Messages

Forum Index : NBA Betting : Messages Page 3 of 16 «  1 2 3 4 5   »
Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: THE $HARK $Y$TEM
schmeto
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
schmeto
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1372
Location: Belgium
#51
Posted: 5/8/2012 5:04:12 AM
INDIANA vs ORLANDO

S1) 91.5 / 79  ( 170.5 points)

S2) 88 / 77    (165 points)
---------------------
   89.5 / 78   ( 167.5 points average)

- Like we see, both systems go on the same way..

p.s: a council...don"t touch of the spread( +/- 10.5)!!!

MY BET :

UNDER 179 POINTS

GL.
quote
NBAOddsbao send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
NBAOddsbao
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: May 2012
Posts: 74
Location: Philippines
#52
Posted: 5/8/2012 6:24:07 AM
hey schmeto, what are your predictions in the other games as well?
GL on your bets too
quote
schmeto
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
schmeto
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1372
Location: Belgium
#53
Posted: 5/8/2012 9:05:01 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by NBAOddsbao:

hey schmeto, what are your predictions in the other games as well?
GL on your bets too


Hi,

just for information: it could have variation of the score for indiana vs orlando BUT it doesn't chance nothing of the bet ...but my first choise stay 89/79

others trends:

75/65 , 91.5 /79 -
---> indiana 83 /72 Orlando


for the game Chicago vs Sixers: it is not easy because normal trends don't go in the same way ..

86/70 , 87 /85 ---> 86.5 / 77.5

so for me it have more chance it could happen like this:

 86 / 86.5 ,  87/ 85.25 ---> 86.5 / 86

The best value is OVERTIME@11

the trend is UNDER for this game, the risk is the OT..so both are complementary.

GL
quote
BESTPICKSNOW
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bwin.com |
BESTPICKSNOW
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 374
Location: Venezuela
#54
Posted: 5/8/2012 9:16:52 AM

My Prediction Today...........

(+1) BOS 95 - ATL 85  

 

ORL 79 - IND 93 (-10)

 

(+5) PHIL 93 - CHC 85 

 

(+6) DEN 94 - LAL 99 

quote
BESTPICKSNOW
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bwin.com |
BESTPICKSNOW
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 374
Location: Venezuela
#55
Posted: 5/8/2012 9:17:17 AM

IND Under 179 

DEN Under 199 

quote
schmeto
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
schmeto
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1372
Location: Belgium
#56
Posted: 5/8/2012 2:44:42 PM
LAKERS vs DENVER

97 - 88 

My bet:

UNDER 198
quote
schmeto
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
schmeto
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1372
Location: Belgium
#57
Posted: 5/8/2012 3:48:40 PM
BOSTON (away) vs ATLANTA (home)


                      83 / 82

                      82 /86
--------------------------------------------
BOSTON 82.5 / 84 ATLANTA


For me the trends is UNDER 174  but... OT is possible so ?...
quote
schmeto
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
schmeto
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1372
Location: Belgium
#58
Posted: 5/8/2012 4:09:35 PM
I DID A MISTAKE ON MY LAST POST for the game Boston vs Atlanta


                        83 / 82
 
                        86 /86
--------------------------------------------
BOSTON 84.5 / 84 ATLANTA  (168.5 points)


My bet:

OVERTIME @ 10   YES

GL to all
quote
schmeto
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
schmeto
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1372
Location: Belgium
#59
Posted: 5/9/2012 6:15:17 AM
I did mistake agin yesterday on the game of indiana  my average should be 102-90....

the game of chicago didn't happen like forecast i am surprise that +5 sixers didn"t win but it is life..

Lakers lost is the biggest surprise for me.. there is days  like this.

For today:

MIAMI vs NY
 
95 / 82
 
94 / 78
---------------
 
94.5 / 80 ( 174.5 points)
 
my bet:

UNDER 183
 
 
MEMPHIS vs CLIPPERS :
 
93 / 87.5
 
93.5 / 89.5
 
--------------
93 / 88.5  ( 181.5 points)
 
NO BET!!


quote
schmeto
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
schmeto
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1372
Location: Belgium
#60
Posted: 5/9/2012 8:16:58 AM
I will make one TEST for these games:

Miami vs NY:

97/86 ---> 91.5 / 82  ,    91.5 / 77 

average:   91.5 /  79.5  (link with my first analyse above)

Memphis vs Clippers:

94 /88  --->  Memphis 88 /86.5  CLippers

Here the trend go on the way of the under 182.5 (be carefull of OT! ) and spread +6 clippers so I think IF it will not go on the way of my first analyse(93 /88.5) it could go on the way 88 /86.5.

conclusion; I think I will play OT and perhaps under.

