Came back down to Earth in the divisional round. Went 9-8-1, got a push on the Steelers, now my record is 18-9-1.
Leans for Championship round.
Patriots
Panthers
I have Broncos futures so i would love Manning to get one more shot at the ring but.... i have to be a little worried about that Denver defense. They let Big Ben have his way with that injured shoulder. There were holes in some of thier coverage. The Denver defense will have to come up very huuge and pull out all the stops if they want to beat Brady and get back to the Super Bowl because there is no way that Denver offense can keep up with Pats offense. Their running game will have to come up huge because Peyton still cant throw
Panthers secondary is their glaring weakness. Carson Palmer theoretically will torch the Panthers for some big yards and several scores but they really make up for it by forcing turnovers. If Packers couldnt capaitalize on those turnovers then Panthers will punish opposing teams for it and turn them to points. I keep underestimating this Panthers team all year and i just cant do that anymore.
Came back down to Earth in the divisional round. Went 9-8-1, got a push on the Steelers, now my record is 18-9-1.
Leans for Championship round.
Patriots
Panthers
I have Broncos futures so i would love Manning to get one more shot at the ring but.... i have to be a little worried about that Denver defense. They let Big Ben have his way with that injured shoulder. There were holes in some of thier coverage. The Denver defense will have to come up very huuge and pull out all the stops if they want to beat Brady and get back to the Super Bowl because there is no way that Denver offense can keep up with Pats offense. Their running game will have to come up huge because Peyton still cant throw
Panthers secondary is their glaring weakness. Carson Palmer theoretically will torch the Panthers for some big yards and several scores but they really make up for it by forcing turnovers. If Packers couldnt capaitalize on those turnovers then Panthers will punish opposing teams for it and turn them to points. I keep underestimating this Panthers team all year and i just cant do that anymore.
Just in case this line goes back up to -3.5. Im guessing some places opened up at 3.5 or 2.5 not sure but most places opened at -3 and the juice seems like an indication it may go up.
Well this is it as it was supposed to be. The two best teams pound for pound in the NFC all season. Sure the Panthers will probably comtinue to get no respect due to being in the NFC South plus playing an easy schedule until they win the damn whole thing.
This could be a close game to the end. Im seeing anywhere from 3 to 7 pt victory for either team but i think Carolina has the slight edge here.
We have the top two scoring offenses in the league. Cardinals have the more well rounded offense that is good and all but two things i see Carolina doing better in this match. That is running the ball and protecting the QB
Cardinals defense give up more big plays than Carolina defense and its the running big plays that Cardinals are susceptible too just look at what Eddie Lacy did. And you know what the Panthers are? They are a running team and they are one of the best in rushing big plays. If Jonathan Stewart hit the open field he is in for the touchdown. Lacy is a slower runner. Cardinals run D will be in for a punishment with Stewart and Tolbert. I dont think they will be able to contain Cam Newton scrambles as well
Also the Cardinals pass rush is exceptional but they dont generate enough sacks. I see the O-line giving Newton some protection but the same cant be said for the Cardinals O-line they have slacked a bit lately. The Packers defense put some pressure on Palmer and i see the same happening here. Carson Palmer has been throwing some interceptions lately, he had two the last game and could of had two more if the Packer secondary didnt drop those easy gimmes from Palmer. Cant do that against Panthers secondary, they will make you pay for mistakes.
That is another advantage the Panthers have is the turnover differential. They takeaway the ball but have been good at not giving the ball up. Also you know what else the Cardinals have had trouble against? Tight ends. They have struggled against the likes of Gary Barnidge, Tyler Eiffeert and will go against one of the best in Greg Olsen. Im seeing more than 50 rec yards and a TD for Olsen.
This could easily look like a double digit victory for the Panthers but i see it being similar to the Packers vs Panthers. The Panthers secondary will allow the Cardinals to hang around and make the game closer than it appears. I see Panthers winning by 6
Just in case this line goes back up to -3.5. Im guessing some places opened up at 3.5 or 2.5 not sure but most places opened at -3 and the juice seems like an indication it may go up.
Well this is it as it was supposed to be. The two best teams pound for pound in the NFC all season. Sure the Panthers will probably comtinue to get no respect due to being in the NFC South plus playing an easy schedule until they win the damn whole thing.
This could be a close game to the end. Im seeing anywhere from 3 to 7 pt victory for either team but i think Carolina has the slight edge here.
