| Author: |
[Pro Hoops] Topic: Mak's Scintillating Saturday |
|
makaveli23 |
RSI   View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 3212
Location: Kenya |
#1 Posted: 11/21/2009 4:24:43 AM
SACRAMENTO KINGS + 10 (-110) - - - My third situation G.O.Y this NBA season. So far am 2-0 hitting the Hornets against Dallas and Utah against Toronto. This is my first wager on the Kings all season. I was wrong about Evans and this roster. Paul Westphal who was a great NBA player was also an amazing coach back in the day in PHX. He led Sir Charles and company to the playoffs year after year but they were heart-broken time and time again by my favorite NBA player of all time Hakeem the dream. Westphal has this team playing poised precision basketball. Tonight is a night with the situational aspect will be too much for Houston to handle. Houston is not only on a back to back, they are on that proverbial 4 in 5 night situation. Not only that but the 5 in 7 spot. They travel from ATL back to Texas where Sac Town takes a bus ride down to Houston from Dallas. Since November 10th the Rockets have played a total of 7 games with this being their 8th....this will be their 3rd back to back game since the 10th!! Sacto on the other hand has been sitting pretty, only playing 4 games since the 10th and none have been back to back, they had 3 days rest before the Chi Town game and 2 days rest before the Mavs. Need I say more...situational game of the year #3 for your boy Mak. Let's talk rosters real quick. Jason and Spencer are a load down low and will cause trouble for the tired Houston big men. Nocioni, Beno and Tyreke are really providing solid scoring and minutes in the starting 5. Omri, Udoka and Donte are underrated solid wings off the bench. Don't sleep on oldy Kenny Thomas who leads the league and rebounds per minute. This vet is instilling a lot the positive aspects in this team that is allowing them to compete this year. Tyreke Evans off a near triple double will have a solid game as the Kings take advantage of the fatigue factor tonight.
10 UNITS MITCH RICHMOND - - - 
NEW JERSEY NETS MONEYLINE - - - They gotta get this one...and I mean they have to, or else they have a chance to break the record for most consecutive losses. Looking ahead the Nets have a very tough road schedule, they know they must win this game and that is why 2 healthy bodies are being summoned before they are 100%. Lee and Harris will return for the Nets this afternoon. I really think CDR is an up and coming player in this league. He has the skill, height, shot and ability to be a solid solid pro. Brook Lopez has to own the paint today, I see him playing with aggression and really propel his team to victory today. Do not slouch on Trenton Hassel. He is a very good defender and will have the task to defend the hot knick weather it be Wilson, Harrington or Danillo, he will lock em down. As long as Alston and Williams can give them decent minutes and scoring this should be the Nets first win of the season. Usually not as sparse crowd as usual on a Saturday afternoon in NJ. That combined with a desperate ball club should equal a win for NJ.
7 UNITS KERRY KITTLES - - -
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES MONEYLINE - - - Another risky wager, I hate betting against bad teams but I think the Griz take this one at home. Both the Bucks and the Griz are on a back to back. Bucks however have not left Milwaukee all month, this will be their first road game in quite some time and I suspect the Bucks to be a bit rusty. Gay coming off a huge game should get it done. Griz are not amazing on a back to back but I just see Gasol and Randolph being a bit too much for the Bucks. Mike Conley and O.J will outplay the rook and Delfino tonight. Griz array of rookies Sam, Demarr and Thabeet should play about 15 minutes each and I think are good matchups for the Bucks bench. Risky bet but nba gambling is a risky business, gotta go with my gut. Griz.
7 UNITS DAMON STOUDAMIRE - - -
ATLANTA HAWKS - 3.5 (-130) - - - Here we go again. I gotta admit my gut said that Orleans covers, but I think I may be influenced by my loss when I bet PHX. Straight up the Suns choked, they were the better, more talented team and they just cannot play on TNT Thursday. They were 0-12 on TNT prior to that game and I was not aware of that stat. Whoever bets New Orleans is betting meerly due to the resemblance to the PHX/NO line, game and outcome....and that is just not the way to bet the NBA in the long haul folks. If you bet Orleans because you honestly think they are in a better spot and have the better roster then you are drunk. Atlanta holds the best record in ball and they know it, they will not allow themselves to drop a game in Orleans. Especially since they demolished them just a few days ago. It's obvious by the consensus that most of you are vegas's puppets. Orleans got lucky, plain and simple, it won't happen again.
7 UNITS SPUD WEBB - - -
PORTLAND TRAIL-BLAZERS - 12.0 (-130) - - - The Blazers will most def be upset after a bad loss to GS. They do not fare well against that type of tempo, never have, always had trouble against the GS roster. The Minny roster on the other hand is like the perfect assasin for the blazers. They have destroyed them in their 2 games this season, there is no revenge factor, Minny knows they can't test against the Blazers. If you watched the 2 games you could see it planted all over the Tims faces. The Minnesota Crackerjacks have lost their last 7 games by a combined total of 130 points.....that is 130 points guys......that is about 19 per game...this roster is not ready to compete on a day to day basis with the NBA. They will have the worst record in basketball when all is said and done. Portland is a great after-a-loss team and a stellar back to back team. They vent their frustration on the howling wolves.