GL to all

quote
schmeto
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
schmeto
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1372
Location: Belgium
#61
Posted: 5/9/2012 5:55:57 PM
HERE, I HAVE FIND A LINK BETWEEN MY OLD SYSTEMS AND THE NEWEONE (SYSTEMAYH). LET S TAKE A LOOK...

"OLD SYSTEM "

S1 ) 98 / 93.596 /91.5 ---> 97 /92.5

S2) 98 /95 ---> 100 /98

S3)  103 /106 ,  101 / 108 -->  102 /106.5

S3bis)86 / 81.5 , 94 /72 ----> 90/77
---------------------------------------------
   94.5 / 93.6 ,  97.5 / 90  --->  96/92

SYSTEMAYH:

  98 /92
  95/89
-------------
  96.5 /90.5


Conclusion;

I THINK THAT THE OVER183 WILL PASS BUT IT WILL BE BETWEEN 3 AND 5 POINTS MORE. FOR THE SPREAD ,THE TRENDS IS IN FAVOR OF CLIPPERS+6

MY BET  (PARLAY):

OVER 175.5@1.4
CLIPPERS +11.5@1.4
-------------------------------------
TOTAL ODDS@2


P.S: I TRY TO MAKE THE SAME FOR THE GAME OF MIAMI BUT I DIDN T FIND REALLY A LINK BETWEEN THEM. ONE THING IS INTERESTING

 SYSTEMAYH

98 / 80 OR 95 / 77 

OLD SYSTEM :

MIAMI BETWEEN 96 AND 99
NY BETWEEN 77 AND 97  -----> NY IS A NOT STABLE

MY MIND :

97/87 , 99/89 , BUT IT IS REALY HARD GAME TO PREDICT SO NO BET FINALLY!!

BOL.
quote
schmeto
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
schmeto
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1372
Location: Belgium
#62
Posted: 5/10/2012 6:56:15 PM
I have TRied to improve "SYSTEMAY", I will see what it happen

SiXERS 90 - 81  Chicago   ( or 93 -78)



Boston  89 -  77 Atlanta   or 89.5 /80
                83 -  77                 or 86.5 /80
-         ------------------------    --------------
                  86 /80
                      88/ 80

My bet:

UNDER 174


GL to ALL
quote
schmeto
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
schmeto
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1372
Location: Belgium
#63
Posted: 5/10/2012 7:09:08 PM
I forget a coin on the OVERTIME to cover my under on boston- atlanta game because i have a trends 83-84 for atlanta but i don't think so it happen like this
quote
schmeto
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
schmeto
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1372
Location: Belgium
#64
Posted: 5/11/2012 5:24:15 PM
Yesterday was good the game finished 83 /80 (163 points) like I predict, I hope it will be the same for this night. I will be safety here and bet half stake.

CLIPPERS vs MEMPHIS

my trends

Clippers  89 / 89 Memphis
                 90 / 90
                 92 / 87
                 88 / 91


The final result is difficult to predict but I think the total points will be between 175  and 184 points.
I will play line adjustable in favor of over because an under could kill( because of possible OT). For the spread i choose Clippers + because they are at home, it is MUST win game and most of trends are in their favor.
 
My bets:

Parlay @ 2 ( odds):


1  Over 172.0  MEM Grizzlies @ LA Clippers              (Game Totals)  12/05/2012  None  1.41  To Run

2  LA Clippers +7.0  MEM Grizzlies @ LA Clippers     (Point Spread)  12/05/2012  None  1.38  To Run
 
 
small stake on OVERTIME@10.


GL to @LL.
quote
MakinUnits send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: betED.com |
MakinUnits
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 1114
Location: Texas
#65
Posted: 5/11/2012 5:29:33 PM
fade
quote
vegasinsiders send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
vegasinsiders
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Mar 2010
Posts: 12
Location: Texas
#66
Posted: 5/11/2012 5:34:16 PM
Well This is impressive 
quote
schmeto
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
schmeto
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1372
Location: Belgium
#67
Posted: 5/12/2012 5:41:39 AM
My parlay won for last night for the clippers vs memphis game .. the game happened like I  had forecat.. I hope it will continue this night..
 
LAKERS vs DENVER
 
99 / 96            or(100 /95)
99 / 90           or (100 /92)
95 / 96           or ( 98/95)
95 / 90           or (98 /92)
---------           ---------------
97 / 93             99 / 93
(190 points)
       (192points)
 
between 185 and 195 points for this game. There is one possibility to have 196 points (100 /96) but I don't think and believe  it will come on this way . The Trend is under..

My bet:
 
UNDER 196 points

 + small stake to cover IF OverTime @11.

