Toronto seems to play their best ball early, especially at home. Char plays their worst ball early while on the road. Stats have the Rap a -6 fav fist half, so -3 is a gift. TORONTO-3
Memphis 1st Q is a stat backed play. According to averages of the last five games and overall stats, Memphis should be a -41st quarter fav. Memphis -0.5 1st Q.
I plan to bet against the Nets whenever they are a small dog for the rest of the season. It helps that NY has already kicked their ass twice this year. NY-2.5
Why I play 1st H and Q mostly in the NBA: The stats for those two situations are generally more reliable. Assuming the training and coaching is constant, players are more predictable in the early game when they are fresh. Over the course of a game, a million unseen variables come into play that capping can't predict. Betting the early game reduces these variables. This is also true for situations, like losing the night before or Ron Ron falling drunk down the stairs. The affects of those variables show up better early because the team has mentally prepped itself for them, prepping which degrades over the course of the game.
Toronto seems to play their best ball early, especially at home. Char plays their worst ball early while on the road. Stats have the Rap a -6 fav fist half, so -3 is a gift. TORONTO-3
Memphis 1st Q is a stat backed play. According to averages of the last five games and overall stats, Memphis should be a -41st quarter fav. Memphis -0.5 1st Q.
I plan to bet against the Nets whenever they are a small dog for the rest of the season. It helps that NY has already kicked their ass twice this year. NY-2.5
Why I play 1st H and Q mostly in the NBA: The stats for those two situations are generally more reliable. Assuming the training and coaching is constant, players are more predictable in the early game when they are fresh. Over the course of a game, a million unseen variables come into play that capping can't predict. Betting the early game reduces these variables. This is also true for situations, like losing the night before or Ron Ron falling drunk down the stairs. The affects of those variables show up better early because the team has mentally prepped itself for them, prepping which degrades over the course of the game.
I'm betting the injuries Boston has will result in a DD lose to the Sun. Even if KG and Rondo play, they won't be at the level to compete against Nash and Amare
I'm betting the injuries Boston has will result in a DD lose to the Sun. Even if KG and Rondo play, they won't be at the level to compete against Nash and Amare
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