We have the top two scoring offenses in the league. Cardinals have the more well rounded offense that is good and all but two things i see Carolina doing better in this match. That is running the ball and protecting the QB
Cardinals defense give up more big plays than Carolina defense and its the running big plays that Cardinals are susceptible too just look at what Eddie Lacy did. And you know what the Panthers are? They are a running team and they are one of the best in rushing big plays. If Jonathan Stewart hit the open field he is in for the touchdown. Lacy is a slower runner. Cardinals run D will be in for a punishment with Stewart and Tolbert. I dont think they will be able to contain Cam Newton scrambles as well
Also the Cardinals pass rush is exceptional but they dont generate enough sacks. I see the O-line giving Newton some protection but the same cant be said for the Cardinals O-line they have slacked a bit lately. The Packers defense put some pressure on Palmer and i see the same happening here. Carson Palmer has been throwing some interceptions lately, he had two the last game and could of had two more if the Packer secondary didnt drop those easy gimmes from Palmer. Cant do that against Panthers secondary, they will make you pay for mistakes.
That is another advantage the Panthers have is the turnover differential. They takeaway the ball but have been good at not giving the ball up. Also you know what else the Cardinals have had trouble against? Tight ends. They have struggled against the likes of Gary Barnidge, Tyler Eiffeert and will go against one of the best in Greg Olsen. Im seeing more than 50 rec yards and a TD for Olsen.
This could easily look like a double digit victory for the Panthers but i see it being similar to the Packers vs Panthers. The Panthers secondary will allow the Cardinals to hang around and make the game closer than it appears. I see Panthers winning by 6
Well written, great thoughts DK. Leaning Panthers myself. At this point throw all SOS out the window, the best 4 teams are left and they all want that trophy.
Panthers are the best run team out of the 4, best o line, best turn over margin, #2 D.
Well written, great thoughts DK. Leaning Panthers myself. At this point throw all SOS out the window, the best 4 teams are left and they all want that trophy.
Panthers are the best run team out of the 4, best o line, best turn over margin, #2 D.
Yup the whole SOS angle is kind of moot point. The Panthers have already proven they can hang tough with the big boys. Beating the Seahawks is already enough proof. I know this is a revenge game for the Cardinals and that might worry me a bit but you can only roll with the revenge angle for so long...
Yup the whole SOS angle is kind of moot point. The Panthers have already proven they can hang tough with the big boys. Beating the Seahawks is already enough proof. I know this is a revenge game for the Cardinals and that might worry me a bit but you can only roll with the revenge angle for so long...
Just in case this line goes back up to -3.5. Im guessing some places opened up at 3.5 or 2.5 not sure but most places opened at -3 and the juice seems like an indication it may go up.
Well this is it as it was supposed to be. The two best teams pound for pound in the NFC all season. Sure the Panthers will probably comtinue to get no respect due to being in the NFC South plus playing an easy schedule until they win the damn whole thing.
This could be a close game to the end. Im seeing anywhere from 3 to 7 pt victory for either team but i think Carolina has the slight edge here.
We have the top two scoring offenses in the league. Cardinals have the more well rounded offense that is good and all but two things i see Carolina doing better in this match. That is running the ball and protecting the QB
Cardinals defense give up more big plays than Carolina defense and its the running big plays that Cardinals are susceptible too just look at what Eddie Lacy did. And you know what the Panthers are? They are a running team and they are one of the best in rushing big plays. If Jonathan Stewart hit the open field he is in for the touchdown. Lacy is a slower runner. Cardinals run D will be in for a punishment with Stewart and Tolbert. I dont think they will be able to contain Cam Newton scrambles as well
Also the Cardinals pass rush is exceptional but they dont generate enough sacks. I see the O-line giving Newton some protection but the same cant be said for the Cardinals O-line they have slacked a bit lately. The Packers defense put some pressure on Palmer and i see the same happening here. Carson Palmer has been throwing some interceptions lately, he had two the last game and could of had two more if the Packer secondary didnt drop those easy gimmes from Palmer. Cant do that against Panthers secondary, they will make you pay for mistakes.
That is another advantage the Panthers have is the turnover differential. They takeaway the ball but have been good at not giving the ball up. Also you know what else the Cardinals have had trouble against? Tight ends. They have struggled against the likes of Gary Barnidge, Tyler Eiffeert and will go against one of the best in Greg Olsen. Im seeing more than 50 rec yards and a TD for Olsen.