7 UNITS CLYDE "THE GLIDE" DREXLER - - -
|
|
quote |
|
kapcile |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
Rookie
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 528
Location: California |
#2 Posted: 11/21/2009 4:37:59 AM 
|
|
quote |
|
Zobb |
RSI |
Prospect
Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 383
Location: |
#3 Posted: 11/21/2009 5:37:02 AM  thankyou for the early post..
|
|
quote |
|
baller2922 |
RSI |
Prospect
Joined: May 2007
Posts: 134
Location: |
#4 Posted: 11/21/2009 5:51:51 AM
lets see im with you on NJ all the way, totally agree with all of the analysis that you worte up. NJ -2 or moneyline
Sacramento @ Houston. this game from all of your info that you wrote seems to be the correct play. but if we go back to last week the kings beat the rockets back in sacto straight up in a close game. so now vegas opens the line at -10? it should be more like houston -6...that seems very very strange to me... so this line (-10) screams ''take the kings!'' which the betting public will gladly do. the rockets have lost twice at home so far this year and that was to the champs by 1 in overtime and the suns(very good squad) by 6. i will either take the rockets in this spot or it might be a possible no play.
i am also with you on the Grizz. this team is sometimes hard to read but i think that the bucks are a pretty solid home team but i think their ''home aura'' will not travel with them on the road too much this season. especially without no big man to guard Zach & Baby Gasol down low who are two VERY good low post players. im taking the Grizz -3.5 here.
Hawks @ Hornets... im in the same predicament as you bro. first thought is '' there is no way the hawks can lose to them, they just blew this team out by 20+ a week ago!!!'' this is definitely true. but this line is EVEN LOWER than last games. im talking about the suns/hornets game which opened at a fishy fishy -6. this is how vegas makes there money in the long run. the superior team blows out the inferior at home, then when the superior team gos on the road to play the inferior team they come into the game overlooking them & taking them for granted. just as the suns did. i had the suns to cover in that game knowing that the hornets would probably be up for the game. should probably wait for the public to drive the line up to get the hornets at a good number, not going to make the same mistake twice. its either the hornets + the points or a no play for me.
blazers -15. this is a shitload of points to even give to a crappy team. if i HAD to bet the game i would take the blazers as you are doing buddy but i think i will watch this one from the side lines...
im liking the nuggets to rebound off a bad showing in LA against the clips to take care of the bulls at home who are an average road team. nuggets -8.5
havent looked at any totals yet. will take a look at those tomorrow morning.
BOL Brother! lets have a good day tomorrow
|
|
quote |
|
makaveli23 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 3212
Location: Kenya |
#5 Posted: 11/21/2009 5:56:35 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by kapcile: BOL BRO
Thanks bud you too.
|
|
quote |
|
makaveli23 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 3212
Location: Kenya |
#6 Posted: 11/21/2009 5:56:58 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Zobb: thankyou for the early post..
No problem, best of luck.
|
|
quote |
|
makaveli23 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 3212
Location: Kenya |
#7 Posted: 11/21/2009 6:03:46 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by baller2922: My man Mak! lets go over the games...
lets see im with you on NJ all the way, totally agree with all of the analysis that you worte up. NJ -2 or moneyline
Sacramento @ Houston. this game from all of your info that you wrote seems to be the correct play. but if we go back to last week the kings beat the rockets back in sacto straight up in a close game. so now vegas opens the line at -10? it should be more like houston -6...that seems very very strange to me... so this line (-10) screams ''take the kings!'' which the betting public will gladly do. the rockets have lost twice at home so far this year and that was to the champs by 1 in overtime and the suns(very good squad) by 6. i will either take the rockets in this spot or it might be a possible no play.
i am also with you on the Grizz. this team is sometimes hard to read but i think that the bucks are a pretty solid home team but i think their ''home aura'' will not travel with them on the road too much this season. especially without no big man to guard Zach & Baby Gasol down low who are two VERY good low post players. im taking the Grizz -3.5 here.
Hawks @ Hornets... im in the same predicament as you bro. first thought is '' there is no way the hawks can lose to them, they just blew this team out by 20+ a week ago!!!'' this is definitely true. but this line is EVEN LOWER than last games. im talking about the suns/hornets game which opened at a fishy fishy -6. this is how vegas makes there money in the long run. the superior team blows out the inferior at home, then when the superior team gos on the road to play the inferior team they come into the game overlooking them & taking them for granted. just as the suns did. i had the suns to cover in that game knowing that the hornets would probably be up for the game. should probably wait for the public to drive the line up to get the hornets at a good number, not going to make the same mistake twice. its either the hornets + the points or a no play for me.
blazers -15. this is a shitload of points to even give to a crappy team. if i HAD to bet the game i would take the blazers as you are doing buddy but i think i will watch this one from the side lines...
im liking the nuggets to rebound off a bad showing in LA against the clips to take care of the bulls at home who are an average road team. nuggets -8.5
havent looked at any totals yet. will take a look at those tomorrow morning.
