Atlanta -2, risking $440 to win $400

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Author: [WNBA] Topic: Atlanta -2, risking $440 to win $400
rated91 PM rated91
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Posted: 7/1/2012 5:45:04 PM
I've analyzed the darn out of this and this is a great value. 

Reasons:

1. Defensively, the Dream may have an easier time Sunday when they face a Chicago Sky team missing leading scorer Epiphanny Prince.

2. Atlanta (7-7) has put behind a slow start, winning a season-high three straight to move within a game of slumping Chicago (7-5) for third place in the Eastern Conference.

3. McCoughtry's performance in the last game (24 pts) was a good sign for Atlanta, she had two off games before regaining her composure and looking like the scoring champion that she is.

4. Atlanta did blow a significant lead over Chicago in the first meeting this season. The Dream were ahead by 22 in the first quarter, but the Sky rallied for a 94-92 overtime win June 2 behind Prince (who is not playing!), who hit a tying 3-pointer at the end of regulation and added eight points in the extra period.

5. Atlanta won't have to contend with Prince on Sunday as she's out with a fractured foot. The Sky were off to the best start in franchise history before Prince went down but now have lost four straight.

Atlanta -2 is my WNBA play of the month. Take care!
alekim PM alekim
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Posted: 7/1/2012 6:00:16 PM
Yes Iv been looking at this for awhile. I projected the line to be -3.5 so good value. But one thing that is making me disregard this game is Atlanta effort, its really poor. This season they just been giving away leads and luckily the other team they were up against sucked even more. Dream should be 2-12..
ohmyyikes PM ohmyyikes
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Posted: 7/1/2012 6:01:36 PM
This line looks to sucker in all Atlanta Dream backers.  Good luck on this one, but I'll take 1st half Dream, 
alekim PM alekim
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Posted: 7/1/2012 6:03:25 PM
Well good value on the conn. game under 2nd half just put 2 units on it. if I win this im going to put a unit on atlanta... hopefully they get their act together.
geordie PM geordie
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Posted: 7/1/2012 6:04:32 PM

GL

alekim PM alekim
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Posted: 7/1/2012 6:05:55 PM
I cap and follow WNBA but I barely place any bets.. my model is 80-61 tho. 
alekim PM alekim
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Posted: 7/1/2012 6:06:48 PM
placed two WNBA bets tho 2-0. SA always owns LA
pinoy1da PM pinoy1da
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Posted: 7/1/2012 6:09:21 PM
nah man CHI TOWN for the weeeiiiinnnn
ohmyyikes PM ohmyyikes
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Posted: 7/1/2012 6:35:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by alekim:

Well good value on the conn. game under 2nd half just put 2 units on it. if I win this im going to put a unit on atlanta... hopefully they get their act together.


So much value on the under that its going over. 

Under 157 for full game line, and adjusted total 153, so much value there. 
alekim PM alekim
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Posted: 7/1/2012 6:38:44 PM
well if you were watching the game you would see that they stopped playing defense and just looked at the ball. and these girls get so frustrated so easily..
moslo35 PM moslo35
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Posted: 7/1/2012 6:39:33 PM
Atlanta going to win this easily. I made a big play on Atlanta and under also...this one is in the bag man don't worry
alekim PM alekim
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Posted: 7/1/2012 6:44:02 PM
oh boy need a scoreless 3-4 min to have a chance
alekim PM alekim
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Posted: 7/1/2012 6:59:55 PM
oh this is going to be close. like my chances tho 
pinoy1da PM pinoy1da
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Posted: 7/1/2012 7:47:53 PM
CHI TOWN BRUH !
pinoy1da PM pinoy1da
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Posted: 7/1/2012 7:48:54 PM
Make it Rain 3's

THUNDA STORM IN THE SKY!  LOL 

KBrick84 PM KBrick84
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Posted: 7/1/2012 7:49:25 PM
Atlanta has their chance to bury Chicago and fucked it away.  No way they pull this out now.
KBrick84 PM KBrick84
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Posted: 7/1/2012 7:50:19 PM
Not much you can do when a shitty outside shooting team in Chicago suddenly decides to get hot.
alekim PM alekim
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Posted: 7/1/2012 7:52:38 PM
like i said atlanta blows leads.
KBrick84 PM KBrick84
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Posted: 7/1/2012 7:55:17 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by alekim:

like i said atlanta blows leads.

There's a difference between blowing a lead, and the other team doing something out of the norm. Chicago is a poor 3-pt shooting team, and they suddenly got hot.  That's basketball.

alekim PM alekim
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Posted: 7/1/2012 7:59:05 PM
are you watching the game? atlanta gave it away
pinoy1da PM pinoy1da
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Posted: 7/1/2012 8:01:46 PM
pinoy1da PM pinoy1da
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Posted: 7/1/2012 8:03:16 PM
CHEEEKAGO UP 1 TIME OUT! 
pinoy1da PM pinoy1da
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Posted: 7/1/2012 8:06:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by pinoy1da:

nah man CHI TOWN for the weeeiiiinnnn

KBrick84 PM KBrick84
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Posted: 7/1/2012 8:06:56 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by alekim:

are you watching the game? atlanta gave it away

Yes, and what you watched was one team get hot...while the other went cold.  Thats BASKETBALL.  Blowing a lead would be missing layups or making stupid turnovers.  Atlanta was missing jumpers which is unfortunately part of basketball.  I guess if you expect a team to continue to shoot 50% while the other is at 30%...then sure.

rated91 PM rated91
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Posted: 7/3/2012 12:53:29 PM
Tough loss. Atlanta pissed it away. I won most of the losses back on a few baseball games, but a setback it was regardless. I'll post another game that I plan to bet on tonight.
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