Wednesday CFL

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Author: [CFL] Topic: Wednesday CFL
Polar_Bear PM Polar_Bear
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Posted: 7/14/2010 12:31:59 AM

Season 3-0  +300

Calgary -6 -110  110/100

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djterryt PM djterryt
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Posted: 7/14/2010 5:05:12 AM
same side ...love it
djterryt PM djterryt
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Posted: 7/14/2010 5:05:48 AM
same side....best of luck! lets get this
Polar_Bear PM Polar_Bear
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Posted: 7/14/2010 8:59:34 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by djterryt:

same side....best of luck! lets get this

The Stamps D-Line will dominate the Argo O-Line especially with the Boatman kid filling in, he will get beat more and more as the game progresses. His conditioning is horrible and his skills are average at best. The Stamps already had the advantage there and that just made it a bigger one.

The loss of Parker at Corner will be better exposed by Burris than it was against the Bombers. The Argos always play their best ball against the their neighbours the Bombers as I am sure you are well aware and they almost always follow it up with a dud in the next game. Cleo Lemon should be running for his life tonight...

Polar_Bear PM Polar_Bear
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Posted: 7/14/2010 9:39:45 AM

Couple of side notes: The Stamps had lost 7 in a row in Toronto until  thumping them there 44-16 in 2008 and then beating them in a tighter one 23-20 there last season.

The last time Calgary started the season 2-0 was in 2000 when they opened the season 7-0.

Calgary is on a 6 game winning streak against the Argos going back to 2007 with only one of those games being decided by less than a touchdown, the 23-20 win in Toronto last season. The average score in those 6 games has been 35-12.

Ofcourse this is only one game and all that means nothing except for the fact the lopsided time of possession stats and rushing stats do outline the severe contrast in style between these two teams with the Stamps being more of a capable power football team on both sides of the ball and the Argos being a weaker team along both sides of the line and relying more on the scrambling abilities of their QB's and yards after the catch by their  receivers. We will find out just how fast Lemon can run tonight especially with an injury to the Argo O-line which will only add to their lack of rush threat and lack of protection.

RB Joffrey Reynolds saves his best football for Argo games boasting a 90.8 yard per game average against them in 13 games, 6 times eclipsing the 100 yard mark and his career single game high of 189 yards came against them in 2004.

SB P.K Sam had a great Stamps debut with 7 receptions for 62 yards last week and faces his old team for the first time tonight in Toronto.

fab14 PM fab14
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Posted: 7/14/2010 9:50:04 AM
I hope your right....This is a tough spot for my boys with 3 days rest between games..I`am going to play the stamps ML tonight...GL
Polar_Bear PM Polar_Bear
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Posted: 7/14/2010 10:51:25 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by fab14:

I hope your right....This is a tough spot for my boys with 3 days rest between games..I`am going to play the stamps ML tonight...GL

Thanks buddy. The Argos played just 16 hours prior to the Stamps game and they also had to travel across province and lose one hour on the clock while the Stamps had virtually no travel already being in Hamilton so that is pretty much a wash so no excuse there for them.

With the Stamps being the more physical football team and better rushing team the short turn around should give them even more of an advantage if anything....

Raidernator76 PM Raidernator76
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Posted: 7/14/2010 1:38:22 PM
is there something that makes this line -5.5 or 6 Polar? You still like it as of today? Shouldn't the line be at least a TD or is it where it should be? 
Polar_Bear PM Polar_Bear
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Posted: 7/14/2010 2:06:19 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Raidernator76:

is there something that makes this line -5.5 or 6 Polar? You still like it as of today? Shouldn't the line be at least a TD or is it where it should be? 

Based on the first two weeks the line should be about -4 IMO. The first two weeks are a bit misleading. The first Stamps/ Argos game really was not even as close as the 14 point deficit would have you think it was. Every stat was completely lopsided however a few first week hiccups by the Stamps kept the game within two td's and in week two the Argos beat Winnipeg an age old rival whom they always play very well no matter what the standings and they always play particularly well in Winnipeg. The Stamps had to scratch their way past Hamilton and both of these factors have kept this line low and with some value IMO. I thought based on these facts it would be around -4 or -3 actually so by opening it at 6 tells me the oddsmakers feel Calgary will step it up tonight and play more like they should. The argos played above their heads a few days ago and the stamps below theirs and based on that the argos look very attractive getting 6 points at home here but IMO that is misleading. The tough fought game in Hamilton will have Calgary on their toes for this matchup tonight.

