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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Trap Play of The Day (Feb. 6)
TrapPlayah send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 2/6/2012 5:14:30 AM
7 - 1 (+10.2 units)


Superbowl is over and we're now back to our regular capping. On to the games.




UTA @ NYK -4 (2 units)

Utah, like Portland, is a horrible road team.  Their only wins was a squeaker against Golden State and a 10 point win against Denver wherein Ty Lawson, Aaron "the brickmaster" Afflalo, and Gallo shot way below their average. Not to mention Paul Millsap went ham on them.

New York, on the other hand, has been on a slide lately. But a late resurgence the past 4 games garnered them a tightly contested match against Chicago and Boston(a game where they should have won SU) and a couple of wins against Detroit and New Jersey. AND! There is hope for New York, the team's savior may emerge in the name of little-used-and-little-known guard Jeremy Lin. Lin demolished Deron Williams in their matchup en route to a career night and he was partly the reason why the Knicks were able to catch up against the Nets.

This game will be critical and it will all depend on D'Antoni's leadership as a coach and his utilization of his new found weapon. I strongly feel that if he makes Lin a starter, he may lose his effectiveness as an effective back up point guard  a-la Jr Smith effectiveness from the bench. If I were D'Antoni, I would still have the same starting lineup but I will utilize Lin on short bursts during the 2nd quarter and for much of the 4th quarter where a point guard's leadership is usually relied on(something the knicks didnt have all season long).

I might be ahead of myself when I say this, but the Knick's playoff run and Jeremy Lin's rise this year depends on the outcome of this game. Baron Davis' return is uncertain, and a lot of burden is now placed on Lin and D'Antoni. There is much doubt for this team, but I expect them to win by more than 10 points this game.




LAC @ ORL +1  (1 unit)

Come on, this is a blatant disrespect to Orlando. The Clippers are not a very good road team in reality and the reason they won against Utah and Denver on the road was because of bullshit calls by the referee late in the game. A lot of cappers got fucked up because of that.

The fact that Orlando is imploding should not be a factor in this game. Yes they have been on a slide, but lately they have regained composure and it seems to me that the people around Dwight have accepted the fact that he will be gone post all star break and they're now utlizing Dwight's power for as long as possible. The past slides of Orlando is not because of Dwight (he played well in that stretch) but mainly because the players around him are visibly affected. Ryan Anderson has been taking less shots to accomodate Dwight in a seemingly feeble attempt to make Dwight understand that this is Howard's team.

The Clippers have been playing well truly because of their CP3 and the combo of Griffin/Jordan. With a lack of a point guard for Orlando, CP3 is expected to put up points for the team but he will surely have a hard time imposing the moniker "lob city" here. Howard wont allow the high flyers to do as they please. Matchup for Matchup, Orlando is better at every position except the PG and possibly the PF position. And didnt I mention this is Orlando's homecourt?

Expect a close game which may very well be determined in the last possession, but I'm confident Orlando pulls out the win in this one.



Other plays to be posted later, I got stuff to do.

leans:
Atlanta
Lakers
Washington
New Jersey
Portland (another play for the day, to be explained later)
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lts41
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Posted: 2/6/2012 5:17:06 AM
BOL! 
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Posted: 2/6/2012 5:49:23 AM
like nyk
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Posted: 2/6/2012 6:14:02 AM
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Posted: 2/6/2012 8:09:00 AM

Knicks playoff run = getting WAY ahead of yourself.

BOL, but the lines today are fishier than Madonna's leg spreading performance last night. Think I'll lay off.

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Posted: 2/6/2012 8:10:27 AM
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Posted: 2/6/2012 8:55:17 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rangershomer:

Knicks playoff run = getting WAY ahead of yourself.

BOL, but the lines today are fishier than Madonna's leg spreading performance last night. Think I'll lay off.


thanks for actually reading the garbage i wrote
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Posted: 2/6/2012 9:29:22 AM
OKC @ POR +1.5  (2 units)

The public is on Oklahoma? They dont watch Portland home games do they?

Oklahoma has the best record and the NBA, and has a good road record at 9-4(7-6 ATS). But lets look at the real facts here. Most of their wins in the road have been from pipsqueak teams who are mediocre at best at home(Noh, Was, Min, Bos, NJ, Gsw ). Sure they have won against Memphis and Dallas, but that's in part because of the brick fest that the star players of these 2 teams gave (Nowitzki 2-of-15 and happy 7-of-21/9-of-24)   -  Writeup from before, but still holds water here.

And they were on the other side of my play when they got destroyed by San Antonio. 

