoid the issue the NFL had by learning from their mistake. Then again I could not be more wrong.

Under 284.5

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#16
Posted: 2/26/2012 1:29:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by lakerballah08:

I like the under, but because of a different angle. The criticism that the Pro Bowl recieved this year about the lack of efffort was large. Perhaps these types of games might get a bit more competitive. Now in no way am I expecting guys to play defense for a full game, but perhaps we see a slower paced last 5 min. Perhaps a little competition might be implemented. The NBA might avoid the issue the NFL had by learning from their mistake. Then again I could not be more wrong.

Under 284.5

I agree the NFL all-star game has become a real joke. You make some good points but if you recall last years All-Star game scoring was as follows----1STQ-64 2NDQ-76  3RDQ- 77 and they closed out the last quarter with 74. What I'm hoping for this year is little more peremiter play. I'd rather have them zip the ball around peremiter rather than an end to end pass, lob and dunk fiasco. If this is the case the Under is Doomed.

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#17
Posted: 2/26/2012 2:08:39 PM
Leaning the same as you 44, last years all star game the and '03 are the only games to have totals of 285+.
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#18
Posted: 2/26/2012 2:16:43 PM

Hey 44,

I think the line is actually pretty spot on...I would predict it will be within 3 points either way. So its alittle too close for me to call.

I do like the WEST in this one. So I do have the west +4 n ml n alittle on the 1h.

I also like the tt over 140.5 for the west.

I do like highest scoring quarter for either team UNDER 43.5.

I had the lowest scoring quarter for either team at OVER 17.5 and the wager got accepted BUT the line moved up to 27.5 immediatly so I think that wager will be NULL when all said and done cuz the book will say it was a "wrong line"

If I see anything else I will let u know since the other player props and stuff wont be out til later in my book.

BOL on ur under sir!!

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#19
Posted: 2/26/2012 2:28:08 PM
Thanks for posting Dimes . I hope you have a great second half of the season .
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#20
Posted: 2/26/2012 2:41:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by twodigitz:

Hey 44,

I think the line is actually pretty spot on...I would predict it will be within 3 points either way. So its alittle too close for me to call.

I do like the WEST in this one. So I do have the west +4 n ml n alittle on the 1h.

I also like the tt over 140.5 for the west.

I do like highest scoring quarter for either team UNDER 43.5.

I had the lowest scoring quarter for either team at OVER 17.5 and the wager got accepted BUT the line moved up to 27.5 immediatly so I think that wager will be NULL when all said and done cuz the book will say it was a "wrong line"

If I see anything else I will let u know since the other player props and stuff wont be out til later in my book.

BOL on ur under sir!!

I agree the line is right. I mean what else could they have posted the number at, but if this game goes Over it'll just barely make it. If  I give you a 20 point cushion either way !! What would you rather bet on. The game ladnding on 165 or the game landing on 215 ??

GL

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#21
Posted: 2/26/2012 2:54:30 PM
Best of luck to us , with you all the way on the under.
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#22
Posted: 2/26/2012 3:09:21 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 44-dimes:

I agree the line is right. I mean what else could they have posted the number at, but if this game goes Over it'll just barely make it. If  I give you a 20 point cushion either way !! What would you rather bet on. The game ladnding on 165 or the game landing on 215 ??

GL

 

lol...i think u meant 265 or 305 cuz if u gave me 165 or 215(the numbers u gave me) I will take the OVER all day!

but with 265 I will take the over and with 305 I would take the under.

I agree if it goes over its going to BARELY, and I mean barely go over, if it SAILS over, well I'm really not sure how it will sail over.If u consider 292 sailing over then I guess it can sail over since I CAN NOT see it going over 292 and that is 6 points higher than what I originally capped it at which was 286. 

IF its going to SAIL over the total should end up around 300 if it sails over. that means both teams need to have 75 point quarters, which means EACH team scoring 35+ EVERY quarter? you gotta think there will be at least one, if not 2 sub 35 scoring quarters. Yes, the 2nd or 3rd quarter are very likely to have a 80 point quarter but I mean that has to be some FLAWLESS basketball shooting above 75% the whole quarter and doing that 4 times in a meaningless game?...I think its very unlikely. I would be surprised if this game gets over 292 anything BELOW this number is REASONABLE and can happen.

GL today as I will once again be waiting at halftime to get a better number if the oppurtunity presents itself.

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#23
Posted: 2/26/2012 3:13:42 PM
 Mr. Dimes you will be winning 93 percent of the game, and hopefully will not get caught at the end... Good Luck Bro!!  I hope you win, i will  
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#24
Posted: 2/26/2012 3:23:45 PM
I LIKE WEST & UNDER !!!!!
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#25
Posted: 2/26/2012 3:37:27 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by twodigitz:

 

lol...i think u meant 265 or 305 cuz if u gave me 165 or 215(the numbers u gave me) I will take the OVER all day!

but with 265 I will take the over and with 305 I would take the under.

I agree if it goes over its going to BARELY, and I mean barely go over, if it SAILS over, well I'm really not sure how it will sail over.If u consider 292 sailing over then I guess it can sail over since I CAN NOT see it going over 292 and that is 6 points higher than what I originally capped it at which was 286. 

IF its going to SAIL over the total should end up around 300 if it sails over. that means both teams need to have 75 point quarters, which means EACH team scoring 35+ EVERY quarter? you gotta think there will be at least one, if not 2 sub 35 scoring quarters. Yes, the 2nd or 3rd quarter are very likely to have a 80 point quarter but I mean that has to be some FLAWLESS basketball shooting above 75% the whole quarter and doing that 4 times in a meaningless game?...I think its very unlikely. I would be surprised if this game gets over 292 anything BELOW this number is REASONABLE and can happen.

GL today as I will once again be waiting at halftime to get a better number if the oppurtunity presents itself.

My bad !!! Let me rephrase the question ? If i already new the outcome and i told you it's either a 265 or 315 ? What would be your answer.

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