Happy New Year's to all. I took the last 3 weeks off from posting. I felt I was getting too consumed with making sure I was posting winners rather than just capping my system plays. We finished the 2009 (1st part of the NBA season) @ 68-49. 58% winners, but system only plays came in @ over 67%.
I did not stop playing over the last few weeks and I was around the forum, just making small comments here & there. Now we will keep track of system plays and overall plays.
Let's make 2010 very good for all of us.......
2010 YTD 0-0 (posted)
2010 System Plays 0-0 (posted)
2010 POD 0-0 (psoted)
2009 - 68-49 (58% overall NBA)
Monday's System Card
Hawks -1 1/2 -5 units (this sytem fits perfectly due to both teams blowing leads in their 1st quarter of their last games but even better with Miami scoring over 30 in the 1st quarter and under 20 in the second on their way to a loss). When teams do this they cover the spread in their next 29% of the time.
Thunder + 2 & under 194 (3 units each) - This is a play more against the Bulls than it is for the Thunder. Underdog's that come back @ home from a 1st qtr. deficit of 1-4 points cover the spread in their next game IF IT'S ALSO @ HOME only 22.8% of the time. The under also comes in @ 73%.
Portland OVER 189 1/2 - (8 UNTIS) - POD#1 FOR 2010 - This is a DOUBLE SYSTEM PLAY. Both teams overcame 1st quarter deficits in thier last games, Portland a big 10 point comeback. The over hits in their next game 84% of the time.
Monday Non-System Play -
Jazz -8 (3 units) - Think the Jazz come out on fire after losing to a depleted Nuggets team the other night. Might put a little on the over as well.,
Good to be back and best of luck. comments welocome......
Happy New Year's to all. I took the last 3 weeks off from posting. I felt I was getting too consumed with making sure I was posting winners rather than just capping my system plays. We finished the 2009 (1st part of the NBA season) @ 68-49. 58% winners, but system only plays came in @ over 67%.
I did not stop playing over the last few weeks and I was around the forum, just making small comments here & there. Now we will keep track of system plays and overall plays.
Let's make 2010 very good for all of us.......
2010 YTD 0-0 (posted)
2010 System Plays 0-0 (posted)
2010 POD 0-0 (psoted)
2009 - 68-49 (58% overall NBA)
Monday's System Card
Hawks -1 1/2 -5 units (this sytem fits perfectly due to both teams blowing leads in their 1st quarter of their last games but even better with Miami scoring over 30 in the 1st quarter and under 20 in the second on their way to a loss). When teams do this they cover the spread in their next 29% of the time.
Thunder + 2 & under 194 (3 units each) - This is a play more against the Bulls than it is for the Thunder. Underdog's that come back @ home from a 1st qtr. deficit of 1-4 points cover the spread in their next game IF IT'S ALSO @ HOME only 22.8% of the time. The under also comes in @ 73%.
Portland OVER 189 1/2 - (8 UNTIS) - POD#1 FOR 2010 - This is a DOUBLE SYSTEM PLAY. Both teams overcame 1st quarter deficits in thier last games, Portland a big 10 point comeback. The over hits in their next game 84% of the time.
Monday Non-System Play -
Jazz -8 (3 units) - Think the Jazz come out on fire after losing to a depleted Nuggets team the other night. Might put a little on the over as well.,
Good to be back and best of luck. comments welocome......
gl i dont really like your systems but whatever makes u feel better when you take a bet
I'm not sure how you can say you don't like it without knowing it. If it hits @ over 65% since 1997, it works. Also, I didn't invent it, I got it from a "sharp" who uses it religously. I have been on it for a few years now and it has alsways turned a profit. Comes down to money management like anything else. Don't follow the plays, but keep track of the posts & see for yourself.
Just an FYI - the system plays for yesterday were lakers over, Nuggets over and Charlette. 3-0 for the day, GL buddy....
gl i dont really like your systems but whatever makes u feel better when you take a bet
I'm not sure how you can say you don't like it without knowing it. If it hits @ over 65% since 1997, it works. Also, I didn't invent it, I got it from a "sharp" who uses it religously. I have been on it for a few years now and it has alsways turned a profit. Comes down to money management like anything else. Don't follow the plays, but keep track of the posts & see for yourself.
