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[Pro Hoops] Topic: CoJo's DoJo: Probabilities & picks for NBA opening night |
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atxcojo |
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#1 Posted: 10/27/2009 3:24:01 PM Here are my probabilities of a cover for for all the games tonight. Going to stick with this all year....anything 55% and up will merit a single unit play. Anything that hits over a 60% probability will be a 2 unit play. 65% and up will be considered a top play at 5 units a play. If any of you use V1 or V2, or ABC methods (something that I am just now learning) and it coincides with these probability selections...let me know, could be a GOY-like play. BOL everyone 
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atxcojo |
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#2 Posted: 10/27/2009 3:26:44 PM | Washington Wizards +8 |
37.0%
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| Dallas Mavericks -8 |
59.0%
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| OVR 207.5 |
38.3%
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| UND 207.5 |
61.6%
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atxcojo |
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#3 Posted: 10/27/2009 3:27:32 PM | Boston Celtics +5 |
50.7%
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| Cleveland Cavaliers -5 |
45.9% |
| OVR 184.5 |
44.3%
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| UND 184.5 |
55.8%
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atxcojo |
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#4 Posted: 10/27/2009 3:28:25 PM
| Los Angeles Clippers +11 |
41.2%
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| Los Angeles Lakers -11 |
55.1% |
| OVR 203.5 |
65.6%
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| UND 203.5 |
34.4%
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atxcojo |
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#5 Posted: 10/27/2009 3:29:47 PM
| Houston Rockets +9 |
59.5%
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| Portland Trail Blazers -9 |
36.4%
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| OVR 186.5 |
56.8%
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| UND 186.5 |
43.2%
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atxcojo |
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#6 Posted: 10/27/2009 3:37:56 PM Mavs Under 207.5 --> 2U LAL vs LAV OVER 203.5 --> 2U CLE vs Bos UNDER 184.5 -->1U HOU +9 --> 1 U LAL -11 --> 1U
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atxcojo |
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#7 Posted: 10/27/2009 3:40:43 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by atxcojo:
Mavs Under 207.5 --> 2U LAL vs LAV OVER 203.5 --> 2U CLE vs Bos UNDER 184.5 -->1U HOU +9 --> 1 U LAL -11 --> 1U
Had to change the units on the Mavs under and the LAL over......
Final Card: LAL vs LAV OVER 203.5 --> 5U Mavs Under 207.5 --> 2U CLE vs Bos UNDER 184.5 -->1U HOU +9 --> 1 U LAL -11 --> 1U
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atxcojo |
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#8 Posted: 10/27/2009 3:42:18 PM Final Card: LAL vs LAV OVER 203.5 --> 5U Mavs Under 207.5 --> 2U CLE vs Bos UNDER 184.5 -->1U HOU +9 --> 1 U DAL - 8 --> 1U LAL -11 --> 1U |
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atxcojo |
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#9 Posted: 10/27/2009 3:45:14 PM Final Card (I swear!): LAL vs LAV OVER 203.5 --> 5U Mavs Under 207.5 --> 2U CLE vs Bos UNDER 184.5 -->1U HOU +9 --> 1 U Hou OVER 186.5 --> 1U DAL - 8 --> 1U LAL -11 --> 1U |
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atxcojo |
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#10 Posted: 10/27/2009 3:48:03 PM To Win| Ticket#: | | Straight | Oct 27 | NBA [502] TOTAL u185-110 (BOSTON vrs CLEVELAND) | 28.00 USD / 25.00 USD | 522661 | | Straight | Oct 27 | NBA [504] DALLAS -8-110 | 28.00 USD / 25.00 USD | 522662 | | Straight | Oct 27 | NBA [504] TOTAL u207½-110 (WASHINGTON vrs DALLAS) | 55.00 USD / 50.00 USD | 522663 | | Straight | Oct 27 | NBA [505] HOUSTON +9-110 | 28.00 USD / 25.00 USD | 522664 | | Straight | Oct 27 | NBA [506] TOTAL u186½-110 (HOUSTON vrs PORTLAND) | 28.00 USD / 25.00 USD | 522665 | | Straight | Oct 27 | NBA [507] TOTAL o203-110 (LA CLIPPERS vrs LA LAKERS) | 138.00 USD / 125.00 USD | 522666 | | Straight | Oct 27 | NBA [508] LA LAKERS -11-110 | 28.00 USD / 25.00 USD | 522667 | |
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atxcojo |
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#11 Posted: 10/27/2009 7:19:25 PM No opinions?
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toaster |
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#12 Posted: 10/27/2009 7:48:49 PM I may be wrong(but I don't think so).it looks like you made a wrong play in the Port/Houst total...you played the under when it should be over... |
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atxcojo |
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#13 Posted: 10/27/2009 8:23:45 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by toaster:
I may be wrong(but I don't think so).it looks like you made a wrong play in the Port/Houst total...you played the under when it should be over...
Glad I am playing only a fraction of what my football units are...time to hedge that bet.
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