I hear ya, a lot of people like dream, but I can't pull the trigger:
This game is too unpredictable based on several factors.
1. This game is meaningless to both teams, so there is a lack of motivation in this particular game. Sparks want to continue playing well and go into the playoffs on a winning streak to challenge Lynx. Dream are playing for pride and are playing really well of late, if the season started two weeks ago they would be in the playoffs easily. If either of these teams fall behind by too much they might just mail it in on the second half. I don't like betting on teams that can quit because of lack of motivation.
2.Line is just about right in my opinion, so no line value. But market reading does give slight edge to Dream in this matchup.
3. Matchup favors Sparks, they have the better interior players and good perimeter play as well, very complete team, but Angel McCoughtry creates a lot of contact and could have Sparks bigs out of the game fast. Depends how the refs call the game. Dream can shoot that 3-ball and if they're making them then Dream will easily cover (Sparks don't defend the 3-ball that well).
4. Sparks clinched playoff, but can't move up in seed anymore, and Dream just playing for pride, if there is a lack of motivation here then I think it will generate a lack of defense (since it takes great effort to play great defense).
This is why I'm laying $$$ on the over
On the other game I liked the Liberty since they are one game away from clinching home court for the entire playoffs (they only have to win one of last three games to clinch it). I expect them to win this game, but a lot of points to cover for a defensive minded team. This is a counter intuitive play, everything points towards the under, so I will roll the over expecting this game to be closer than expected for most part of the game and the Sun making Liberty earn that home court. This game might be a free throw fest, physical game which helps the over.
I hear ya, a lot of people like dream, but I can't pull the trigger:
This game is too unpredictable based on several factors.
1. This game is meaningless to both teams, so there is a lack of motivation in this particular game. Sparks want to continue playing well and go into the playoffs on a winning streak to challenge Lynx. Dream are playing for pride and are playing really well of late, if the season started two weeks ago they would be in the playoffs easily. If either of these teams fall behind by too much they might just mail it in on the second half. I don't like betting on teams that can quit because of lack of motivation.
2.Line is just about right in my opinion, so no line value. But market reading does give slight edge to Dream in this matchup.
3. Matchup favors Sparks, they have the better interior players and good perimeter play as well, very complete team, but Angel McCoughtry creates a lot of contact and could have Sparks bigs out of the game fast. Depends how the refs call the game. Dream can shoot that 3-ball and if they're making them then Dream will easily cover (Sparks don't defend the 3-ball that well).
4. Sparks clinched playoff, but can't move up in seed anymore, and Dream just playing for pride, if there is a lack of motivation here then I think it will generate a lack of defense (since it takes great effort to play great defense).
This is why I'm laying $$$ on the over
On the other game I liked the Liberty since they are one game away from clinching home court for the entire playoffs (they only have to win one of last three games to clinch it). I expect them to win this game, but a lot of points to cover for a defensive minded team. This is a counter intuitive play, everything points towards the under, so I will roll the over expecting this game to be closer than expected for most part of the game and the Sun making Liberty earn that home court. This game might be a free throw fest, physical game which helps the over.
Tough games, and sparks line up change killed my chances, they are an up tempo team with candace in the lineup, but they become half court and stagnant without her. Didn't know about it till the game started, this one is on me. Sorry guys!
Tough games, and sparks line up change killed my chances, they are an up tempo team with candace in the lineup, but they become half court and stagnant without her. Didn't know about it till the game started, this one is on me. Sorry guys!
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