Johnson/Dodson - At this time, I don't have a good feel for who the winner will beTwo fairly similar fighters. And like all of these lighter weight class fights, especiallybigger/title fights, almost guaranteed it goes to a decision. That may be my play
Texeira/Jackson - I have Glover in a parlay already. I give Jackson a puncher's chance, and that's it. I simply can't see Rampage finding some new found motivation for this fight. On the flipside, Tex is very motivated to move up the LHW ladder. As much as Tex may want this fight to hit the mat, I think Jackson dictates it stays on the feet. But I think he gets out worked. Probably a decision, but perhaps a late TKO
Pettis/Cerrone - I also don't have a great feel for the winner here, but I see this being a 3 round stand up battle. Very close. I think Pettis MAY be a little quicker to out point for a decsion win. Again I may play it goes to decision if anything
Wiman/Grant - I'm a big fan of both. I THINK that Grant may be a little more versatile. Once again, I see it going to decsion, and I think TJ may do just enough to earn the nod
Bader/Vlad - Vlad is a strong, tough dude. But he's 42. I have to think his speed and skills are deteriorating. Bader should be able to have is way with him striking and grappling
Russow/Jordan - For now, I`m thinking Russow by KO
Johnson/Dodson - At this time, I don't have a good feel for who the winner will beTwo fairly similar fighters. And like all of these lighter weight class fights, especiallybigger/title fights, almost guaranteed it goes to a decision. That may be my play
Texeira/Jackson - I have Glover in a parlay already. I give Jackson a puncher's chance, and that's it. I simply can't see Rampage finding some new found motivation for this fight. On the flipside, Tex is very motivated to move up the LHW ladder. As much as Tex may want this fight to hit the mat, I think Jackson dictates it stays on the feet. But I think he gets out worked. Probably a decision, but perhaps a late TKO
Pettis/Cerrone - I also don't have a great feel for the winner here, but I see this being a 3 round stand up battle. Very close. I think Pettis MAY be a little quicker to out point for a decsion win. Again I may play it goes to decision if anything
Wiman/Grant - I'm a big fan of both. I THINK that Grant may be a little more versatile. Once again, I see it going to decsion, and I think TJ may do just enough to earn the nod
Bader/Vlad - Vlad is a strong, tough dude. But he's 42. I have to think his speed and skills are deteriorating. Bader should be able to have is way with him striking and grappling
Russow/Jordan - For now, I`m thinking Russow by KO
Thx, whip. I perhaps am real low on Jordan after his horuble fight with Kongo. Russow does have heavy hands I think. However if you can't KO einemo maybe you can't Jordan either
Thx, whip. I perhaps am real low on Jordan after his horuble fight with Kongo. Russow does have heavy hands I think. However if you can't KO einemo maybe you can't Jordan either
Big believer in Tex, and when they announced the fight I was excited and saw Tex winning. I still do, but I can't believe the line. We have no reason to think Rampage is training like a champ at this point, but stylistically I think that is too much juice to swallow. Rampage usually has good TDD other than against Bader. He hasn't been knocking many out but we all know he still has power. His back could be against the wwall here. A chance to stick it to Dana. Maybe he realizes the only reason he got a spot in a movie is because of the name he got in MMA. I predict he goes to Bellator and fights Mo after this, but a bad loss wouldn't help him get the deal he can possibly get. I doubt Page spends money wisely, he may be fighting for his next check here and that could be dangerous.
-320 for Tex is steep even though I am a fan and think he wins.
Big believer in Tex, and when they announced the fight I was excited and saw Tex winning. I still do, but I can't believe the line. We have no reason to think Rampage is training like a champ at this point, but stylistically I think that is too much juice to swallow. Rampage usually has good TDD other than against Bader. He hasn't been knocking many out but we all know he still has power. His back could be against the wwall here. A chance to stick it to Dana. Maybe he realizes the only reason he got a spot in a movie is because of the name he got in MMA. I predict he goes to Bellator and fights Mo after this, but a bad loss wouldn't help him get the deal he can possibly get. I doubt Page spends money wisely, he may be fighting for his next check here and that could be dangerous.
-320 for Tex is steep even though I am a fan and think he wins.
