Phoenix continues to roll while the Lynx win but hardly impressive.
The Lynx pt margin has dropped from 4.4 to 3.7, very poor for a top team with one of the best records.
The Lynx continue to get pounded in 3 pt shooting,2 of the past 3 games they were destroyed in 3 pt shooting before having a strong game last night, but are getting out-shoot by their opps now by 6.5% with a defense of 39%.
Here's the Lynx last 3 years pt margins and 3 pt shooting.........
9.4....... 9.8...... 7.9 pts
They out-shot their opps all 3 years in 3 pts by.... 4.7%....7.3%....1.4%
Defense of.....31.8%....32.7%....35.4%
This years team is a shadow of the teams from past 3 years.
I ran my power ratings this morning......................
Phoenix - 12.56
Lynx - 4.7
At home in the playoffs my line would be Phoenix -11.86
At the moment Phoenix ranks with the great teams in WNBA History.
Now, with all that said, it's not likely Phoenix will maintain this level of play over the long run, they could but likely won't.
Right now Ph off a great run of games, they'll likely have a lull at some point and fall back some, however I'm leaning harder and harder on Ph to win the title.
I'll take some small action on that today and add to it after we see how Ph does the next few games. If Ph were to fall back soon we may get better odds after. But if they continue to play this well the odds will sink.
Phoenix continues to roll while the Lynx win but hardly impressive.
The Lynx pt margin has dropped from 4.4 to 3.7, very poor for a top team with one of the best records.
The Lynx continue to get pounded in 3 pt shooting,2 of the past 3 games they were destroyed in 3 pt shooting before having a strong game last night, but are getting out-shoot by their opps now by 6.5% with a defense of 39%.
Here's the Lynx last 3 years pt margins and 3 pt shooting.........
9.4....... 9.8...... 7.9 pts
They out-shot their opps all 3 years in 3 pts by.... 4.7%....7.3%....1.4%
Defense of.....31.8%....32.7%....35.4%
This years team is a shadow of the teams from past 3 years.
I ran my power ratings this morning......................
Phoenix - 12.56
Lynx - 4.7
At home in the playoffs my line would be Phoenix -11.86
At the moment Phoenix ranks with the great teams in WNBA History.
Now, with all that said, it's not likely Phoenix will maintain this level of play over the long run, they could but likely won't.
Right now Ph off a great run of games, they'll likely have a lull at some point and fall back some, however I'm leaning harder and harder on Ph to win the title.
I'll take some small action on that today and add to it after we see how Ph does the next few games. If Ph were to fall back soon we may get better odds after. But if they continue to play this well the odds will sink.
There is a reason Minnesota's ratings are falling. Their best 3pt shooter hasn't played last few games.
There's a reason they have to double in the post and leave 3pt shooters open. Their best post player hasn't played a game this season. But she will.
Of course, the ratings only consider what happens on the court, not what COULD happen. Just saying using your ratings must be unprofitable capping, say, NBA. A team like Spurs must have very bad ratings for the first half of the year. And then they destroy the ratings darlings as if they are playing a lottery team, beating the records.
Actually would be very interested to find out what kind of ratings Heat, OKC, Portland and Dallas had in your ratings this season, compared to Spurs.
There is a reason Minnesota's ratings are falling. Their best 3pt shooter hasn't played last few games.
There's a reason they have to double in the post and leave 3pt shooters open. Their best post player hasn't played a game this season. But she will.
Of course, the ratings only consider what happens on the court, not what COULD happen. Just saying using your ratings must be unprofitable capping, say, NBA. A team like Spurs must have very bad ratings for the first half of the year. And then they destroy the ratings darlings as if they are playing a lottery team, beating the records.
Actually would be very interested to find out what kind of ratings Heat, OKC, Portland and Dallas had in your ratings this season, compared to Spurs.
If you can take either at a better number, please post here. Bet365 accepts hundreds of dollars at those prices so please only post series offers (not a betfair price you can take for a whole of five bucks)
If you can take either at a better number, please post here. Bet365 accepts hundreds of dollars at those prices so please only post series offers (not a betfair price you can take for a whole of five bucks)
just looking at bet365, idk where else you could bet it...But Atl winning the east is 1.95, so I am assuming almost 2-1? They're 5 games up with 14 to play. I do not love them as a team but wouldnt it take a lot for them to lose the 1 seed. I do not think Indiana has it in them to pass them and neither will wash/ct...the team with the best shot would be chicago if they ever get healthy.
Lastly isn't chicago at 19/1 tempting? Obviously no one knows when EDD will be back, but all they need to do is make the playoffs then they can easilyyyy win the east if healthy. Beating Minn/Phx would be a different test, but at 19/1 not bad
just looking at bet365, idk where else you could bet it...But Atl winning the east is 1.95, so I am assuming almost 2-1? They're 5 games up with 14 to play. I do not love them as a team but wouldnt it take a lot for them to lose the 1 seed. I do not think Indiana has it in them to pass them and neither will wash/ct...the team with the best shot would be chicago if they ever get healthy.
Lastly isn't chicago at 19/1 tempting? Obviously no one knows when EDD will be back, but all they need to do is make the playoffs then they can easilyyyy win the east if healthy. Beating Minn/Phx would be a different test, but at 19/1 not bad
No idea why 5d has PHX as a 2nd team after the Lynx now. Other books have PHX as favs though, I am seeing +180 & -140; Min is at ~+200 everywhere. Was it the way DT tanked the All-Star game ? She clearly did not want to win it for Reeves (and neither did Dupree). Indy is at +1300 at 5d btw, and I think they have a good shot to get out of the East, with the way Catch is playing right now.
No idea why 5d has PHX as a 2nd team after the Lynx now. Other books have PHX as favs though, I am seeing +180 & -140; Min is at ~+200 everywhere. Was it the way DT tanked the All-Star game ? She clearly did not want to win it for Reeves (and neither did Dupree). Indy is at +1300 at 5d btw, and I think they have a good shot to get out of the East, with the way Catch is playing right now.
Home court is still Phoenix's to lose. They're not going to get bullied by Indiana on Saturday, are they? Line is only -9.5... it's begging for Phoenix money.
Home court is still Phoenix's to lose. They're not going to get bullied by Indiana on Saturday, are they? Line is only -9.5... it's begging for Phoenix money.
Full disclosure: Phoenix winning it all is going to cost me XXX units. I'll lose XX if Indiana or Chicago win. I will win XXXX if Atlanta wins and XXX if the Lynx repeat.
Full disclosure: Phoenix winning it all is going to cost me XXX units. I'll lose XX if Indiana or Chicago win. I will win XXXX if Atlanta wins and XXX if the Lynx repeat.
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