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[NBA Betting] Topic: THE $HARK $Y$TEM |
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schmeto |
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#51 Posted: 5/8/2012 5:04:12 AM INDIANA vs ORLANDO
S1) 91.5 / 79 ( 170.5 points)
S2) 88 / 77 (165 points) --------------------- 89.5 / 78 ( 167.5 points average)
- Like we see, both systems go on the same way..
p.s: a council...don"t touch of the spread( +/- 10.5)!!!
MY BET :
UNDER 179 POINTS
GL.
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NBAOddsbao |
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#52 Posted: 5/8/2012 6:24:07 AM hey schmeto, what are your predictions in the other games as well? GL on your bets too
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schmeto |
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#53 Posted: 5/8/2012 9:05:01 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by NBAOddsbao:
hey schmeto, what are your predictions in the other games as well? GL on your bets too
Hi,
just for information: it could have variation of the score for indiana vs orlando BUT it doesn't chance nothing of the bet ...but my first choise stay 89/79
others trends:
75/65 , 91.5 /79 ----> indiana 83 /72 Orlando
for the game Chicago vs Sixers: it is not easy because normal trends don't go in the same way ..
86/70 , 87 /85 ---> 86.5 / 77.5
so for me it have more chance it could happen like this:
86 / 86.5 , 87/ 85.25 ---> 86.5 / 86
The best value is OVERTIME@11
the trend is UNDER for this game, the risk is the OT..so both are complementary.
GL
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BESTPICKSNOW |
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#54 Posted: 5/8/2012 9:16:52 AM My Prediction Today...........
(+1) BOS 95 - ATL 85 
ORL 79 - IND 93 (-10)
(+5) PHIL 93 - CHC 85 
(+6) DEN 94 - LAL 99  |
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BESTPICKSNOW |
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#55 Posted: 5/8/2012 9:17:17 AM IND Under 179 
DEN Under 199  |
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schmeto |
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#56 Posted: 5/8/2012 2:44:42 PM LAKERS vs DENVER
97 - 88
My bet:
UNDER 198
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schmeto |
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#57 Posted: 5/8/2012 3:48:40 PM BOSTON (away) vs ATLANTA (home)
83 / 82
82 /86
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BOSTON 82.5 / 84 ATLANTA
For me the trends is UNDER 174 but... OT is possible so ?...
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schmeto |
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#58 Posted: 5/8/2012 4:09:35 PM I DID A MISTAKE ON MY LAST POST for the game Boston vs Atlanta
83 / 82
86 /86
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BOSTON 84.5 / 84 ATLANTA (168.5 points)
My bet:
OVERTIME @ 10 YES
GL to all
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schmeto |
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#59 Posted: 5/9/2012 6:15:17 AM I did mistake agin yesterday on the game of indiana my average should be 102-90....
the game of chicago didn't happen like forecast i am surprise that +5 sixers didn"t win but it is life..
Lakers lost is the biggest surprise for me.. there is days like this.
For today:
MIAMI vs NY
95 / 82
94 / 78
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94.5 / 80 ( 174.5 points)
my bet:
UNDER 183
MEMPHIS vs CLIPPERS :
93 / 87.5
93.5 / 89.5
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93 / 88.5 ( 181.5 points)
NO BET!!
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schmeto |
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#60 Posted: 5/9/2012 8:16:58 AM I will make one TEST for these games:
Miami vs NY:
97/86 ---> 91.5 / 82 , 91.5 / 77
average: 91.5 / 79.5
(link with my first analyse above)
Memphis vs Clippers:
94 /88 ---> Memphis 88 /86.5 CLippers
Here the trend go on the way of the under 182.5 (be carefull of OT! ) and spread +6 clippers so I think IF it will not go on the way of my first analyse(93 /88.5) it could go on the way 88 /86.5.
conclusion; I think I will play OT and perhaps under.
GL to all
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schmeto |
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#61 Posted: 5/9/2012 5:55:57 PM HERE, I HAVE FIND A LINK BETWEEN MY OLD SYSTEMS AND THE NEWEONE (SYSTEMAYH). LET S TAKE A LOOK...