This could easily look like a double digit victory for the Panthers but i see it being similar to the Packers vs Panthers. The Panthers secondary will allow the Cardinals to hang around and make the game closer than it appears. I see Panthers winning by 6
30-24 , Panthers
DK well respected write up. You always do your homework. Would greatly appreciate your vision in the Denver game because I'm trying to hit a four game parlay with both totals and both sides.
Just in case this line goes back up to -3.5. Im guessing some places opened up at 3.5 or 2.5 not sure but most places opened at -3 and the juice seems like an indication it may go up.
Well this is it as it was supposed to be. The two best teams pound for pound in the NFC all season. Sure the Panthers will probably comtinue to get no respect due to being in the NFC South plus playing an easy schedule until they win the damn whole thing.
This could be a close game to the end. Im seeing anywhere from 3 to 7 pt victory for either team but i think Carolina has the slight edge here.
We have the top two scoring offenses in the league. Cardinals have the more well rounded offense that is good and all but two things i see Carolina doing better in this match. That is running the ball and protecting the QB
Cardinals defense give up more big plays than Carolina defense and its the running big plays that Cardinals are susceptible too just look at what Eddie Lacy did. And you know what the Panthers are? They are a running team and they are one of the best in rushing big plays. If Jonathan Stewart hit the open field he is in for the touchdown. Lacy is a slower runner. Cardinals run D will be in for a punishment with Stewart and Tolbert. I dont think they will be able to contain Cam Newton scrambles as well
Also the Cardinals pass rush is exceptional but they dont generate enough sacks. I see the O-line giving Newton some protection but the same cant be said for the Cardinals O-line they have slacked a bit lately. The Packers defense put some pressure on Palmer and i see the same happening here. Carson Palmer has been throwing some interceptions lately, he had two the last game and could of had two more if the Packer secondary didnt drop those easy gimmes from Palmer. Cant do that against Panthers secondary, they will make you pay for mistakes.
That is another advantage the Panthers have is the turnover differential. They takeaway the ball but have been good at not giving the ball up. Also you know what else the Cardinals have had trouble against? Tight ends. They have struggled against the likes of Gary Barnidge, Tyler Eiffeert and will go against one of the best in Greg Olsen. Im seeing more than 50 rec yards and a TD for Olsen.
This could easily look like a double digit victory for the Panthers but i see it being similar to the Packers vs Panthers. The Panthers secondary will allow the Cardinals to hang around and make the game closer than it appears. I see Panthers winning by 6
30-24 , Panthers
DK well respected write up. You always do your homework. Would greatly appreciate your vision in the Denver game because I'm trying to hit a four game parlay with both totals and both sides.
The main return man on Broncos special teams is out for thr year. That could be huge Broncos need all the help they can get for their offense if that means a nice punt return for better field position..
The main return man on Broncos special teams is out for thr year. That could be huge Broncos need all the help they can get for their offense if that means a nice punt return for better field position..
Carson Palmer is a liability anytime, but even mores in a big game. I think Carolina has learned by now that they need to play BOTH halves of the game. I think they will be much more focused this week and shore up their secondary assignments by blitzing Palmer and showing him a look of different looks. Having Stewart back and battle tested once again is a big plus. at home, I like CAROLINA and the OVER to both click this week. GL all. --- THE MYTH
Carson Palmer is a liability anytime, but even mores in a big game. I think Carolina has learned by now that they need to play BOTH halves of the game. I think they will be much more focused this week and shore up their secondary assignments by blitzing Palmer and showing him a look of different looks. Having Stewart back and battle tested once again is a big plus. at home, I like CAROLINA and the OVER to both click this week. GL all. --- THE MYTH
My book opened it at 48, was hoping to get 47, 47.5 but doesnt look like itll come down. I see points being scored by both teams here. Panthers score just as much as they let the other teams score. Two best scoring offenses in the league. Panthers at home the Over has gone 6 out of 9 games, Cardinals road games Over has gone 5 out of 8 games. Seeing a score of 24-30 here.
My book opened it at 48, was hoping to get 47, 47.5 but doesnt look like itll come down. I see points being scored by both teams here. Panthers score just as much as they let the other teams score. Two best scoring offenses in the league. Panthers at home the Over has gone 6 out of 9 games, Cardinals road games Over has gone 5 out of 8 games. Seeing a score of 24-30 here.
