I haven't handicapped the WNBA in a few days, basically time restraints and other family issues but since there was no football today I had some extra time so here are a few plays for tonight's 2 games:
651 Chicago +6 -1.03 $412 to win $400-Chicago comes in at 10-14 on the year while San Antonio is 13-9. Chicago is 5th in the Eastern Conference while San Antonio stands 2nd in the Western Conference. The teams met in Chicago on June 28th with San Antonio winning the game as 3 point underdogs by a score of 84-74. In that game the Silver Spurs only shot 39.7% to 42.2% for the Sky yet San Antonio was able to win. It's a strange handicap as San Antonio is not great at home this year going 5-5 ATS but are 0-3 ATS in this price range and only 4-11 ATS over the past 3 years. However, Chicago is equally inept on the road going 3-8 ATS and only 2-6 ATS when installed as an underdog of this price range. I think the game means more to Chicago here and this is their last game until August 20th while San Antonio has a rematch against Indiana on deck in two games which is a chance to revenge a loss last week.
653 Tulsa +16 -1.02 $306 to win $300-Tulsa has only one win on the season and stand at 1-21 on the year while Minnesota is the WNBA's best team record wise with a 17-5 mark. The Ly*x have already beaten Tulsa twice this year but I question how much focus Minnesota will have here tonight as it is pretty certain they will win, but will they cover? The Ly*x have a big game coming up in Connecticut on Tuesday and will likely sit their regulars if they get up big in this game. While Minnesota was able to blow out Tulsa the last game these teams met, they only beat them by 10 at home in the first meeting. Minnesota also has a bad spread record when taking on poor defensive teams that allow 77+ points after 15 games going only 14-31 since 1997. It's clear that there is a talent mismatch here but I will hold my nose and play the ugly underdog to come away with the money here.
Best of luck to everyone today, have a great Sunday.
I haven't handicapped the WNBA in a few days, basically time restraints and other family issues but since there was no football today I had some extra time so here are a few plays for tonight's 2 games:
651 Chicago +6 -1.03 $412 to win $400-Chicago comes in at 10-14 on the year while San Antonio is 13-9. Chicago is 5th in the Eastern Conference while San Antonio stands 2nd in the Western Conference. The teams met in Chicago on June 28th with San Antonio winning the game as 3 point underdogs by a score of 84-74. In that game the Silver Spurs only shot 39.7% to 42.2% for the Sky yet San Antonio was able to win. It's a strange handicap as San Antonio is not great at home this year going 5-5 ATS but are 0-3 ATS in this price range and only 4-11 ATS over the past 3 years. However, Chicago is equally inept on the road going 3-8 ATS and only 2-6 ATS when installed as an underdog of this price range. I think the game means more to Chicago here and this is their last game until August 20th while San Antonio has a rematch against Indiana on deck in two games which is a chance to revenge a loss last week.
653 Tulsa +16 -1.02 $306 to win $300-Tulsa has only one win on the season and stand at 1-21 on the year while Minnesota is the WNBA's best team record wise with a 17-5 mark. The Ly*x have already beaten Tulsa twice this year but I question how much focus Minnesota will have here tonight as it is pretty certain they will win, but will they cover? The Ly*x have a big game coming up in Connecticut on Tuesday and will likely sit their regulars if they get up big in this game. While Minnesota was able to blow out Tulsa the last game these teams met, they only beat them by 10 at home in the first meeting. Minnesota also has a bad spread record when taking on poor defensive teams that allow 77+ points after 15 games going only 14-31 since 1997. It's clear that there is a talent mismatch here but I will hold my nose and play the ugly underdog to come away with the money here.
Best of luck to everyone today, have a great Sunday.
Minnesota also has a bad spread record when taking on poor defensive teams that allow 77+ points after 15 games going only 14-31 since 1997.
Hey Oscar-
I apologize for bringing this up after the game's in the books, but I would have brought it up pre-game if I had been around... I promise.
I always look forward to your NBA analysis, but I wanted to point out that the trend you posted is fairly meaningless. Minnesota is a totally reinvigorated team with Maya Moore. The previous 13 years of failing to cover against bad defensive teams doesn't bear much relevance here.
Minnesota also has a bad spread record when taking on poor defensive teams that allow 77+ points after 15 games going only 14-31 since 1997.
Hey Oscar-
I apologize for bringing this up after the game's in the books, but I would have brought it up pre-game if I had been around... I promise.
I always look forward to your NBA analysis, but I wanted to point out that the trend you posted is fairly meaningless. Minnesota is a totally reinvigorated team with Maya Moore. The previous 13 years of failing to cover against bad defensive teams doesn't bear much relevance here.
I apologize for bringing this up after the game's in the books, but I would have brought it up pre-game if I had been around... I promise.
I always look forward to your NBA analysis, but I wanted to point out that the trend you posted is fairly meaningless. Minnesota is a totally reinvigorated team with Maya Moore. The previous 13 years of failing to cover against bad defensive teams doesn't bear much relevance here.
Thanks and no need to apologize, I enjoy feedback. My basis really for making the play was based more on what would a blowout achieve with a big game on deck. I was really wrong on this one and I think I just might pass on this Tulsa team the rest of the year, but who knows. I sometimes add trends just to make the play look better but I don't really put a ton of stock in them. Thanks for taking the time to post and feel free to add anything at anytime, I'm always trying to learn.
I apologize for bringing this up after the game's in the books, but I would have brought it up pre-game if I had been around... I promise.
I always look forward to your NBA analysis, but I wanted to point out that the trend you posted is fairly meaningless. Minnesota is a totally reinvigorated team with Maya Moore. The previous 13 years of failing to cover against bad defensive teams doesn't bear much relevance here.
Thanks and no need to apologize, I enjoy feedback. My basis really for making the play was based more on what would a blowout achieve with a big game on deck. I was really wrong on this one and I think I just might pass on this Tulsa team the rest of the year, but who knows. I sometimes add trends just to make the play look better but I don't really put a ton of stock in them. Thanks for taking the time to post and feel free to add anything at anytime, I'm always trying to learn.
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