GL to ALL
quote
zefear88 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
zefear88
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 360
Location:
#68
Posted: 5/12/2012 8:39:59 AM
den or lal sir?
quote
schmeto
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
schmeto
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1372
Location: Belgium
#69
Posted: 5/12/2012 11:24:04 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by zefear88:

den or lal sir?


Like you can see, several trends are in favor for LAKERS, it have just one trend in favor for Denver( 95-96), I don't know if Lakers will cover the spread or not but for me Lakers will win..

LAKERS ML( most probable ) but UNDER 196 is the best  bet to play for me.

GL
quote
motorcitymama send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
motorcitymama
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 2701
Location: Colorado
#70
Posted: 5/12/2012 5:49:51 PM
thanks for all your hard work, schmeto.......tailing you on the under

 
quote
schmeto
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
schmeto
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1372
Location: Belgium
#71
Posted: 5/12/2012 7:30:55 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by motorcitymama:

thanks for all your hard work, schmeto.......tailing you on the under

 



You welcome Motorcitymama I hope this under will win especially when people follow me...

For the game of Boston vs Sixers, I have trends but i don't have strong feeling so be carefully with these datas:

 Boston 97 /86 Sixers
             91 /83
             88/87  ---> if it is tight game

Well, the trends is over but risked.. no bet on this game for me.

Tomorow... games of miami and clippers are the evening for me :-) ( not the night) so it is nice. I will put my forecast tomorow afternoon( my time) but I would just say now that for me CLippers could not win at Memphis(on my own statistical mind).

GL to ALL.

Good night
quote
schmeto
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
schmeto
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1372
Location: Belgium
#72
Posted: 5/13/2012 4:49:14 AM

3/3 with the  "Systemay"..(until now) so I continue

Memphis vs Clippers:


94 / 88.5  ou 93.5 /87
94/84.5    ou 93.5 /85
90/88.5    ou 92/87
90/84.5    ou  92/85
------------
92 /86.5    ou 93/86

 
Between 174.5 et 182.5: I will not bet before the game start because the game is the evening for me so i will bet in play IF it have something to play.

 
Miami vs Indiana:

105 /91 ou 94.5/90.5
105/80  ou 94.5 /85
89/91   ou 93.5 /90.5
89/80 ou 93.5 /85
---------------------------------
97 /85.5  ou 94 /88

 
my mind:  
 
93 /90 or 93 /83 --> trends under 188 but this trend 105/91 disturb me so i will perhaps bet under 195@ 1.41 before game or waiting if it have something in live to play.


GL to ALL


quote
schmeto
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
schmeto
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1372
Location: Belgium
#73
Posted: 5/14/2012 4:26:19 PM
REsume of last bets:

Game of Clippers vs Memphis: out of context so the result had change in less point especially for memphis('  clippers was ok)

Game of Miami vs indiana:  it WAs good

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

For this night
 
OKLAHOMA CITY vs LAKERS

100/87
100/84
95/87
95/84
--------
98/85


others trends: 94/85, 94/78, 103/87, 93/87 ( 96/84)
 
For my trends, the Maximum is 190 points..

My bet:

 
UNDER191 points

GL to ALL..
quote
schmeto
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
schmeto
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1372
Location: Belgium
#74
Posted: 5/14/2012 5:03:52 PM
Boston vs Sixers:
 
107/ 92.5  ou 97/87.5
107/80.5   ou  97/81.5
88 /92.5   ou 88 /87.5
88/ 80.5   ou  88/81.5
-----------------------------
97.5/ 86.5 ou  93/84.5
 
 For this game, I don't have great feeling.. a final score 88/84 will not estonished me. Trends general is" over" but risqued!! If i would like to play something it could be over168 but I definitly not do this I prefer no bet! GL

quote
schmeto
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
schmeto
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1372
Location: Belgium
#75
Posted: 5/17/2012 11:10:02 AM
INDIANA vs MIAMI:

normal trends:
 
88/93
88/80.5
80.5/93
80.5/80
------------
84.5 /85.3   average normal
 
Trends "improved"
 
Miami   :  Min 83 - Max 93.5
Indiana : Min 81 - Max 87
O/U      : Min 164 - Max 180.5
Spread  : Miami +5 !!!!

 average trends "improved ":  Indiana 84.5 / 88.5 Miami     (total :173 points)
 
Comparison:
 
While the normal tendency tells us to play rather indiana +1.5 (84.5 / 85),  the "improved" trend  say to play Miami -1.5 or Miami ML (84.5 / 88.5)

my bet will be certainly:
 
Parlay @ 2   ( + a coin on OT for covering of the under)

Miami +5.5  
Under 185.5


GL to ALL !!!
quote
Forum Index : NBA Betting : Messages Page 3 of 16 «  1 2 3 4 5   »
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.