Just an FYI - the system plays for yesterday were lakers over, Nuggets over and Charlette. 3-0 for the day, GL buddy....
lol u guys are funny i say goodluck to the guy i just dont like the system i could say my opinon i think it stupid but if it works gl to u n every1 has a titty attack relax the only idiots here r ya after ur reaction next time ill post by saying f u i hope u lose with ur dumb system
lol u guys are funny i say goodluck to the guy i just dont like the system i could say my opinon i think it stupid but if it works gl to u n every1 has a titty attack relax the only idiots here r ya after ur reaction next time ill post by saying f u i hope u lose with ur dumb system
lol u guys are funny i say goodluck to the guy i just dont like the system i could say my opinon i think it stupid but if it works gl to u n every1 has a titty attack relax the only idiots here r ya after ur reaction next time ill post by saying f u i hope u lose with ur dumb system
Dude- what the hell are you talking about. I didn't bash you. i thought i responded with a good, well thought out explanation. I even said to follow it for a while to see if you change your mind. You need to relax just a bit.
lol u guys are funny i say goodluck to the guy i just dont like the system i could say my opinon i think it stupid but if it works gl to u n every1 has a titty attack relax the only idiots here r ya after ur reaction next time ill post by saying f u i hope u lose with ur dumb system
Dude- what the hell are you talking about. I didn't bash you. i thought i responded with a good, well thought out explanation. I even said to follow it for a while to see if you change your mind. You need to relax just a bit.
lol i know im really just talking to the guy who called me a idiot i hope u win n i will follow the system i love the hawks tonight..but i got the bulls maybe thats why i dont like your system yet lol but goodluck to u hope we all win some how
lol i know im really just talking to the guy who called me a idiot i hope u win n i will follow the system i love the hawks tonight..but i got the bulls maybe thats why i dont like your system yet lol but goodluck to u hope we all win some how
I explained my system, and your is.................Do you have a good % to support? I have no problem changing my mind, but not just because you say so. Talk to me goose....
I explained my system, and your is.................Do you have a good % to support? I have no problem changing my mind, but not just because you say so. Talk to me goose....
The Atlanta Hawks have hit their first slump of the season, losing three of four, however, tonight’s opponent and division rival Miami is also carrying three game losing streak. When a situation like this arises, look to play on road favorites after two or more consecutive losses, if they have winning 60-75 percentage on the season. Over the last three seasons, this system checks in at 32-12 ATS.
The Atlanta Hawks have hit their first slump of the season, losing three of four, however, tonight’s opponent and division rival Miami is also carrying three game losing streak. When a situation like this arises, look to play on road favorites after two or more consecutive losses, if they have winning 60-75 percentage on the season. Over the last three seasons, this system checks in at 32-12 ATS.
We finished the 2009 (1st part of the NBA season) @ 68-49. 58% winners, but system only plays came in @ over 67%.
Hawks -1 1/2 -5 units (this sytem fits perfectly due to both teams blowing leads in their 1st quarter of their last games but even better with Miami scoring over 30 in the 1st quarter and under 20 in the second on their way to a loss). When teams do this they cover the spread in their next29% of the time.
Thunder + 2 & under 194 (3 units each) - This is a play more against the Bulls than it is for the Thunder. Underdog's that come back @ home from a 1st qtr. deficit of 1-4 points cover the spread in their next game IF IT'S ALSO @ HOME only 22.8% of the time. The under also comes in @ 73%.
Monday Non-System Play -
Jazz -8 (3 units) - Think the Jazz come out on fire after losing to a depleted Nuggets team the other night. Might put a little on the over as well.,
So basically, AJS, this system of yours looks at only 1st quarter performances from the previous game, right? Regardless of whether the team won or lost that game?
Blue highlights question: you only cited the MIA example, but it's vague without definite figures. How many points does a team have to score less in the 2nd Q compared to the 1st to fit in the system? Because if you're only going to look at teams with 30-pt 1st Q's, not many teams can do that.
Green highlights question: Is it strictly 1-4 pts, no more no less?
Orange highlights question: So this system basically looks only at 1st Q performances from a previous game, and when they fit, it means that team is not likely to cover next game? (22.8% only?)
We finished the 2009 (1st part of the NBA season) @ 68-49. 58% winners, but system only plays came in @ over 67%.
Hawks -1 1/2 -5 units (this sytem fits perfectly due to both teams blowing leads in their 1st quarter of their last games but even better with Miami scoring over 30 in the 1st quarter and under 20 in the second on their way to a loss). When teams do this they cover the spread in their next29% of the time.
Thunder + 2 & under 194 (3 units each) - This is a play more against the Bulls than it is for the Thunder. Underdog's that come back @ home from a 1st qtr. deficit of 1-4 points cover the spread in their next game IF IT'S ALSO @ HOME only 22.8% of the time. The under also comes in @ 73%.
Monday Non-System Play -
Jazz -8 (3 units) - Think the Jazz come out on fire after losing to a depleted Nuggets team the other night. Might put a little on the over as well.,
So basically, AJS, this system of yours looks at only 1st quarter performances from the previous game, right? Regardless of whether the team won or lost that game?
Blue highlights question: you only cited the MIA example, but it's vague without definite figures. How many points does a team have to score less in the 2nd Q compared to the 1st to fit in the system? Because if you're only going to look at teams with 30-pt 1st Q's, not many teams can do that.