No crystal ball here though, just how I see it.....

Raidernator76 PM Raidernator76
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Posted: 7/14/2010 2:08:34 PM
gotcha. so, what's the deal about Calgary doesn't play tough enough or as well in Toronto?
djterryt PM djterryt
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Posted: 7/14/2010 2:31:11 PM

totally agree polar...i think this line should have been Calgary -7 ish or so...

 

the true number i think was realistically 8 but afte giving the 3 for the home squad....5 was pretty accurate

thehuntman PM thehuntman
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Posted: 7/14/2010 2:53:14 PM

GL PB....I like where your going with this....Argos suck at home.

Polar_Bear PM Polar_Bear
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Posted: 7/14/2010 3:27:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Raidernator76:

gotcha. so, what's the deal about Calgary doesn't play tough enough or as well in Toronto?
Going back a few years no but they have taken the last two games in Toronto by scores of 44-16 and 23-20 so that is not an issue as of late.
Polar_Bear PM Polar_Bear
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Posted: 7/14/2010 3:27:47 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by djterryt:

totally agree polar...i think this line should have been Calgary -7 ish or so...

 

the true number i think was realistically 8 but afte giving the 3 for the home squad....5 was pretty accurate

Polar_Bear PM Polar_Bear
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Posted: 7/14/2010 3:28:46 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by thehuntman:

GL PB....I like where your going with this....Argos suck at home.

hunt good to see you buddy!  ARGOOOOOOS!!!  They will be singing that drunken tune win or lose this we know....
justinhk PM justinhk
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Posted: 7/14/2010 3:36:47 PM
I'm not too sure about the -6 although I still think the Stampeders will win. I'm gonna change the lines to -3 for me with -170 odds and bet on that.
canadiantruth PM canadiantruth
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Posted: 7/14/2010 3:38:07 PM
GREAT WRITE UP

Let's get this 
rekamyenoM PM rekamyenoM
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Posted: 7/14/2010 4:32:31 PM

I like your thinking. Great highlights, facts, and points. I believe if you are wrong it was a fluke. I don't tail very often... But I am ith you on this one! Do or Die! I'm in.

 

SnotBoogy PM SnotBoogy
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Posted: 7/14/2010 4:39:30 PM
i'm withya
Polar_Bear PM Polar_Bear
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Posted: 7/14/2010 4:53:14 PM

just...

canadian...

reka...

snot...

Heading out till later tonight. rekamyenoM like you said if this loses IMO it was still the right side as Calgary is more than a TD better than Toronto no matter where they play. No certainties in gambling but betting on Toronto to keep it close or win because Calgary is overlooking them is just hoping and wishing. If both teams show and play with the same effort Calgary wins this game by double digits but it would not be the first time something did not go as scripted. This game and spread is Calgary's to blow, it is as simple as that so let's just hope they play like they can tonight...

T2KOAK PM T2KOAK
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Posted: 7/14/2010 5:00:41 PM

Calgary

Great insight.

HoldenRg PM HoldenRg
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Posted: 7/14/2010 5:08:08 PM

BOL to you my friend. How have you been doing? God I hope.

 

PEACE!

Blue_Chips PM Blue_Chips
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Posted: 7/14/2010 5:53:34 PM

New to this. Rollin with the Polar tonight!

spottie2935 PM spottie2935
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Posted: 7/14/2010 5:59:43 PM
my pick is the stamp tonight as well same amount 2 us

my play of the week is the eskies

gl polar!
MrZamboni PM MrZamboni
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Posted: 7/14/2010 6:01:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Polar_Bear:

Season 3-0  +300

Calgary -6 -110  110/100

BOL To The Forum


I will tail you on this, good luck

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