72% NFL playoffs sides/totals, SB picks

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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: 72% NFL playoffs sides/totals, SB picks
Achilles1629 PM Achilles1629
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quote#101
Posted: 1/30/2017 4:38:56 PM
What do I think of all this PLAYSFORALL? I think either you and that dingleberry slops are the same person or you guys think it's clever to feed this bs to everyone knowing one of you will be right. The rigged vs the biblical nonsense. I think you are off your rocker and hope NOBODY puts any time or thought into the multiple pointless threads you've created. You came at me bud so I feel obligated to return the favor.

You seem to like movies, PLAYSFORALL, so let me reference one of the last lines in the movie, BILLY MADISON. After the debate and Sandler's turn of talking, the judge simply says and I feel like explains perfectly how I and many feel this week about your antics PLAYSFORALL:

"At no point in your rambling, incoherent response were you even close to anything that could be considered a rational thought. Everyone in this room is now dumber for having listened to it. I award you no points, and may God have mercy on your soul". 

PLAYSFORALL- THIS IS TRULY HOW I FEEL AFTER READING YOUR STUFF THIS WEEK......
Contrarian21 PM Contrarian21
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quote#102
Posted: 1/31/2017 3:30:41 PM
I stay away from posting useless stats like what the Falcons or Pats did in week 5, or what 10 of the last 12 super bowl winners have done or where they went to dinner on the Friday before the SB. MEANS ABSOLUTELY NOTHING. These are different players and anything can happen. The line has ALL OF THEIR STATS built into it. Anyone can list stats side by side, but it doesn't really do much for me or predict the outcome of the game. With all wagers, you need to find the intangibles or motivational factors. You don't need much else to say as far as motivation goes when it's the freakin' SB. Please stop with the gematria nonsense or listing game by game stats. They're there just to distract you from the important info. It doesn't make you look smarter.

5 days away, and Atlanta is still the right side. I'm not sponsored by Atlanta, I'm a diehard Eagles fan, but just keep in mind that the SB is the last chance for those to bet to make up for their losses throughout the season. The "comfortable" side is the Pats. Placing wagers should not always feel comfortable. I'm showing 68% still on the Pats. Condolences to those 68%.


Contrarian21 PM Contrarian21
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quote#103
Posted: 2/1/2017 2:04:26 PM
for those that like stats, here we go:

Atlanta scored on 55.8% of their offensive possessions, yes, it led the NFL. Second best by any offense since 2000.

If you don't think this is good enough, the Falcons have scored on 72% in the postseason (13 of 18 drives)! 

since Brady came back in week 5, Pats have scored on 48.7% of their possessions, and scored a TD on 32.1% of their drives. This trails Atlanta (56.6% & 36.4%), and also includes Gronk.

NE has not faced a QB as good as Ryan this season, although the QBs they did face outperformed their expectations.

I keep saying it, but NE has not faced a WR like Julio yet this year. Rowe will cover him most of the time, and has the propensity to get burned. There's just too many weapons this Falcons team has. They try and stop Julio, then they have two great pass catching backs out of the backfield. Try and stop them, you have Sanu & Gabriel. The Pats reign is almost over.

No one knows what will happen because if we did, so will the defensive coordinators for each team. I just can't see a scenario where the Pats outscore the Falcons and from what I'm hearing, the most points scored will win the game.
JackParkman PM JackParkman
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quote#104
Posted: 2/1/2017 2:11:42 PM
Ya throw that whole experience thing out the window... we saw how that benefited Carolina last year.
lmb4321 PM lmb4321
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quote#105
Posted: 2/2/2017 1:32:06 AM
Just my 2 cents....but looking like most of the bets are leaning Falcons....
Vek PM Vek
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quote#106
Posted: 2/2/2017 1:52:29 AM
ATL +3    5 units
59.5/U     2 units

Renegade1 PM Renegade1
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quote#107
Posted: 2/2/2017 2:42:55 AM
My friends and I all predicted the line should be about 4 1/2  N.Eng before the line came out, so when we seen 3 we were really surprised.  If the Strip wanted Atl. money and N.Eng. was going to win, then the line would be at least 4 forcing money on Atl, but at 3 they are going to get a truck load of money on the Pats.  I have learned in my 40 yrs. of gambling that taking the worst of the spread is taking the best of the spread.  Vegas always trapping and deceiving, Amen
Renegade1 PM Renegade1
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quote#108
Posted: 2/2/2017 2:58:48 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Nycgags:


MY POINT is Atlanta's defense is a HORRIBLE TEAM.

Lipstick on a PIG, just watch and see.
                   
