TONIGHT IS THE NIGHT WHERE YOU CAN PAY YOUR HOUSE OFF!
Cleveland is 20-6 ATS off a straight up loss and they are 4-0 ATS their last 4 games as favorites of 11.0 or greater. The Cavaliers are 20-9 ATS vs. Western Conference teams and they are 4-0 ATS their last 4 meetings with Minnesota. The Timberwolves 32-66-1 ATS their last 99 home games and they are 5-12 ATS with one day of rest. Minnesota is 2-11-1 ATS their last 14 home games vs. a team with a road win percentage of less than 40% and they are 1-6 ATS off an ATS win. 10* PLAY ON CLEVELAND -
The Charlotte Bobcats couldn't get anything going on offense in their first game as their dreadful 31% shooting backed by a frigid 0-10 mark from the arc lead to an offensive output of just 59 points. The Celtics might have had something to do with that flying high in their opener in the Garden. The resistance will be much less tonight against a shooting Knicks team that plays little in the way of defense. Teams off of poor scoring performances are a very good wager in their next game as teams scoring under 65, come back to cover the spread in their next game at a rate of 61.3%! The Bobcats are a tough out at home, finishing last season at 15-6 ATS, and the Knicks just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 against these Cats and 2-5 ATS in Charlotte. I’m going with the Bobcats here -1.5 5 UNITS
Indiana emphasized playing better defense in the offseason. Not much sunk in, as the Hawks shot 53 percent from the field and scored at least 29 points in 3 or 4 quarters in the opener, a 120-109 win over Indiana. Miami comes to town, a young team that prefers to run, off a 115-93 win. Dwyane Wade began defense of his NBA scoring title with 26 points, Jermaine O'Neal finished with 22 points and 12 rebounds. New starting power forward Michael Beasley scored 21 for Miami, which made 26 of 31 shots in a staggering 20-minute stretch. O'neal returns to his old stomping ground here. Look for an offensive show, play the Heat/Pacers Over the total 213, 5 UNITS
Bottom Line: I'll take the Nets at home catching a generous amount of points tonight. The Nets are an impressive 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog and they have played the Magic tough each of the last 2 times they've faced off, losing by just 3 in Orlando to cover the spread and winning outright by 10 at home to cover the number. After blowing a 19-point lead in the fourth quarter to lose to Minnesota Wednesday, expect the Nets to bounce back strong with a solid performance tonight to beat the spread. Take the 10.5 points FOR 10 UNITS!
I expect Arenas and the Wiz to struggle against the more athletic Hawks on the road tonight. Arenas had a nice coming out party against the Mavs, but he'll have to do even more to give Washington a chance here. I think you'll see Washington really missing Antawn Jamison tonight against a deep and versatile Hawks lineup. The Hawks did not play their best, especially on the defensive end, and they still won their season opener by 11 over the Pacers. You can bet Atlanta will be much more focused on the defensive end this evening in its first division game. Washington went only 3-13 ATS vs. division opponents last season, losing by an average score of 87.6 to 98.9. Arenas is back but Jamison is out so that figures out pretty evenly in my book. Lay the 6 points for 5 UNITS
The Heat have lost 14 in a row to the Pacers on the road and are just 5-34 all-time at Indiana. In fact, the Pacers have defeated the Heat at home by an average of 8.0 ppg since 1996. The Heat are just 5-11 ATS in the last 16 overall meetings and the home team is a perfect 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The is a bounce back situation for the Pacers after an 11-point road loss to the Hawks in their opener and they have been rock solid in these spots, posting an 11-4-1 ATS mark in their last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Plus, the Heat have been a poor small road dog, going just 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less. I'll lay the small number -1.5 with the Pacers tonight for 10 units.
Milwaukee @ Philadelphia 7:05 PM EST
Play On: Philadelphia -6 1/2
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU and ATS overall vs Milwaukee last 3 years. Bucks are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games overall. Bucks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Bucks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog. Bucks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic. Bucks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 vs. Eastern Conference. Bucks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games. Bucks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Friday games. Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Bucks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia. Bucks are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings. We'll recommend a large play on Philadelphia tonight -6.5 for 10 UNITS
ALSO TAKE
KINGS+11.5 3 UNITS
BULLS+12 2 UNITS
MEMPHIS+2.5 1 UNIT
CLIPPS+8.5 2 UNITS
WARRIORS+5.5 3 UNITS
MAVS+8 4 UNITS
BOL 2 ALL AND GO ON VACATION WITH YOUR WINNINGS TONIGHT!!!!!!!!