"OLD SYSTEM "
S1 ) 98 / 93.5 , 96 /91.5 ---> 97 /92.5
S2) 98 /95 ---> 100 /98
S3) 103 /106 , 101 / 108 --> 102 /106.5
S3bis)86 / 81.5 , 94 /72 ----> 90/77 --------------------------------------------- 94.5 / 93.6 , 97.5 / 90 ---> 96/92
SYSTEMAYH:
98 /92 95/89 ------------- 96.5 /90.5
Conclusion;
I THINK THAT THE OVER183 WILL PASS BUT IT WILL BE BETWEEN 3 AND 5 POINTS MORE. FOR THE SPREAD ,THE TRENDS IS IN FAVOR OF CLIPPERS+6
MY BET (PARLAY):
OVER 175.5@1.4 CLIPPERS +11.5@1.4 ------------------------------------- TOTAL ODDS@2
P.S: I TRY TO MAKE THE SAME FOR THE GAME OF MIAMI BUT I DIDN T FIND REALLY A LINK BETWEEN THEM. ONE THING IS INTERESTING
SYSTEMAYH
98 / 80 OR 95 / 77
OLD SYSTEM :
MIAMI BETWEEN 96 AND 99 NY BETWEEN 77 AND 97 -----> NY IS A NOT STABLE
MY MIND :
97/87 , 99/89 , BUT IT IS REALY HARD GAME TO PREDICT SO NO BET FINALLY!!
BOL.
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schmeto |
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#62 Posted: 5/10/2012 6:56:15 PM I have TRied to improve "SYSTEMAY", I will see what it happen
SiXERS 90 - 81 Chicago ( or 93 -78)
Boston 89 - 77 Atlanta or 89.5 /80 83 - 77 or 86.5 /80 - ------------------------ -------------- 86 /80 88/ 80
My bet:
UNDER 174
GL to ALL
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schmeto |
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#63 Posted: 5/10/2012 7:09:08 PM I forget a coin on the OVERTIME to cover my under on boston- atlanta game because i have a trends 83-84 for atlanta but i don't think so it happen like this
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schmeto |
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#64 Posted: 5/11/2012 5:24:15 PM Yesterday was good the game finished 83 /80 (163 points) like I predict, I hope it will be the same for this night. I will be safety here and bet half stake.
CLIPPERS vs MEMPHIS :
my trends
Clippers 89 / 89 Memphis
90 / 90
92 / 87
88 / 91
The final result is difficult to predict but I think the total points will be between 175 and 184 points. I will play line adjustable in favor of over because an under could kill( because of possible OT). For the spread i choose Clippers + because they are at home, it is MUST win game and most of trends are in their favor. My bets:
Parlay @ 2 ( odds):
1 Over 172.0 MEM Grizzlies @ LA Clippers (Game Totals) 12/05/2012 None 1.41 To Run
2 LA Clippers +7.0 MEM Grizzlies @ LA Clippers (Point Spread) 12/05/2012 None 1.38 To Run
small stake on OVERTIME@10.
GL to @LL.
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MakinUnits |
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#65 Posted: 5/11/2012 5:29:33 PM fade |
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vegasinsiders |
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#66 Posted: 5/11/2012 5:34:16 PM Well This is impressive |
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schmeto |
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#67 Posted: 5/12/2012 5:41:39 AM My parlay won for last night for the clippers vs memphis game ..
the game happened like I had forecat.. I hope it will continue this night.. LAKERS vs DENVER
99 / 96 or(100 /95) 99 / 90
or (100 /92) 95 / 96
or ( 98/95) 95 / 90
or (98 /92) ---------
--------------- 97 / 93 99 / 93 (190 points)
(192points) between 185 and 195 points for this game. There is one possibility to have 196 points (100 /96) but I don't think and believe it will come on this way . The Trend is under..
My bet:
UNDER 196 points
+ small stake to cover IF OverTime @11.
GL to ALL
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zefear88 |
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#68 Posted: 5/12/2012 8:39:59 AM den or lal sir?
