Sunday: 2-0
Monday: 2-2
Tuesday: 1-1
Wednesday: 11-3-1
Thursday: 1-0
Friday: 5-5
This isn't actually the best spot for the Nuggets that's why the line is quite high. Nuggets continue to play well after the Melo trade and is an ATS machine at the moment. Miami just recovered from that OKC beat down they got with a win in Atlanta. No play here at the moment but I'm seriously leaning the Miami Heat -8.0 because of the Nuggets' bad schedule. If you take out that game against Detroit, they've almost been on the road for the rest of March which is why they are more or less looking forward to end the last game of the trip. 3 games in 4 nights and already 2-1 in their quick 4 game trip. They have only 2 back to back games as a new unit and played both games pretty close. At the moment, I see the UNDER 206.5 a good bet than the heat lean given the Nuggets has played a bit slower and showed that they can defend.
Looks like a trap line from when they played Boston, just after a huge back to back win against win against New York. I'm still biting. Indiana Pacers +9.0 for me. 3 games in 4 nights for the Pacers and a sorry 5-14 ATS playing the second of a back to back and every other trend goes the Grizzlies way. I'm not really going against it but with the way Psycho T is playing and Granger looked motivated again, this team is pretty dangerous laying this much points. They also have their playoffs hope riding in every winnable games and this is pretty much one of them. Pacers also have enough size to go against the Grizzlies and that should make Zach and Marc work hard for their points.
Another bad spot here due to scheduling. Boston Celtics will get beat hard here in Nawlins. Play is New Orleans Hornets -1.0 and don't bother thinking twice. It's setting up pretty nicely for a Boston bettor massacre here. Catching the then NBA Champs beat bad by the Rockets then going to New Orleans as a one point dog. If anyone is not paying attention, New Orleans is healthy again and Doc is still playing with his rotation. It should be pretty costly for them against a rested team when this old Boston team is only 3-11 ATS playing the second of a back to back. Another good play here is the UNDER 179.0. Two hard nosed defensive team battle it out. I see another 80-85ish points dropping from both teams and should fall from 160-170ish easy.
Oklahoma City was a bad matchup for the Bobcats and so I was scared for a lot of people, then again, that much points they had going was almost good insurance. Here's another supposedly good spot for the Bobcats if they still have Wallace but at this moment, I think it's another fade spot for them. They are playing horrible ball at the moment and can't find any offense outside S-Jax and Augustin. Spurs has too much fire power for the Cats to matchup. They've also played poorly on defense and lapses usually comes late in the 4th where they usually cost people the cover. If you have to play this game, I'm more confident towards the UNDER 191.5 than a play on the side. Both teams are a combined 29-39-0 home-road O/U record. The Spurs coming off a tough contest in Dallas should help keep this low as well as the Cats getting blown in Oklahoma. 3 games in 4 nights scheduling should also take its toll in both their offense and defense.
Last game of the night is pretty interesting. Philadelphia continues its waxing hot performance but Portland is a tough place to play. I'm sensing a good OVER play here given the 76ers allows more points on the second of a back to back game. The Blazers on the other hand are pretty rested and barely got up for that game against the Cavs. Having Miller out for this game betters the OVER lean because they play a lot faster without him. I'm leaning towards the Philadelphia 76ers +4.5 here at the moment because they can match pretty well against Portland not to mention, the Blazers are pretty much looking ahead to the Lakers game for a chance to revenge that 5 point loss in OT late in February.
BOL.







