Week 1 lines initial reaction

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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Week 1 lines initial reaction
BeachedWhaleee PM BeachedWhaleee
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Posted: 4/21/2017 9:10:51 AM
Games that instantly stuck out to me:

Bal +1.5 @ Cin
Atl -6 @ Chi
NYG +5.5 @ Dal
NO +3.5 @ Min
SD +4 @ Den
Sea/GB over 50
Car/SF over 48.5
Det/AZ under 49

What are you guys looking at with first glance?
Wess_Tijuana PM Wess_Tijuana
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Posted: 4/21/2017 9:14:46 PM
I am unsure as to  how Kansas City can possibly keep the game at New England to within a touchdown

Carolina will cover the 4 at San Francisco

Seattle actually outgained Green Bay in their blowout loss at Green Bay at the end of last year; this line I am sure will push to 3.5 at a minimum, which will provide excellent value on Seattle-- and Earl Thomas will be on the field this time around 






JosephKirby PM JosephKirby
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Posted: 4/21/2017 10:33:26 PM
I was looking at NE -7 as well.  I can't wait for team totals to come out for week 1.  

Do you do any futures or season props?
Wess_Tijuana PM Wess_Tijuana
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Posted: 4/22/2017 2:33:49 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JosephKirby:

I was looking at NE -7 as well.  I can't wait for team totals to come out for week 1.  

Do you do any futures or season props?

Yes, but as noted on this site the books are easing into their season totals

The New England line really jumps off of the page, frankly

The number must go higher

Good Luck
GarySanders PM GarySanders
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Posted: 4/22/2017 1:38:06 PM
Pats ml
porcelainfist PM porcelainfist
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Posted: 4/23/2017 1:41:47 AM
I am looking at Giants +6, KC/NE U 49, Falcons -6.5, Panthers -4, and I really like Jacksonville +4.5
spottie2935 PM spottie2935
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Posted: 4/24/2017 4:00:16 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by porcelainfist:

I am looking at Giants +6, KC/NE U 49, Falcons -6.5, Panthers -4, and I really like Jacksonville +4.5



zebrakiller PM zebrakiller
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Posted: 4/24/2017 11:15:18 AM
Super Bowl loser - 5 @ Bears

giimme $1000 on Bears ML


usarmy69-71 PM usarmy69-71
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Posted: 4/25/2017 9:12:36 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by zebrakiller:

Super Bowl loser - 5 @ Bears

giimme $1000 on Bears ML


        isn't it crazy how sb loser the next year has lost 90% of games on wk-1 check out some of the games last 20yrs.half of these gms you would pass on because of the line---check out this site every gm ever played in football stats scores some play by play   www.jt-sw.com
zebrakiller PM zebrakiller
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Posted: 5/11/2017 1:11:07 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by usarmy69-71:

        isn't it crazy how sb loser the next year has lost 90% of games on wk-1 check out some of the games last 20yrs.half of these gms you would pass on because of the line---check out this site every gm ever played in football stats scores some play by play   www.jt-sw.com


worse than 90% only time a wi9n and cover happend was Pats @ titans when scab refs were in .

and the superbowl winner got played on WED night Giants who lost s/u to C Boys


DavidA15 PM DavidA15
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Posted: 5/12/2017 2:22:06 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BeachedWhaleee:

Games that instantly stuck out to me:Bal +1.5 @ CinAtl -6 @ ChiNYG +5.5 @ DalNO +3.5 @ MinSD +4 @ DenSea/GB over 50Car/SF over 48.5Det/AZ under 49What are you guys looking at with first glance?

Carolina-4.5 at SF
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DavidA15 PM DavidA15
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Posted: 5/12/2017 2:24:35 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Wess_Tijuana:

I am unsure as to  how Kansas City can possibly keep the game at New England to within a touchdownCarolina will cover the 4 at San FranciscoSeattle actually outgained Green Bay in their blowout loss at Green Bay at the end of last year; this line I am sure will push to 3.5 at a minimum, which will provide excellent value on Seattle-- and Earl Thomas will be on the field this time around