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schmeto |
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#69 Posted: 5/12/2012 11:24:04 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by zefear88:
den or lal sir?
Like you can see, several trends are in favor for LAKERS, it have just one trend in favor for Denver( 95-96), I don't know if Lakers will cover the spread or not but for me Lakers will win..
LAKERS ML( most probable ) but UNDER 196 is the best bet to play for me.
GL
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motorcitymama |
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#70 Posted: 5/12/2012 5:49:51 PM thanks for all your hard work, schmeto.......tailing you on the under
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schmeto |
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#71 Posted: 5/12/2012 7:30:55 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by motorcitymama: thanks for all your hard work, schmeto.......tailing you on the under
You welcome Motorcitymama I hope this under will win especially when people follow me...
For the game of Boston vs Sixers, I have trends but i don't have strong feeling so be carefully with these datas:
Boston 97 /86 Sixers 91 /83 88/87 ---> if it is tight game
Well, the trends is over but risked.. no bet on this game for me.
Tomorow... games of miami and clippers are the evening for me :-) ( not the night) so it is nice . I will put my forecast tomorow afternoon( my time) but I would just say now that for me CLippers could not win at Memphis(on my own statistical mind).
GL to ALL.
Good night 
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schmeto |
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#72 Posted: 5/13/2012 4:49:14 AM 3/3 with the "Systemay"..(until now) so I continue
Memphis vs Clippers:
94 / 88.5 ou 93.5 /87
94/84.5 ou 93.5 /85
90/88.5 ou 92/87
90/84.5 ou 92/85
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92 /86.5 ou 93/86
Between 174.5 et 182.5: I will not bet before the game start because the game is the evening for me so i will bet in play IF it have something to play.
Miami vs Indiana:
105 /91 ou 94.5/90.5
105/80 ou 94.5 /85
89/91 ou 93.5 /90.5
89/80 ou 93.5 /85
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97 /85.5 ou 94 /88
my mind: 93 /90 or 93 /83 --> trends under 188 but this trend 105/91 disturb me so i will perhaps bet under 195@ 1.41 before game or waiting if it have something in live to play.
GL to ALL
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schmeto |
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#73 Posted: 5/14/2012 4:26:19 PM REsume of last bets:
Game of Clippers vs Memphis: out of context so the result had change in less point especially for memphis(' clippers was ok)
Game of Miami vs indiana: it WAs good
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For this night OKLAHOMA CITY vs LAKERS
100/87
100/84
95/87
95/84
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98/85
others trends: 94/85, 94/78, 103/87, 93/87 ( 96/84)
For my trends, the Maximum is 190 points..
My bet: UNDER191 points
GL to ALL..
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schmeto |
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#74 Posted: 5/14/2012 5:03:52 PM Boston vs Sixers:
107/ 92.5 ou 97/87.5
107/80.5 ou 97/81.5
88 /92.5 ou 88 /87.5
88/ 80.5 ou 88/81.5
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97.5/ 86.5 ou 93/84.5
For this game, I don't have great feeling.. a final score 88/84 will not estonished me. Trends general is" over" but risqued!! If i would like to play something it could be over168 but I definitly not do this I prefer no bet! GL
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schmeto |
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#75 Posted: 5/17/2012 11:10:02 AM INDIANA vs MIAMI:
normal trends:
88/93
88/80.5
80.5/93
80.5/80
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84.5 /85.3 average normal Trends "improved" Miami : Min 83 - Max 93.5
Indiana : Min 81 - Max 87
O/U : Min 164 - Max 180.5
Spread : Miami +5 !!!!
average trends "improved ": Indiana 84.5 / 88.5 Miami (total :173 points)
Comparison:
While the normal tendency tells us to play rather indiana +1.5 (84.5 / 85), the "improved" trend say to play Miami -1.5 or Miami ML (84.5 / 88.5)
my bet will be certainly:
Parlay @ 2 ( + a coin on OT for covering of the under)
Miami +5.5 Under 185.5
GL to ALL !!!
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