Riders vs. Argos Thursday night

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Author: [CFL] Topic: Riders vs. Argos Thursday night
Sean_Murphy PM Sean_Murphy
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Posted: 7/9/2013 12:41:34 PM
We enjoyed a relatively stress-free win with the Argos and Lions 'under' the total last Thursday. Early lines are out for Week 3. I've already played this one, wanted to pass it along. Going back to the well again.

Saskatchewan has scored 39 and 36 points in its first two games this season. Note that the Riders have posted back-to-back 30+ point performances only four times in the past three seasons. In their next game they've put up 25, 23, 5, and 20 points.

I'm expecting some regression from the Riders offense again in this spot.

Week 3 is all about adjustments, and I'm confident we'll see the Argos make the necessary ones defensively after allowing 45 first half points in their first two games this season. Of course, a big key will be slowing down Riders RB Kory Sheets who has ran for 264 yards and two touchdowns already this season. Stopping the run should certainly be a point of emphasis this week, as Toronto has allowed 131.5 rush yards per game in two games this season.

Keep in mind, this is a young Argos defense after losing a number of key cogs from last year's championship caliber unit. That doesn't mean the cupboard is bare, however. Toronto's defense is young, but talented, and this is a big step-up spot against an undefeated opponent.

Saskatchewan has gotten off to a perfect start not only thanks to its offense, but its stellar defensive play as well. The Riders may not have gained a ton of respect for holding the Eskmos to 18 points in Week 1, but they received plenty of praise for last week's awesome second half performance against the Stampeders, holding them scoreless over the game's final 30 minutes.

The Riders may not be an elite-level defensive team yet, but they're getting there. Note that they've held the Argos to 24 points or less in each of their last three trips to Toronto, although I will point out that the Argos were without Ricky Ray in their home matchup with the Riders last year. While this is a big step-up spot for the Argos, the same can be said for the Riders - Toronto is the defending Grey Cup champion after all.

Last year, we saw this same matchup feature closing totals of 47.5 and 51 points. The Riders have a significantly better defense this year, while the Argos should play with a chip on their shoulder after last week's tough loss in B.C. The 'under' has cashed in five of the last six meetings in this series, and I expect that trend to continue here. Take the under.

Best of luck this week.

SportsFreak69 PM SportsFreak69
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Posted: 7/11/2013 3:57:01 PM
Best of Luck 
salo76 PM salo76
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Posted: 7/11/2013 4:10:42 PM
Good luck Sean!
cmac29 PM cmac29
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Posted: 7/11/2013 4:20:14 PM

Green Riders cover and I'll take the Under as well

We're on the same page

BOL

 

venezolanisimo PM venezolanisimo
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Posted: 7/11/2013 5:07:25 PM
AAY PM AAY
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Posted: 7/11/2013 5:45:47 PM
GL
SirBruce PM SirBruce
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Posted: 7/11/2013 6:44:20 PM
Appreciate your insights and might jump on the under as well. 

Good job Sean
Sean_Murphy PM Sean_Murphy
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Posted: 7/11/2013 6:48:22 PM
Total has been on the move. Looks like 54.5 juiced to the 'over' just before kickoff. Let's cash this one guys.
SirBruce PM SirBruce
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Posted: 7/11/2013 6:51:00 PM
Changed my mind and am staying away from total

Going Tor

Good luck to you though Sean
SirBruce PM SirBruce
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Posted: 7/11/2013 7:48:32 PM
changed my mind again and made $10 parlay with toronto and the under


Sean_Murphy PM Sean_Murphy
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Posted: 7/11/2013 10:17:00 PM
Bad call on my part tonight. Had a shot late, but it would have been a truly 'lucky' win given the way the game played out. Riders look like the real deal, but let's face it, the Argos have a lot of work to do defensively.
DDH420 PM DDH420
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Posted: 7/11/2013 10:52:24 PM
UNDER tomorrow ?? No Tate means Glenn and likely a boatload of touches for Cornish........And MON having some growing pains with new personel and system changes mean they may have issues throwing a 30 spot up on the board against a CAL D thats much better than the BB's.

Either way BOL and solid analysis so far this year.
cmac29 PM cmac29
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Posted: 7/12/2013 4:46:51 PM

How many holes in that Argo D......I'll never stray to an UNDER call again in a Argo game unless theres real improvement in the D. Cory Sheets could have been blind and still had a 100 yd game.

Tonight the Als will falter, Glenn not exactly a newbie to the game, gotta take the Stamps to easily cover and I like the Under here as well, (see above). Als just won't be able to put pts on the board. When Tressman was there he could pull a rabbit out of his hat. New coach is and will have a LOT of growing pains this yr. My biggest concern for the ALS is that they need a good back up for Cavillo. I thought McPherson had a shot but they dropped him.

BOL

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