Guida/Hioki - this is a little bit of a wildcard - I'm not sure how Guida will react to his first cut to 145. Hioki is more skilled but unless Guida is heavily affected I think he "guida's" him for 3 rounds and takes a decision
Lamas/Koch - long lay off for Koch. Cancelled bouts. I'm leaning Lamas as a decent dog. If they stand and trade, Lamas probably gets taken out. But I think he can win a decision
Thoreson/Mitchell - I like Thoreson, plus a long lay off for Mitchell makes it an easier decision
Stumpf/Kraus - long layoff for Stumpf, I like Krauss
Guida/Hioki - this is a little bit of a wildcard - I'm not sure how Guida will react to his first cut to 145. Hioki is more skilled but unless Guida is heavily affected I think he "guida's" him for 3 rounds and takes a decision
Lamas/Koch - long lay off for Koch. Cancelled bouts. I'm leaning Lamas as a decent dog. If they stand and trade, Lamas probably gets taken out. But I think he can win a decision
Thoreson/Mitchell - I like Thoreson, plus a long lay off for Mitchell makes it an easier decision
Stumpf/Kraus - long layoff for Stumpf, I like Krauss
Pettis/Cerrone is a tough one to call. I would give the slight edge to Cerrone on a technicality. He's been more active. Pettis will have some ring rust on him and that could be the deciding factor in this fight. They match up almost identically in my eyes except Cerrone has the better hands. It's a wash on the ground game, in my opinion because they are both active off their backs and they transition well in scrambles. Maybe I'll give the slight edge to Pettis because he's worked a lot on his wrestling since the horrible Guida fight. I would just prop bet it and say the fight doesn't go the distance.
Pettis/Cerrone is a tough one to call. I would give the slight edge to Cerrone on a technicality. He's been more active. Pettis will have some ring rust on him and that could be the deciding factor in this fight. They match up almost identically in my eyes except Cerrone has the better hands. It's a wash on the ground game, in my opinion because they are both active off their backs and they transition well in scrambles. Maybe I'll give the slight edge to Pettis because he's worked a lot on his wrestling since the horrible Guida fight. I would just prop bet it and say the fight doesn't go the distance.
Texeira/Jackson - I have Glover in a parlay already. I give Jackson a puncher's chance, and that's it. I simply can't see Rampage finding some new found motivation for this fight. On the flipside, Tex is very motivated to move up the LHW ladder. As much as Tex may want this fight to hit the mat, I think Jackson dictates it stays on the feet. But I think he gets out worked. Probably a decision, but perhaps a late TKO
i don't buy that Rampage has any desire to put in the work it takes to win fights like this anymore... Rampage went Hollywood long ago... he has two goals for this fight: don't get royally fucked up, and collect a paycheck...
Texeira/Jackson - I have Glover in a parlay already. I give Jackson a puncher's chance, and that's it. I simply can't see Rampage finding some new found motivation for this fight. On the flipside, Tex is very motivated to move up the LHW ladder. As much as Tex may want this fight to hit the mat, I think Jackson dictates it stays on the feet. But I think he gets out worked. Probably a decision, but perhaps a late TKO
i don't buy that Rampage has any desire to put in the work it takes to win fights like this anymore... Rampage went Hollywood long ago... he has two goals for this fight: don't get royally fucked up, and collect a paycheck...
updated. I seem to be keeping it fairly light this card:
Bader/Natal/Lima $50 wins $45
Bader/Thoresen/Askren $50 wins $45
Guida/Krauss $50 wins $45
Johnson/Bader/Thoresen/Natal $20 wins $47
Grant (-125) $50 wins $40
Lamas (+130) $50 wins $65 and (+140) $30 wins $42
Johnson by Dec (-135) $50 wins $37
I'm sure they'll be a couple more. I think I missed the Pettis boat, but Cerrone by Dec will be getting to be a pretty attractive #. I am thinking both that fight and Grant/Wiman could be splits
updated. I seem to be keeping it fairly light this card:
Bader/Natal/Lima $50 wins $45
Bader/Thoresen/Askren $50 wins $45
Guida/Krauss $50 wins $45
Johnson/Bader/Thoresen/Natal $20 wins $47
Grant (-125) $50 wins $40
Lamas (+130) $50 wins $65 and (+140) $30 wins $42
Johnson by Dec (-135) $50 wins $37
I'm sure they'll be a couple more. I think I missed the Pettis boat, but Cerrone by Dec will be getting to be a pretty attractive #. I am thinking both that fight and Grant/Wiman could be splits
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