My book opened it at 48, was hoping to get 47, 47.5 but doesnt look like itll come down. I see points being scored by both teams here. Panthers score just as much as they let the other teams score. Two best scoring offenses in the league. Panthers at home the Over has gone 6 out of 9 games, Cardinals road games Over has gone 5 out of 8 games. Seeing a score of 24-30 here.
I understand the Panthers strategy after they had 31 points in the first half. Run the ball.....take time off the clock.....make Seattle use a lot of clock on their scoring drives. BUT...
The fact is, they only scored 17 points with their offense. Does that give you pause at all DK?
Thanks for an interesting and informative write up.
My book opened it at 48, was hoping to get 47, 47.5 but doesnt look like itll come down. I see points being scored by both teams here. Panthers score just as much as they let the other teams score. Two best scoring offenses in the league. Panthers at home the Over has gone 6 out of 9 games, Cardinals road games Over has gone 5 out of 8 games. Seeing a score of 24-30 here.
I understand the Panthers strategy after they had 31 points in the first half. Run the ball.....take time off the clock.....make Seattle use a lot of clock on their scoring drives. BUT...
The fact is, they only scored 17 points with their offense. Does that give you pause at all DK?
Thanks for an interesting and informative write up.
Was leaning the Patriots the whole time until today. I mean the Pats are thr obvious choice to go to the Super Bowl. its a revenge game. Edelman is back and Brady is still on a mission afPlay #4: Denver Broncos +3
Missed out on the EVEN juice, now it is -110.
I would not be surprised at all if Patriots win but i wouldnt be shocked if they lose either. Look the Patriots are the better team in this matchup without a doubt. the biggest difference going for them this time is Julian Edelman is playing. Even so the Patriots had no problems scoring on that Denver defense
ter Deflategate. Pats winning is the most obvious logic but Had a change of heart
I would not be surprised at all if Patriots win... but i wouldnt be shocked if they lost either. Look the Patriots are the better team overall in this matchup without a doubt. the biggest difference going for them this time is Julian Edelman is playing. Even so the Patriots didnt have much problems in the 1st half scoring on that Denver defense without him...
But here are two reasons(although superficial) why i think the Broncos will very much be in this game and possibly win SU again.
1.) Ed Hochuli is reffing this game. no doubt the calls will be going more in the Broncos way just like the last game they played. Suprisingly Hochuli was not a part of the week 11 matchup. Broncos are 7-0 since 2000 when Hochuli refs, Patriots are 3-4.
2.) Brady is only 2-6 in Denver. The refs along with the homefield gives the Broncos a slight advantage. Plus being home underdog again only adds the fuel to the fire.
Plus i love the old school style of football. I still prefer the power running teams that can run the ball and play nasty defense, over arena-style passing and dink and dunk teams
I say Broncos win in a very close and lucky one just like they have been doing all year
Was leaning the Patriots the whole time until today. I mean the Pats are thr obvious choice to go to the Super Bowl. its a revenge game. Edelman is back and Brady is still on a mission afPlay #4: Denver Broncos +3
Missed out on the EVEN juice, now it is -110.
I would not be surprised at all if Patriots win but i wouldnt be shocked if they lose either. Look the Patriots are the better team in this matchup without a doubt. the biggest difference going for them this time is Julian Edelman is playing. Even so the Patriots had no problems scoring on that Denver defense
ter Deflategate. Pats winning is the most obvious logic but Had a change of heart
I would not be surprised at all if Patriots win... but i wouldnt be shocked if they lost either. Look the Patriots are the better team overall in this matchup without a doubt. the biggest difference going for them this time is Julian Edelman is playing. Even so the Patriots didnt have much problems in the 1st half scoring on that Denver defense without him...
But here are two reasons(although superficial) why i think the Broncos will very much be in this game and possibly win SU again.
1.) Ed Hochuli is reffing this game. no doubt the calls will be going more in the Broncos way just like the last game they played. Suprisingly Hochuli was not a part of the week 11 matchup. Broncos are 7-0 since 2000 when Hochuli refs, Patriots are 3-4.
2.) Brady is only 2-6 in Denver. The refs along with the homefield gives the Broncos a slight advantage. Plus being home underdog again only adds the fuel to the fire.