Portland is an absolute beast at home, and Im thinking that at the end of the season, they will have the best home team record in the Nba, plus a ticket to the playoffs. Portland wins comfortably here by 5-10 points.
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Posted: 2/6/2012 9:42:18 AM


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Posted: 2/6/2012 10:37:53 AM
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Posted: 2/6/2012 10:46:06 AM
Ny down to -3 with amare out.. Still a play?
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Posted: 2/6/2012 11:01:14 AM
 TP
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Posted: 2/6/2012 11:29:44 AM
Just curious don't take this the wrong way but I wanna know why you think the magic have a matchup adv at every spot except pg..C yes adv Magic..Blake against Anderson? they play two different games but Blakes athletic enough to come out and guard Anderson..don't know if I can say the same about baby and anderson..also don't know how much of an adv turkoglu and jrich are over butler and chauncey..i actually prefer the clips vets over the magics
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Posted: 2/6/2012 12:51:13 PM
Clippers lost to Denver last time out didnt they? , im leaning towards the clippers tonight , also in the Nyk utah game Stoudemire is out as he brother passed away . http://online.wsj.com/article/AP3a801ba889b642969933aedf10f2ed71.html

I dont know if this will effect how much you like the game. BOL anyways
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Posted: 2/6/2012 3:08:58 PM
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Posted: 2/6/2012 4:09:07 PM
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Posted: 2/6/2012 6:42:05 PM
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Posted: 2/6/2012 7:35:06 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GoTeam123:

Just curious don't take this the wrong way but I wanna know why you think the magic have a matchup adv at every spot except pg..C yes adv Magic..
Blake against Anderson? they play two different games but Blakes athletic enough to come out and guard Anderson..don't know if I can say the same about baby and anderson..also don't know how much of an adv turkoglu and jrich are over butler and chauncey..i actually prefer the clips vets over the magics

I took into consideration the home court factor here, apologies if that was misleading. Blake does not perform as good as he is at home when he is on the road. Chauncey rarely plays with CP3 at the same time so he'll be playing point and guarded by Duhon and Nelson who are good defenders especially on zone situations(SVG type of defense on teams with exceptional pointguards i.e NJ, CHI, LAC, etc). Caron is having a career resurgence right now but as I looked into it, the only time he performs well is when they're home.

side note: ryan anderson has 2 fouls already? I sure hope Glen Davis plays a mature game here.
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Posted: 2/6/2012 7:37:07 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Iainsc2:

Clippers lost to Denver last time out didnt they? , im leaning towards the clippers tonight , also in the Nyk utah game Stoudemire is out as he brother passed away . http://online.wsj.com/article/AP3a801ba889b642969933aedf10f2ed71.html

I dont know if this will effect how much you like the game. BOL anyways

What has the clippers loss got to do with the game tonight? no revenge factor, road game, etc.

And Stat is out and condolences to him. I fancy the Knicks play an inspired game for stat, that's what I want anyway..
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Posted: 2/6/2012 9:45:24 PM
Lin needs to rest, seriously. He's going to lose his effectiveness in the end games if D'Antoni keeps pushing Lin to his limits.
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Posted: 2/6/2012 9:58:26 PM
What a choke job by Orlando. They had all the chances to win in regulation and 4 shots in over time, and they never made one. just wow.


7 - 2 (+8.2 units)
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Posted: 2/6/2012 10:00:50 PM
Thankfully, the Knicks got the job done. Now waiting for Portland..

8 - 2 (+11.1 units)  [i realized i only placed 1 unit on orlando so the previous post should be +9.2 units]
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Posted: 2/6/2012 10:04:03 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TrapPlayah:



UTA @ NYK -4 (2 units)

Utah, like Portland, is a horrible road team.  Their only wins was a squeaker against Golden State and a 10 point win against Denver wherein Ty Lawson, Aaron "the brickmaster" Afflalo, and Gallo shot way below their average. Not to mention Paul Millsap went ham on them.

New York, on the other hand, has been on a slide lately. But a late resurgence the past 4 games garnered them a tightly contested match against Chicago and Boston(a game where they should have won SU) and a couple of wins against Detroit and New Jersey. AND! There is hope for New York, the team's savior may emerge in the name of little-used-and-little-known guard Jeremy Lin. Lin demolished Deron Williams in their matchup en route to a career night and he was partly the reason why the Knicks were able to catch up against the Nets.

This game will be critical and it will all depend on D'Antoni's leadership as a coach and his utilization of his new found weapon. I strongly feel that if he makes Lin a starter, he may lose his effectiveness as an effective back up point guard  a-la Jr Smith effectiveness from the bench. If I were D'Antoni, I would still have the same starting lineup but I will utilize Lin on short bursts during the 2nd quarter and for much of the 4th quarter where a point guard's leadership is usually relied on(something the knicks didnt have all season long).

I might be ahead of myself when I say this, but the Knick's playoff run and Jeremy Lin's rise this year depends on the outcome of this game. Baron Davis' return is uncertain, and a lot of burden is now placed on Lin and D'Antoni. There is much doubt for this team, but I expect them to win by more than 10 points this game.



Jeremy friggin lin baby

and Knicks win by 11
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Posted: 2/7/2012 12:53:54 AM
what a disgusting day. got killed twice in over time. orlando and portland both choked their fools when needed.

8 - 3 (+9.1 units)
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