Not often do I post but I've hit a streak lately, winning 3 of my last 4 parlays (2/3/5teamers) and felt as though I wanted to share some angles.
Hou vs NO - O184
Hou has played last place teams in 3 of L4 contests and that continues tonight with NO. While they covered in each of those games, and L7 overall, and laying 10 at home is too high for my taste.... I'm focusing more on the O/U with a solid play on the O184. Hou allows 8th most pts per game 97.8, thanks to DETs 80 last night it kept them under 100....3rd highest FG allow and what stands out to me....is attempts...allowing avg 85 in L5...this would give NO 10 more attempts (75 apg L10),....
LAL v MIA -5.5
Watching Lakers the L2 games has been painful. Offense is sluggish, no ball movement and lack of speed/hustle to generate passing lanes. Given the injury concerns of Wade and gametime decision of LBJ, the heat have proved to win games w/o starpower - see vs ATL 1/5. Heat added depth at bench for this reason. I feel the speed and matchups with Chalmers (who will have a big game) and N. Cole will create problems for Dfish and Kobe..especially in transition. LAL does not travel well (1-4ATS) and Black Mamba looked tired after scoring 40+ "in his sleep" I see a heat win by 9-12
DAL vs UTA -2.5
Dal was robbed of a possible win....leading by 2 in Lob City when the ball poked by Terry touched Mo out of bounds...that is tough!! That drains some life out of anybody, especially when players see the replay on the plane....Locker room is in a rut...L.Odom clearly is not happy and after seeing his roots going thru LAL and LAC ...losing both...H2H home team is 23-7-1 and DAL is 2-8-1 in L11 in UTA........Key angle is DAL is 6pts below avg PF and pt diff is 12.1...that is tops in the league.......UTA comfortable by 12-15
6/1; 100/600
GL2U!!
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