Rod Marinelli made something clear in game one of the preseason - he isn't playing conservatively. After the Lion's victory over the Bengals, back-up QB Dan Orlovsky shared something that Marinelli has been preaching since coming to Detroit. "Coach Marinelli came in here last year and preached winning, whether it was a 1-on-1 route in practice or a preseason game," Orlovsky said. "Losing is going to be wiped out as a culture around here." The Lions have jumped out to a 2-0 record. They put the ball in the air 47 times vs. the Bengals and scored 17 fourth quarter points. They got up 17 on Cleveland and only then put the ball on the ground. This is a coach that wants to win, period.
Now Indianapolis, on the other hand, although they looked very good in the second quarter on Monday night, they have nothing to prove and as such have dropped their first two, which just happens to be Dungy's 11th Straight Up loss in 12 preseason games. The outcome simply isn't important to this team.
Now here is a trend that I found to back up this motivational situation. Winless teams as a favorite during the preseason, playing a 2-win team, have covered just 35% of the time in about 100 games.
Also, don't forget that the Colts are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home preseason games and 2-8 ATS in their last ten preseason overall
To me this is a no-brainer 5 unit play on Detroit +7.
Record-
Sides- 4-2 for +7 units
Totals- 1-0 for + 3 Units
Parlays 1-0 for +3.9 Units
Halftime 0-1 for -1 Unit
Good Luck!!
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