Has Anyone Had Their Model Independently Reviewed?

Forum: NFL Betting
Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Has Anyone Had Their Model Independently Reviewed?
AndrewWins PM AndrewWins
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Posted: 2/15/2017 3:38:32 PM
I've built and NFL model that predicts overs/unders pretty well (60% correct over last 5 years). 

I was wondering if anyone has ever had their model validated to remove doubt that the model-builder is somehow manipulating the results in their favor.

For instance, the independent reviewer (IR) with perfect credibility has a laptop I've never seen before with a raw dataset of NFL data in Excel format. I sit at the laptop for 6 hours with no internet connection, no external hard drives and under the watchful eye of the IR, build the model and then I run a season (say, the full 2016 season), game by game where the IR provides the O/U line and the model spits out whether to bet the O or U and we see how accurate it is. I know the answer, because I've back-tested it, but I didn't know if this had ever been done as an independent validation of a model. Sort of an Iron Chef for NFL prediction models.
The Hawk PM The Hawk
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Posted: 2/16/2017 10:06:08 AM
I'm currently reviewing my Sports Illustrated model........

Kate Upton for the third time. Good things come in threes......
loserforeverz PM loserforeverz
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Posted: 2/16/2017 8:07:14 PM
I hope you were doing at least 10k bets every game this year if u were so sure of the model.
loserforeverz PM loserforeverz
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Posted: 2/16/2017 8:07:14 PM
I hope you were doing at least 10k bets every game this year if u were so sure of the model.
AndrewWins PM AndrewWins
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Posted: 2/17/2017 9:34:06 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by loserforeverz:

I hope you were doing at least 10k bets every game this year if u were so sure of the model.

I built the model, backtested for prior seasons and tested during this past season. I will absolutely be doing max bets this upcoming season.
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