I would take Dallas but....

I don't take side and total in the same game for obvious reasons.  Game 1 I hit under 4 ways including one of my largest wagers of the year on the under game.  Game 2 I went normal size and lost by half a point and it took a miracle at that for it to go over.  I am making a bigger than normal size wager on under 188.5 this game.  There is a ton of value in this line, Dallas is at home and I guess most are expecting more running.  I don't see that, I see actually more defense especially on Miami's side. 

Miami knows they have to grind it out and out play them on the defensive end on the road.  The only thing that matters to me on totals is pace and how many shots per minute are being put up.  The pace is very slow,  even if they get four shots per minute it's doubful they will hit 50% which means the under has a strong chance of hitting.  Large on Under 188.5 and under 95 normal size wager.  Dallas should win but to me there's more value on the under.  Refs suck for under backers but if you look at this number they are clearly on the unders favor at this number.  That's all and GL.

this situation screams under and i still may play it but im trying to get past the sound of the whistle blowing every time down court. if they stick to the same amount of shot attempts as in games 1 and 2 this is staying under but there is  a fine line between each team getting 90 or 95 with the refs