94-67-5 NBA run.....Friday 12/3/10 plays

great game last night for LBJ....you got to kind of feel bad a bit for the Cavs fans they were only able to cheer with 5 min into the first qtr....and then the Heat took the lead and never gave the Cavs or their fans an inch of hope to gain it back.....Lesson learned..??  Dont fuck with Lebron James....Noted...

Ok onto today:

Bulls +5.5... HAMMER PLAY.....Gonna make them a Hammer here again at this number as I know they will have a well rounded performance tonight after that embarrassment at Home to the Magic.....PRE has them at 71% to cover ATS and a good chance to win this SU....

Suns -2...HAMMER PLAY....Gonna make the Suns a Hammer here yet again.....Not sure why but the Pacers have been off kilt their past 4 games....and I see the skid continuing here.....this is a great line here for the Suns.....and the Power rankings in my system has them beating the Pacers 7/10 times at this number which makes the PRE% 70% they cover at this line...Hit it.

Clippers +9 and ML......Strange how the Clips ended the Spurs undefeated road dominance and have yet themselves been able to get a W on the road....I see that changing tonight at their confidence is at an all time high, and they play much better "team" ball then the Nuggets do.....Now that Davis is back should be a lift for this team.  and BG is already becoming notorious for intimidating dunks that force defense's to change things in the paint when they face him....If the Clippers can hit their perimeter shots tonight.....their inside game will help them slam home their first win on the road for 2010.

Houston +5......Got to stick with this team with how well they are playing right now.

Kings +12.....I am not buying into the Lakers just yet.....something is def up with them....I faded them against Houston the other night and for good reason....but I figured they would at least get the W even if by 1-3 points......Now they are gonna lay 12 to a cross-town little brother and win by DD??  Not sipping that Kool-aid.....Lakers win but the Kings cover...Period...

Dallas +4 and ML....HAMMER PLAY.....My last Hammer of the night and for great reasons too....When crossed with this line in my system the actual outcome % has Dallas winning 90% of the time with this line....Their defensive production ratio is 76% which is the highest I have seen with my numbers......Which has me drooling because this line is wayyy off......and it is because of how well the Jazz have been playing.....But what stats wont tell you is the Jazz last 3 opp have been on losing streaks prior to playing them....which inflates this line and my numbers dramatically.....Dallas is my PON tonight....Get it...

GL everyone

Updated Record

2010/2011 NFL Pre-season: 4-2-0

2010/2011 NFL Regular season: 61-44-1

2010/2011 NCAAF Season: 64-49-2

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2010/2011 NBA Regular Season: 94-67-5

2010/2011 NCAAB Season: 1-4-0

wager key:

small play:

Medium play:                                     

Large play:

Last night was a money maker.  Thank you sir.

Lets do it again.  These picks look like money as well.

Hi, JLB: Thanks again for your wonderful insight and picks. Agree with pretty much all of them (but clippers...just a strange feeling on this one; clippers +9 seems too easy, and besides, so many of the cappers on here are All on clippers. I have yet to see one capper recommends Denver tonight...wierd).

Need your help again, could you please kindly check your PRE rating on two picks for me: (1) Portland -3.5 (2) New Orleans -6.5; Thanks very much. BOL tomorrow. Let's get them

Suns -2...HAMMER PLAY....Gonna make the Suns a Hammer here yet again.....Not sure why but the Pacers have been off kilt their past 4 games....and I see the skid continuing here.....this is a great line here for the Suns.....and the Power rankings in my system has them beating the Pacers 7/10 times at this number which makes the PRE% 70% they cover at this line...Hit it.

Pacers have been off Kilt?

2-2 in there last 4 with an OT loss to OKC and a loss @ utah and the 2nd end of a b2b. Check the league and NO ONE fairs well going to Utah on the tail end of a b2b...

I would be more concerned with Nash on the B2B tonight since Gentry had to reinsert him in the 4th last night...Pacers hold an advantage at every position but PG and Nash is getting old and on a B2B ill take collison...

I seldom if ever bet qtrs or halves.....too many variables to consider to make a well educated bet.....the best way to gamble in mho is to bet the game....If you want a solid capper who bets that way look at tinoker55 threads

My system is sort of complex....It is statistical analysis of team production vs actual outcome, and this is crossed matched with spread analyisis vs line movement and all calculated and the sum of those figures is then cross matched with what I call situational probability factoring.  I have mentioned this in other threads that I have posted.....I don't go into detail with this system quite frankly because it's complicated to explain to people who don't use it and well...boring......So I just post my picks and a few blurbs as to what I liked and factored into my bet to go along with my system picks....

Almost made Portland a play tonight.....But My system predicts they win SU but lose ATS by a 65% PRE so I would Lean the Wizards here.

Same this with the Hornets....win SU but PREis 61% they lose ATS....SO NYK would be my leans on this

GL whatever you decide....too close for me to want to risk it

Yes they are twins....lol.....I dont know them....a buddy of mine sent this pick to me...and I am not sure where he got it.....they may be girls from his frat parties....I really dont know....I just love the pick.....the gratuity these two lovely tarts share is un-matched...

Bulls seem out of sync 2 me with Boozer back.  Orlando beat them good, Boston may not win  by 20 but should cover.  My 2 cents...

BOL MAN

Thanks bro, for the speedy reply. Will adjust my bets accordingly. Cheers