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[Pro Hoops] Topic: any value left 102909 |
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axpiota59 |
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#1 Posted: 10/29/2009 12:55:26 AM might be worth a look now cause I'm thinking this will make it's move down.
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[502] TOTAL u193-110
(SAN ANTONIO vrs CHICAGO) |
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Creepa |
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#2 Posted: 10/29/2009 12:58:42 AM
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HoldenRg |
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#3 Posted: 10/29/2009 1:05:28 AM good eye ax, but consider the the spurs played hyped up tonight and now have to travel.
PEACE! |
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HoldenRg |
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#4 Posted: 10/29/2009 1:35:39 AM  |
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oddsbuster |
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#5 Posted: 10/29/2009 2:11:16 AM   |
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XhuegoX |
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#6 Posted: 10/29/2009 11:46:16 AM |
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K4ngur13 |
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#7 Posted: 10/29/2009 11:54:00 AM |
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axpiota59 |
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#8 Posted: 10/29/2009 1:30:58 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by XhuegoX:
ax, do you see any value in den/port under? line is moving up
Pinny and most of the big books opened this @198 so that's where I capped it last night. Not biting on this one. BOL |
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axpiota59 |
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#9 Posted: 10/29/2009 2:05:35 PM Creepa actually makes a decent point regarding reliance on B2B situations on his post. This early in the season, it's difficult to wager on situational analysis, fundamental analysis or statistical analysis. We're flying blind gents. That's why, as I've said heretofore, I rely heavily on trending this part of the season. Let the books do all the capping for you and just play against their numbers. I like to use last 3 seasons as a sample. Trending alone is not a great capping strategy but it's a guessing game right now.
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axpiota59 |
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#10 Posted: 10/29/2009 2:06:50 PM
| Team |
ATS |
O-U |
SU |
| SAS away -2.5 + |
14-26 |
17-22-1 |
11-29 |
| CHI home +2.5 + |
45-46-3 |
43-50-1 |
66-28 | |
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axpiota59 |
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#11 Posted: 10/29/2009 2:07:18 PM
| SAS away 193 - |
48-51 |
42-56-1 |
61-38 |
| CHI home 193 - |
24-29-2 |
26-28-1 |
33-22 | |
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axpiota59 |
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#12 Posted: 10/29/2009 2:08:17 PM Under Prob % based on side 54.5%
Under Prob % based on total 55.3%
Prob % of both events 30.14%
Play on: Under 193
Sorry, had to break that up due to posting character restrictions |
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ThePatriot |
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#13 Posted: 10/29/2009 2:23:15 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by axpiota59: Under Prob % based on side 54.5%
Under Prob % based on total 55.3%
Prob % of both events 30.14%
Play on: Under 193
Sorry, had to break that up due to posting character restrictions
Hey Ax, looks your play for today is under for the SAS/CHI Game right? BOL bro!
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HoldenRg |
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#14 Posted: 10/29/2009 2:30:21 PM
" I have a gut feeling" 
PEACE!
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axpiota59 |
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#15 Posted: 10/29/2009 2:37:06 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by ThePatriot:
Hey Ax, looks your play for today is under for the SAS/CHI Game right? BOL bro!
Yeah, small action wager 1/20th Unit.
caveat: From a value standpoint, there is absolutely no value whatsoever on this or on the over. I'm just playing for the action. I too am an action junkie at times. LOL
How about them C's. Can't bet on them since I'm such a Homer.
BOL pal |
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KingKappy128 |
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#16 Posted: 10/29/2009 2:37:58 PM
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axpiota59 |
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#17 Posted: 10/29/2009 2:39:46 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by HoldenRg:
I agree with you about flying blind AX. There is not enough out there yet for each team to see. Right now just going with the good old
" I have a gut feeling"
PEACE!
With 13 games on tap for FRI, I'm reverting to the oldest strategy of them all. The "HOT" capping method.
Heads Or Tails LMAO
Have a good night my friend. |
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diamonddicer |
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#18 Posted: 10/29/2009 3:20:28 PM Hey Ax great stuff - new to the NBA forum spend my time primarily in baseball. If you have a min would you or anyone else who has the knowledge go a little bit more into detail about trending and how you use the books to cap the game for you in the NBA?
Best of luck to a great season |
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madashman |
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#19 Posted: 10/29/2009 3:28:10 PM
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madashman |
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#20 Posted: 10/29/2009 3:29:19 PM
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cacabware |
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#21 Posted: 10/29/2009 3:41:29 PM Don't know much about you mr. piota , but love how you carry yourself around here,,,,the class you show makes you stand out in my book.
good luck with your under tonight sir. |
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axpiota59 |
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#22 Posted: 10/29/2009 3:47:49 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by madashman:
*fav of 2.5 or more on the road.
Please do not pay any attention to the ATS or SU numbers. This is actually a huge table and I was only pointing some of the trending with the O-U section. It was careless of me not to cut those out and assume people will only look at that section. |
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axpiota59 |
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#23 Posted: 10/29/2009 3:49:24 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by diamonddicer:
Hey Ax great stuff - new to the NBA forum spend my time primarily in baseball. If you have a min would you or anyone else who has the knowledge go a little bit more into detail about trending and how you use the books to cap the game for you in the NBA?
Best of luck to a great season
Google search SQDL and it will lead you to the correct resources. We're not allowed to post links here. BOL |
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axpiota59 |
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#24 Posted: 10/29/2009 3:50:41 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by cacabware:
Don't know much about you mr. piota , but love how you carry yourself around here,,,,the class you show makes you stand out in my book.
good luck with your under tonight sir.
TY and BOL with your season. |
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HoldenRg |
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#25 Posted: 10/29/2009 3:50:59 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by cacabware: Don't know much about you mr. piota , but love how you carry yourself around here,,,,the class you show makes you stand out in my book.
good luck with your under tonight sir. 
PEACE!
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