I AGREE WITH U...CAROLINA IS GOING TO WIN BY 14 AT SF...MR CAM NEWTON HAS SOMETHING TO PROVE
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DavidA15 PM DavidA15
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Posted: 5/12/2017 2:29:24 PM
I love the Chargers on the ML. NEW COACH...MIKE WILLAMS..MUCH IMPROVED TEAM THIS YEAR...BUT I HAVE ALREADY LAID $2000 STRAIGHT BET ON CAROLINA -4.5
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DavidA15 PM DavidA15
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Posted: 5/12/2017 2:50:38 PM
For those of you not fully aware, the 1st week of NFL is open for betting at Casinos in Mexico...CALIENTE CASINO
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DavidA15 PM DavidA15
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Posted: 5/12/2017 5:47:37 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BeachedWhaleee:

Games that instantly stuck out to me:Bal +1.5 @ CinAtl -6 @ ChiNYG +5.5 @ DalNO +3.5 @ MinSD +4 @ DenSea/GB over 50Car/SF over 48.5Det/AZ under 49What are you guys looking at with first glance?

RAIDERS -1 @ TENN....SHOCKING...
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DavidA15 PM DavidA15
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Posted: 5/12/2017 5:49:13 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Wess_Tijuana:

I am unsure as to  how Kansas City can possibly keep the game at New England to within a touchdownCarolina will cover the 4 at San FranciscoSeattle actually outgained Green Bay in their blowout loss at Green Bay at the end of last year; this line I am sure will push to 3.5 at a minimum, which will provide excellent value on Seattle-- and Earl Thomas will be on the field this time around

How do you feeling about that RAIDER -1 LINE????
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Sageron PM Sageron
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Posted: 5/17/2017 7:37:57 AM
Baltimore @ Cinci U 43
Colts -3 @ Rams 
Eagles +2.5 @ Redskins - favorite game.

Be careful with betting against SF in the beginning of the season, they're gonna be undervalued for sure.
usarmy69-71 PM usarmy69-71
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Posted: 5/17/2017 9:08:33 PM
if you don't like the loser of the sb stat. check out gannon,s record against the falcons in 8 yrs.this should be a reason to go easy if you like atl.
Playtaw1n PM Playtaw1n
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Posted: 5/18/2017 4:36:48 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Wess_Tijuana:

I am unsure as to  how Kansas City can possibly keep the game at New England to within a touchdown

Carolina will cover the 4 at San Francisco

Seattle actually outgained Green Bay in their blowout loss at Green Bay at the end of last year; this line I am sure will push to 3.5 at a minimum, which will provide excellent value on Seattle-- and Earl Thomas will be on the field this time around 






 
Palmer, Tannehill, Osweiler, Tyrod 2x, Whitehurst, dalton, L Jones, fitz 2x, Siemian,kaep, goff, flacco and Moore.... QB's Pats beat in 2016 Regular season
Playtaw1n PM Playtaw1n
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Posted: 5/18/2017 4:38:12 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DavidA15:


How do you feeling about that RAIDER -1 LINE????

Raiders run defense is too poor to take on the road against a top 5 offensive line/ run game
Playtaw1n PM Playtaw1n
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Posted: 5/18/2017 4:40:37 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DavidA15:


I AGREE WITH U...CAROLINA IS GOING TO WIN BY 14 AT SF...MR CAM NEWTON HAS SOMETHING TO PROVE

Carolina has an awful offensive line, laying 4.5 on the road against that defensive line is not +ev
Playtaw1n PM Playtaw1n
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Posted: 5/18/2017 4:43:04 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by usarmy69-71:

        isn't it crazy how sb loser the next year has lost 90% of games on wk-1 check out some of the games last 20yrs.half of these gms you would pass on because of the line---check out this site every gm ever played in football stats scores some play by play   www.jt-sw.com
That trend aside, the bears are the nuts week one. Atlanta is below average in every category against the run. Bears have an elite interior offensive line, Jordan Howard runs for 150. Also will be the first time bears have had McPhee, Floyd, trevethan and freeman on field at same time...likely best lb core in league
CautionerSports PM CautionerSports
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Posted: 5/20/2017 8:09:11 PM
I agree that the NYG/DAL line is off. This line is super inflated as this line seems to always stay -3 for the home team. Giants went 2-0 vs them last year and have one of the most underrated defenses in the league. 


Also Primetime Sunday night game division rivalry I think we will get a nailbiter in this one. Ill be looking to play the Giants 
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