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[Pro Hoops] Topic: 70% Myth busted! it went 4-0 last night |
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chess1 |
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#1 Posted: 2/19/2009 12:37:36 PM
Cleveland 69%-7.5
Denver 69%-1
Phoenix 74%-8
Los Angeles-4.5
Lakers73%
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dopalicous |
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#2 Posted: 2/19/2009 12:38:30 PM nice work |
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risktaker |
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#3 Posted: 2/19/2009 12:39:41 PM public is not wrong all of the time cleveland and lakers have been public teams all year and they have goood ats  |
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chess1 |
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#4 Posted: 2/19/2009 12:40:23 PM
Really? No my friends there is NO SYSTEM to gambling!!That's why its called gambling! If there was a system that could hit 60% in constant bases then I would quit my job now!
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zombee |
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#5 Posted: 2/19/2009 1:37:34 PM
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CalBear |
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#6 Posted: 2/19/2009 1:39:12 PM Good stuff....I hate when people base picks soley on public percentages or they use that as a reason to fade a team.
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Buzzcat |
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#7 Posted: 2/19/2009 1:39:52 PM
Just pick winners.
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fatdan215 |
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#8 Posted: 2/19/2009 1:42:13 PM |
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Jonzy92000 |
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#9 Posted: 2/19/2009 1:43:50 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by chess1: Its about time to do this since I get tired of BS "system" this "system" that. Really? No my friends there is NO SYSTEM to gambling!!That's why its called gambling! If there was a system that could hit 60% in constant bases then I would quit my job now!
Couldn't agree more. As long as humans ref the games and play the games, there is no such thing as a 'system.' If there were, all the sportbooks would be out of business. |
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lacral |
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#10 Posted: 2/19/2009 1:45:09 PM |
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Bruuuuce78 |
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#11 Posted: 2/19/2009 1:46:17 PM fading the public isn't a good strategy..........but seeing where the public is is a valuable tool for handicapping.......... |
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Ducati |
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#12 Posted: 2/19/2009 1:49:44 PM  GJ
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Jimmag |
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#13 Posted: 2/19/2009 1:49:50 PM Myth Busters |
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dunkinthegrill |
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#14 Posted: 2/19/2009 1:51:29 PM
about effing time one of my parlays hit!!! i was biting my nails in the lakers game though!
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ridiculuz |
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#15 Posted: 2/19/2009 1:57:13 PM |
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NFLNightmares |
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#16 Posted: 2/19/2009 2:03:16 PM
For instance lets say the spurs were a public play vs the knicks 2 nights ago.
Since the spurs lost, they count it as a public play. If the spurs had won they would have said "line moves and betting patterns were influenced by ginobli being a late scratch" so it is not a public play.
Hindsight is 20-20
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GRINDINunits420 |
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#17 Posted: 2/19/2009 3:01:12 PM "fade the public" bandwagon riders just cant make a decision for themselves so they auto pick the worst choice without capping a single thing which =  ... im a keep my money with the best options period not with the losing vote getter!! its no popularity contest!! |
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Rocketman17 |
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#18 Posted: 2/19/2009 3:27:58 PM While I agree that there is no "true" system.. The plays that are much more profitable are when the percentage is above 70% and there is no line movement or reverse line movement. The line moved accordingly in 3 of the 4 games (Lakers being the one that stayed the same).
The same lines could be shown in last nights games in CBB
Pacific 83% Loss
Illinois 72% Loss
Va Tech 69% Loss
Butler 86% Loss
Just depends on what statistics you want to look at...
I use various methods of capping games but to show these 4 games and think it dispproves everything isn't true. If you faded the 4 in CBB you would have gone 4-4 losing juice..
However, I do find the public % has little to no effect on NBA games but does play a role in CBB, especially nat. tv games..
BOL
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