           Will see how bad there defense is when Beasley knocks Brady Bunch out of the game.  Shocked Arron Rodgers got up after he was ROCKED by Beasley  You can not run up the middle on N Eng defensive line and they won"t, but Ryan knows how to utilize his running backs out of the back field with screens and short slants freeing them up in the open field.   Atl defense has really improved the second half of the season and will sack Brady bunch and rattle him the whole game.  This is how the Giants beat N Eng twice in the Superbowl.  I know this defense of Atl. is not as great as the Giants were but they are faster and aggressive and led the league in sacks this year so watch out and YOU will SEE.
Renegade1 PM Renegade1
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quote#109
Posted: 2/2/2017 3:12:52 AM
[Quote: Originally Posted by lmb4321] Just my 2 cents....but looking like most of the bets are leaning Falcons....
[/Quote

              Do not worry because the heavy money always comes late which will be this weekend at only minus 3, and will give the strip what it wants, a truck load of N.Eng money.
Renegade1 PM Renegade1
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quote#110
Posted: 2/2/2017 3:18:55 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by slops:


ANOTHER FOOL. TOO MANY FOOLS ON HERE LMAO.

   Rookie is the right name for you, good luck with N Eng.
Renegade1 PM Renegade1
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quote#111
Posted: 2/2/2017 3:30:58 AM
[Quote: Originally Posted by walbanger]

and worse defense plain and simple
[/Quote

             This defense stymied Rogers who was lucky to still be in the game after Beasley for Atl  ROCKED his world.   I also have a lot of respect for Russell Wilson who was handed his lunch pail and sent home.    You need to take a better look at this game before you become Joe Q Public.
plays4all PM plays4all
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quote#112
Posted: 2/2/2017 7:20:57 AM
The one thing that worries me is that Atlanta seem to be definitely the public favorite to win. Now on the spread, maybe not. But the ML probably has more action on Atlanta. This is just from personal consensus that I see.
Contrarian21 PM Contrarian21
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quote#113
Posted: 2/2/2017 10:49:45 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Renegade1:

                   
           Will see how bad there defense is when Beasley knocks Brady Bunch out of the game.  Shocked Arron Rodgers got up after he was ROCKED by Beasley  You can not run up the middle on N Eng defensive line and they won"t, but Ryan knows how to utilize his running backs out of the back field with screens and short slants freeing them up in the open field.   Atl defense has really improved the second half of the season and will sack Brady bunch and rattle him the whole game.  This is how the Giants beat N Eng twice in the Superbowl.  I know this defense of Atl. is not as great as the Giants were but they are faster and aggressive and led the league in sacks this year so watch out and YOU will SEE.

Renegade, your posts are on point. A breath of fresh air from someone that can actually see the strengths of the Falcons team. This is one game, the biggest game, how someone can bring up useless stats from when they played a team in the "wrong spot" during the season is baffling to me. The Pats had a tough time with Houston in the first half. HOUSTON!! 

If the Steelers whole team didn't have the flu, Le'Veon didn't exit early, and they had a coach that didn't coach on emotion, they would have won the game. Too much weight on that win against the Steelers IMO. The public has a short memory.
Contrarian21 PM Contrarian21
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quote#114
Posted: 2/2/2017 10:55:15 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by plays4all:

The one thing that worries me is that Atlanta seem to be definitely the public favorite to win. Now on the spread, maybe not. But the ML probably has more action on Atlanta. This is just from personal consensus that I see.

what's a personal consensus? All the whispering voices?
Macwestie1 PM Macwestie1
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quote#115
Posted: 2/2/2017 7:02:57 PM
GL let's do this Contrarian21
Contrarian21 PM Contrarian21
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quote#116
Posted: 2/2/2017 7:10:22 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Macwestie1:

GL let's do this Contrarian21

  Time to cash, Mac!
Macwestie1 PM Macwestie1
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quote#117
Posted: 2/2/2017 7:18:28 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Renegade1:

                   
           Will see how bad there defense is when Beasley knocks Brady Bunch out of the game.  Shocked Arron Rodgers got up after he was ROCKED by Beasley  You can not run up the middle on N Eng defensive line and they won"t, but Ryan knows how to utilize his running backs out of the back field with screens and short slants freeing them up in the open field.   Atl defense has really improved the second half of the season and will sack Brady bunch and rattle him the whole game.  This is how the Giants beat N Eng twice in the Superbowl.  I know this defense of Atl. is not as great as the Giants were but they are faster and aggressive and led the league in sacks this year so watch out and YOU will SEE.


walbanger PM walbanger
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quote#118
Posted: 2/3/2017 5:14:57 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Contrarian21:

I stay away from posting useless stats like what the Falcons or Pats did in week 5, or what 10 of the last 12 super bowl winners have done or where they went to dinner on the Friday before the SB. MEANS ABSOLUTELY NOTHING. These are different players and anything can happen. The line has ALL OF THEIR STATS built into it. Anyone can list stats side by side, but it doesn't really do much for me or predict the outcome of the game. With all wagers, you need to find the intangibles or motivational factors. You don't need much else to say as far as motivation goes when it's the freakin' SB. Please stop with the gematria nonsense or listing game by game stats. They're there just to distract you from the important info. It doesn't make you look smarter.

5 days away, and Atlanta is still the right side. I'm not sponsored by Atlanta, I'm a diehard Eagles fan, but just keep in mind that the SB is the last chance for those to bet to make up for their losses throughout the season. The "comfortable" side is the Pats. Placing wagers should not always feel comfortable. I'm showing 68% still on the Pats. Condolences to those 68%.