Green highlights question: Is it strictly 1-4 pts, no more no less?
Orange highlights question: So this system basically looks only at 1st Q performances from a previous game, and when they fit, it means that team is not likely to cover next game? (22.8% only?)
Borat - The system looks primarily at how a team does in their last game in the 1st quarter, and then how it relates to the the whole game out come.
The Miami example tonight is:
How about when a team starts out really clicking on offense and puts up over 30 points in the opening period. Their offense then goes cold in Q2 and they only tally 20 points or less and go on to lose the game. Apparently, our team loses some confidence if they are now playing their next game as an underdog because they only cover the linesmaker’s number 32.8% of the time. That poor line-covering rate falls to 22.2% if our team was favored in their previous game where they went cold in Q2 after a hot start.
Without me having to type the entire system, it looks for situational plays that fit. There are days where there are NO SYSTEM plays. You can not try and bend the system, it either fits or it doesn't.
Bulls game system
Using the premise that our team was down only by one to four points at the end of the first quarter but ended up winning the game straight up, we looked at how they performed in their next game. To get any results of significance, our comeback team in the first game had to have been an underdog. If we do add locations to the equation, we get a nice improvement on our Under to 66.7% if the come-from-behind game was on the road and we are now playing at home. But, if both the former game and the next one are both at home, our ATS rate drops to 28.6%. Our team must get a little too relaxed staying at home after their comeback win.
Portland System
Let’s see how altering a couple of qualifiers can dramatically change the results of a trend. First, we are going to change the deficit at the end of the first quarter from being behind one to four points to five to nine points. Next, instead of the team that rallied and won being an underdog, we change them to have been the favorite. Comparing our previous situation where the first game was on the road and now playing at home and the Under happened at a 62% rate, just by changing from a dog to a favorite in the previous game and increasing the deficit, the next game now has completely opposite results with a 84.0% play on the Over! (Clippers did this)
Now let’s increase the opponent’s lead at the end of Q1 to 10 to 15 points. With the bigger margin to overcome for the win, the Over occurs 81% of the time in our next game. Interestingly enough, with the increase in the Q1 deficit to 10 to 15, there is very little difference between whether our team was a dog or a favorite in the first game. That significant enough of a comeback apparently affects all teams in a similar manner allowing the high Over rate in the next contest.
Borat - The system looks primarily at how a team does in their last game in the 1st quarter, and then how it relates to the the whole game out come.
The Miami example tonight is:
How about when a team starts out really clicking on offense and puts up over 30 points in the opening period. Their offense then goes cold in Q2 and they only tally 20 points or less and go on to lose the game. Apparently, our team loses some confidence if they are now playing their next game as an underdog because they only cover the linesmaker’s number 32.8% of the time. That poor line-covering rate falls to 22.2% if our team was favored in their previous game where they went cold in Q2 after a hot start.
Without me having to type the entire system, it looks for situational plays that fit. There are days where there are NO SYSTEM plays. You can not try and bend the system, it either fits or it doesn't.
Bulls game system
Using the premise that our team was down only by one to four points at the end of the first quarter but ended up winning the game straight up, we looked at how they performed in their next game. To get any results of significance, our comeback team in the first game had to have been an underdog. If we do add locations to the equation, we get a nice improvement on our Under to 66.7% if the come-from-behind game was on the road and we are now playing at home. But, if both the former game and the next one are both at home, our ATS rate drops to 28.6%. Our team must get a little too relaxed staying at home after their comeback win.
Portland System
Let’s see how altering a couple of qualifiers can dramatically change the results of a trend. First, we are going to change the deficit at the end of the first quarter from being behind one to four points to five to nine points. Next, instead of the team that rallied and won being an underdog, we change them to have been the favorite. Comparing our previous situation where the first game was on the road and now playing at home and the Under happened at a 62% rate, just by changing from a dog to a favorite in the previous game and increasing the deficit, the next game now has completely opposite results with a 84.0% play on the Over! (Clippers did this)
Now let’s increase the opponent’s lead at the end of Q1 to 10 to 15 points. With the bigger margin to overcome for the win, the Over occurs 81% of the time in our next game. Interestingly enough, with the increase in the Q1 deficit to 10 to 15, there is very little difference between whether our team was a dog or a favorite in the first game. That significant enough of a comeback apparently affects all teams in a similar manner allowing the high Over rate in the next contest.
Am skeptical that you can hit such a high percentage based on how teams do in the first quarter (of the last game?). BUT I will follow your posts for a while. Don't want to turn down a good thing if it really works.
Am skeptical that you can hit such a high percentage based on how teams do in the first quarter (of the last game?). BUT I will follow your posts for a while. Don't want to turn down a good thing if it really works.
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