BOL Brother! lets have a good day tomorrow
Excellent analysis. Enjoyed reading your thoughts. Love that shit on my thread, makes my thread that much more valuable to the reader.
My problem is I understand wagerers really want to take the "vegas factor" into aspect but I refuse to on a majority of my bets. I just think this NBA season is going to be a bit different.
I was watching a Raps telecast and my main man Charles Oakley was on the air. It was first or second game of the season and he was asked what he thought of the NBA this year. For all who know the Oakster you know he is straight up and he said flat out there are only 4-5 good teams in the NBA, the rest are garbage. I laughed but if you really think about it some teams are just so massively talented compared to others it is sad. I really feel this year is going to be different, gotta pick your spots with the dogs and if you really feel a roster has complete and utter advantage over the other I really don't care what vegas does or thinks, I will back the better team in a situation like this.
|
|
quote |
|
baller2922 |
RSI |
Prospect
Joined: May 2007
Posts: 134
Location: |
#8 Posted: 11/21/2009 6:25:10 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by makaveli23: Excellent analysis. Enjoyed reading your thoughts. Love that shit on my thread, makes my thread that much more valuable to the reader. My problem is I understand wagerers really want to take the "vegas factor" into aspect but I refuse to on a majority of my bets. I just think this NBA season is going to be a bit different. I was watching a Raps telecast and my main man Charles Oakley was on the air. It was first or second game of the season and he was asked what he thought of the NBA this year. For all who know the Oakster you know he is straight up and he said flat out there are only 4-5 good teams in the NBA, the rest are garbage. I laughed but if you really think about it some teams are just so massively talented compared to others it is sad. I really feel this year is going to be different, gotta pick your spots with the dogs and if you really feel a roster has complete and utter advantage over the other I really don't care what vegas does or thinks, I will back the better team in a situation like this.
Mak. glad you liked my post. i think its great to have 2 people who know what they are talking about, having an intellectual conversation about who they like and why.
in relation to the atlanta/new orleans game....some other good examples of superior teams over looking weak opponents on the road. POR @ GS... 8 point dog won outright (easily) DEN @ LAC... 9 point dog won outright i guess im still up in the air about the hawks/hornets game. hawks are definitely a GOOD team, and not only a good home team but a good road team as well. this might be one of the times i buck the trend (to take N.O.) that i talked about earlier. so i will look at the game some more and i guess ill sleep on it.
all the other plays are good to go at the moment.
|
|
quote |
|
docterd597 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Captain
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 7886
Location: Connecticut |
#9 Posted: 11/21/2009 6:45:30 AM |
|
quote |
|
Orangemen44 |
RSI  |
All-Star
Joined: Feb 2008
Posts: 11443
Location: New York |
#10 Posted: 11/21/2009 7:03:36 AM |
|
quote |
|
Smoochie |
View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 501
Location: |
#11 Posted: 11/21/2009 7:41:33 AM |
|
quote |
|
Syxx |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle |
Prospect
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 1
Location: |
#12 Posted: 11/21/2009 8:04:54 AM |
|
quote |
|
3BallBomber |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
Captain
Joined: May 2008
Posts: 5389
Location: |
#13 Posted: 11/21/2009 8:08:44 AM
|
|
quote |
|
D-Town |
RSI  |
Legend
Joined: Jul 2002
Posts: 74541
Location: Michigan |
#14 Posted: 11/21/2009 9:25:18 AM  |
|
quote |
|
arden08 |
RSI  |
Prospect
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 33
Location: |
#15 Posted: 11/21/2009 9:28:01 AM
|
|
quote |
|
Fathomable |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2008
Posts: 1685
Location: Texas |
#16 Posted: 11/21/2009 9:29:16 AM |
|
quote |
|
lts41 |
RSI |
All-Star
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 12717
Location: |
#17 Posted: 11/21/2009 9:49:51 AM |
|
quote |
|
placeholder |
View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Captain
Joined: Apr 2008
Posts: 7810
Location: |
#18 Posted: 11/21/2009 10:15:43 AM |
|
quote |
|
Maxi111 |
RSI |
Prospect
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 57
Location: |
#19 Posted: 11/21/2009 10:16:56 AM |
|
quote |
|
eagle123 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Prospect
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 149
Location: Hong Kong |
#20 Posted: 11/21/2009 10:18:50 AM |
|
quote |
|
HamSir |
RSI |
Banned
Joined: Apr 2009
Posts: 3947
Location: Florida |
#21 Posted: 11/21/2009 10:23:20 AM |
|
quote |
|
winner76 |
RSI |
Prospect
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 195
Location: |
#22 Posted: 11/21/2009 11:27:59 AM
Great Analysis!
MAK
NETS and MEMPHIS parlay-$$$
|
|
quote |
|
blueandorange |
RSI |
Prospect
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 475
Location: New York |
#23 Posted: 11/21/2009 11:29:12 AM |
|
quote |
|
JB13372 |
RSI |
Covers Rehab
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 288
Location: North Carolina |
#24 Posted: 11/21/2009 11:59:39 AM |
|
quote |
|
K4ngur13 |
RSI |
Captain
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 8357
Location: |
#25 Posted: 11/21/2009 1:23:12 PM |
|
quote |