Messages

The Chicago Bulls are 4.5 point home dogs, and it appears that the Public are leaning heavy on the road team by the concensus.  They play a Phoenix Suns team that is on the 3rd game of a B2B/ dayoff/ B2B with all the games on the road.  My intial thought is that I might be able to bet the Bulls when I watch the game tonight by playing against the public. 

4 games in 5 days with 2 sets of back to backs happened 18 times last year in the NBA. In 07, the Road Team's record was 13-5 SU and 11-6-1.  Also, the over was 12-6.  Okay this favors Phoenix, but what if I look at the Road teams as favorites with the same criteria in these games.  It happened 9 times.  The Vistors went 9-0 SU and 6-2-1 ATS.  Wins ATS (-6.5, -6.5, -2, -2.5, -7, -5.5)  Loss ATS (-10,-8) Push (-3)  Finally, the over in these games were 8-1.  More Phoenix.  What if the East is hoasting a Western Conference team?  5-2 SU / 5-2 ATS / 5-2 Over.  Deng, more signs pointing to Phoenix.  FYI this has happened once this year and SAC lost SU & ATS as road dogs, but the over hit.

This year the Bulls have won and covered at home both times this year against MEM & MIL.  They have lost against CLE, BOS, & ORL.  They covered in the Magic game, but that is not a suprise as the Magic showed again last night that they might have a problem closing teams out.  Against Elite teams CLE & BOS the Bulls have looked very pedestrian. 

Okay thesis statement, body paragraph,  What else?  Oh yeah.  My pick  I will play the Suns -4.5   2 units.   Could play the over too but I will probably just be happy with the pick because when I limit my plays I usually make $.   This week up 7 units 4-0 with a posted record (9-1 overall NBA).  GLA