*** NBA Monday Trends + Angles ***

2-3 yesterday losing memphis by half a point. Been a rough two days but havn't had much time to cap NBA due to the NFL playoffs so really gonna do try and squeak out a couple top plays today.

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Toronto Raptors

-Home favorites that scored less than 67 points in their last game are 30-13 ATS in their next.
-Toronto is 3-1 straight up against Minnesota over the last 3 seasons
-Minnesota is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing Toronto
-Favorite is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
-Timberwolves are 2-12 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
-Timberwolves are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Toronto.
-Minnesota is 26-13 OVER in road games after playing a road game.
-Toronto is 40-19 OVER after scoring 35 points or less in the first half of last game.
-Last 7 meetings produced points of:
211, 190, 206, 182, 228, 212, 192  (maybe a little fishy that they opened the total at 187 but i'll bite)

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Detroit Pistons @ Chicago Bulls

-Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
-Bulls are 14-4 ATS after an upset loss as a favorite.
-Detroit is 2-14-1 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Chicago
-The Pistons are 12-0 OVER since February 02, 2010 with at least one day of rest after a game in which they shot less than 40% from the field.
-The Pistons are 7-0 OVER since February 13, 2011 after losing the previous matchup in which Ben Gordon scored fewer than 10 points.

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New Orleans Hornets @ Denver Nuggets

-The Nuggets are 7-0 UNDER since March 16, 2010 when playing the first game of at least a three game home stand.
-NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
-Denver is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against New Orleans
-The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Denver
-Teams that come back to win or cover in the 2nd half of a game usually are tired in their next game. Denver has come back to cover/win in the second half of the last two games.
-Revenge game for the Hornets


Nets +5.5 (85% of spread and 95% of ML bets are on Hawks yet line went from +6 to +5.5)
Raptors -3
Raptors/Twolves Over 187
Bulls/Pistons Over 178.5
Hornets +7 (1H)
Hornets/Nuggets Under 192.5

Nets+13.5 / Knicks -2.5 / Bulls -6  (8 point teaser -120)


YTD: (31-27)  53.44%

Scratch the Bulls/Pistons over game. Didn't know that total opened up 4 points less, all value is gone now.

I like the under in this game anyways.  That 12-0 trend doesn't hold much statistical weight in my book.  I wonder how many of those games were against teams that play as slow or as hounding defense as the Bulls?  Best of luck with the rest of your card.

Not sure either but usually the Bulls step up their game after a loss as a favorite and by doing that they will rely on their defense so I could see this one going under as well.

Updated Card:

Nets +5.5
Raptors -3
Raptors/Twolves Over 187
Hornets +7 (1H)
Hornets/Nuggets Under 192.5

Nets+13.5 / Knicks -2.5 / Bulls -6  (8 point teaser -120)

104 1H points for Raptors Twolves and it ends up going under by 3 points.

3-1 so far with 2 games pending.

Adding:

2H Under 96.5 (Hornets/Nuggets)

Teaser hit as well.

4-1 so far

not a bad day LC

Thanks mate, just hope the Nuggets can hold on for a little bonus.

[Ticket #: 110615576] STRAIGHT BET 01/09/2012 @ 06:15 PM NBA [711] NEW ORLEANS +900

50.00

450.00

Amazing picks  Keep it up!

Godd work bro 

Thanks guys. 6-1 missing the sweep by 3 points on the wizards/raptors total.

YTD: (37-28)  56.92%