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CoJo's DoJo: Probabilities & picks for NBA opening night

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Posts: 13
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1
Here are my probabilities of a cover for for all the games tonight. Going to stick with this all year....anything 55% and up will merit a single unit play. Anything that hits over a 60% probability will be a 2 unit play. 65% and up will be considered a top play at 5 units a play. If any of you use V1 or V2, or ABC methods (something that I am just now learning) and it coincides with these probability selections...let me know, could be a GOY-like play. BOL everyone

43.2%
 
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Posted: #2
Washington Wizards +8 37.0%
Dallas Mavericks -8 59.0%
OVR 207.5 38.3%
UND 207.5 61.6%













 
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Posted: #3
Boston Celtics +5 50.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers -5 45.9%
OVR 184.5 44.3%
UND 184.5 55.8%




 
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Posted: #4
Los Angeles Clippers +11 41.2%
Los Angeles Lakers -11 55.1%

OVR 203.5 65.6%
UND 203.5 34.4%


 
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Posted: #5
Houston Rockets +9 59.5%
Portland Trail Blazers -9 36.4%

OVR 186.5 56.8%
UND 186.5 43.2%



 
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Posted: #6
Mavs Under 207.5 --> 2U
LAL vs LAV OVER 203.5 --> 2U
CLE vs Bos UNDER 184.5 -->1U
HOU +9 --> 1 U
LAL -11 --> 1U
 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by atxcojo:

Mavs Under 207.5 --> 2U
LAL vs LAV OVER 203.5 --> 2U
CLE vs Bos UNDER 184.5 -->1U
HOU +9 --> 1 U
LAL -11 --> 1U


Had to change the units on the Mavs under and the LAL over......

Final Card:
LAL vs LAV OVER 203.5 --> 5U
Mavs Under 207.5 --> 2U
CLE vs Bos UNDER 184.5 -->1U
HOU +9 --> 1 U
LAL -11 --> 1U
 
Prospect
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Posted: #8
Final Card:
LAL vs LAV OVER 203.5 --> 5U
Mavs Under 207.5 --> 2U
CLE vs Bos UNDER 184.5 -->1U
HOU +9 --> 1 U
DAL - 8 --> 1U
LAL -11 --> 1U
 
Prospect
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Posted: #9
Final Card (I swear!):
LAL vs LAV OVER 203.5 --> 5U
Mavs Under 207.5 --> 2U
CLE vs Bos UNDER 184.5 -->1U
HOU +9 --> 1 U
Hou OVER 186.5 --> 1U
DAL - 8 --> 1U
LAL -11 --> 1U
 
Prospect
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Posted: #10
To Win
Ticket#:
StraightOct 27NBA [502] TOTAL u185-110 (BOSTON vrs CLEVELAND) 28.00 USD / 25.00 USD522661
StraightOct 27NBA [504] DALLAS -8-110 28.00 USD / 25.00 USD522662
StraightOct 27NBA [504] TOTAL u207½-110 (WASHINGTON vrs DALLAS) 55.00 USD / 50.00 USD522663
StraightOct 27NBA [505] HOUSTON +9-110 28.00 USD / 25.00 USD522664
StraightOct 27NBA [506] TOTAL u186½-110 (HOUSTON vrs PORTLAND) 28.00 USD / 25.00 USD522665
StraightOct 27NBA [507] TOTAL o203-110 (LA CLIPPERS vrs LA LAKERS) 138.00 USD / 125.00 USD522666
StraightOct 27NBA [508] LA LAKERS -11-110 28.00 USD / 25.00 USD522667
 
Prospect
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Posted: #11
No opinions?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #12
I may be wrong(but I don't think so).it looks like you made a wrong play in the Port/Houst total...you played the under when it should be over...
 
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by toaster:

I may be wrong(but I don't think so).it looks like you made a wrong play in the Port/Houst total...you played the under when it should be over...


Glad I am playing only a fraction of what my football units are...time to hedge that bet.
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