I think you meant congratulations. If you need to borrow some money after you lose your house feel free to give me a call. I will give you a large loan at a great rate.
walbanger PM walbanger
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quote#119
Posted: 2/3/2017 5:36:35 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Contrarian21:

for those that like stats, here we go:

Atlanta scored on 55.8% of their offensive possessions, yes, it led the NFL. Second best by any offense since 2000.

If you don't think this is good enough, the Falcons have scored on 72% in the postseason (13 of 18 drives)! 

since Brady came back in week 5, Pats have scored on 48.7% of their possessions, and scored a TD on 32.1% of their drives. This trails Atlanta (56.6% & 36.4%), and also includes Gronk.

NE has not faced a QB as good as Ryan this season, although the QBs they did face outperformed their expectations.

I keep saying it, but NE has not faced a WR like Julio yet this year. Rowe will cover him most of the time, and has the propensity to get burned. There's just too many weapons this Falcons team has. They try and stop Julio, then they have two great pass catching backs out of the backfield. Try and stop them, you have Sanu & Gabriel. The Pats reign is almost over.

No one knows what will happen because if we did, so will the defensive coordinators for each team. I just can't see a scenario where the Pats outscore the Falcons and from what I'm hearing, the most points scored will win the game.

Here's a few facts and stats for you:

Fact.....The Falcons had the WORST Red Zone defense in the league this year

Fact.....Julio will get his numbers but Rowe has played well when on the field.

Fact.... Patriots have 2 great pass catching RB's also in White and Lewis. As a matter of fact White averaged more receptions and pass yardage than Freeman did. Dion Lewis has shaken the rust off after getting a few games under his belt. He will be the most productive back in the Superbowl if Blount doesn't get a bunch of carries.

Fact.....Gabriel and Sanu....lol. Both of these guys have produced pedestrian numbers. Neither one of them has been anything special so mentioning them is pointless. Malcolm Mitchell and Hogan are equally comparable to those two.

Fact.....Patriots defense is superior

Contrarian21 PM Contrarian21
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quote#120
Posted: 2/3/2017 10:05:11 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by walbanger:


I think you meant congratulations. If you need to borrow some money after you lose your house feel free to give me a call. I will give you a large loan at a great rate.

I made a pick of Atlanta; I see this as the greatest chance of covering. Atlanta is the better team contrary to what the public may think about NE. I think they're overrated. It's just another game for me. I don't let the SB magnitude dictate the amount I wager on a game. It means the world to you. I'll be able to sleep at night either way.
Contrarian21 PM Contrarian21
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quote#121
Posted: 2/3/2017 11:58:51 AM
SB LI final score prediction:

Atlanta - 33
Pats - 24

Achilles1629 PM Achilles1629
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quote#122
Posted: 2/3/2017 12:07:24 PM
The best sentence in here, although simple, and I totally agree is: it's just another game for me. (Contrarian). This is a great sentence because the superbowl is a game. One game.  All the stats, the history people keep regurgitating, it's somewhat meaningless. These teams have had two weeks to dissect film and implement new schemes. You will see a lot of the same things you have seen with these teams but what could dictate the game are the new plays and sets both teams put in play. The hoopla, the media bs and all the little side stories that people are salivating over are useless. It's the superbowl sunday guys; expect the unexpected.
Contrarian21 PM Contrarian21
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quote#123
Posted: 2/3/2017 12:12:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Achilles1629:

The best sentence in here, although simple, and I totally agree is: it's just another game for me. (Contrarian). This is a great sentence because the superbowl is a game. One game.  All the stats, the history people keep regurgitating, it's somewhat meaningless. These teams have had two weeks to dissect film and implement new schemes. You will see a lot of the same things you have seen with these teams but what could dictate the game are the new plays and sets both teams put in play. The hoopla, the media bs and all the little side stories that people are salivating over are useless. It's the superbowl sunday guys; expect the unexpected.

 at least someone gets it. Cheers, Achilles. I had more on Chattanooga men's basketball last night than I will on this game, although I'm fairly confident in ATL. Called ATL before the line even came out. They've been flying under the radar the whole season.
Vek PM Vek
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quote#124
Posted: 2/3/2017 12:36:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Renegade1:

My friends and I all predicted the line should be about 4 1/2  N.Eng before the line came out, so when we seen 3 we were really surprised.  If the Strip wanted Atl. money and N.Eng. was going to win, then the line would be at least 4 forcing money on Atl, but at 3 they are going to get a truck load of money on the Pats.  I have learned in my 40 yrs. of gambling that taking the worst of the spread is taking the best of the spread.  Vegas always trapping and deceiving, Amen

I agree, I was expecting -4.5
Contrarian21 PM Contrarian21
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quote#125
Posted: 2/4/2017 11:31:11 PM
congrats to Exton native Mr. Matt Ryan, the only MVP QB in the SB. 
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