Plus i love the old school style of football. I still prefer the power running teams that can run the ball and play nasty defense, over arena-style passing and dink and dunk teams
I say Broncos win in a very close and lucky one just like they have been doing all year
I understand the Panthers strategy after they had 31 points in the first half. Run the ball.....take time off the clock.....make Seattle use a lot of clock on their scoring drives. BUT...
The fact is, they only scored 17 points with their offense. Does that give you pause at all DK?
Thanks for an interesting and informative write up.
Nope not really. I could be wrong though and the total falls just shy of the number again like the GB-ARI game but i feel fairly confident this can be a high scoring game. Carolina defense is capable of scoring points, or putting the offense in position to score. Im predicting a special teams score to help the Over maybe Tedd Ginn runs one back. GL
I understand the Panthers strategy after they had 31 points in the first half. Run the ball.....take time off the clock.....make Seattle use a lot of clock on their scoring drives. BUT...
The fact is, they only scored 17 points with their offense. Does that give you pause at all DK?
Thanks for an interesting and informative write up.
Nope not really. I could be wrong though and the total falls just shy of the number again like the GB-ARI game but i feel fairly confident this can be a high scoring game. Carolina defense is capable of scoring points, or putting the offense in position to score. Im predicting a special teams score to help the Over maybe Tedd Ginn runs one back. GL
i was tempted to take the Over just because the line bumped from 44 to 44.5 and it's Brady vs Manning(possibly the last match we'll ever see of them playing together) but...
i'm going to be realistic about it. I think the score will be lower than their week 11 meeting but always possible a last minute score can get it barely past the Over. i do not see them scoring 54 pts again. I see both defenses taking over this game. this won't be the same Peyton vs Manning offensive battle we are used to seeing.
I was expecting a drop off in the Patriots defense this year but they have surprisingly almost similar numbers to last season's unit without Revis, Wilfork and other veterans. Linebacking play and pass rush has improved as expected and their secondary has held the fort for the most part. Denver's defense is also much better this year. I see a nasty uphill battle to score points.
Manning/Brady playoff games are just 1-3 on the O/U, and i see another Under battle as well in the Mile High with possibly rain on tap for Sunday afternoon. this weather probably will affect Manning more than it will Brady but i just don't see another AFC Championship blowout in the rain. Not looking good for my Broncos futures bet
i was tempted to take the Over just because the line bumped from 44 to 44.5 and it's Brady vs Manning(possibly the last match we'll ever see of them playing together) but...
i'm going to be realistic about it. I think the score will be lower than their week 11 meeting but always possible a last minute score can get it barely past the Over. i do not see them scoring 54 pts again. I see both defenses taking over this game. this won't be the same Peyton vs Manning offensive battle we are used to seeing.
I was expecting a drop off in the Patriots defense this year but they have surprisingly almost similar numbers to last season's unit without Revis, Wilfork and other veterans. Linebacking play and pass rush has improved as expected and their secondary has held the fort for the most part. Denver's defense is also much better this year. I see a nasty uphill battle to score points.
Manning/Brady playoff games are just 1-3 on the O/U, and i see another Under battle as well in the Mile High with possibly rain on tap for Sunday afternoon. this weather probably will affect Manning more than it will Brady but i just don't see another AFC Championship blowout in the rain. Not looking good for my Broncos futures bet
Dont the Patriots usually have leads in the 1st quarter? They had a 7 pt lead in the 1st quarter last time in Denver. I could see them striking first and have a 3 or 7 pt lead at the end of 1st quarter. Thoughts?
Dont the Patriots usually have leads in the 1st quarter? They had a 7 pt lead in the 1st quarter last time in Denver. I could see them striking first and have a 3 or 7 pt lead at the end of 1st quarter. Thoughts?
Pats-1.5(+120) tells me this quarter ends 0-0. That's the biggest sucker line I've seen in a while.
Liking the under in this matchup. No way these teams light up the scoreboard like last meeting imo.
good observation i was thinking the same. after looking at Broncos past games this season, their defense has done a great job in the 1st quarter.
Already got the Under after it went up a half point. don't see it going any higher unless people are absurd enough to keep betting the Over. got the hook just in case it does happen to come down.
Pats-1.5(+120) tells me this quarter ends 0-0. That's the biggest sucker line I've seen in a while.
Liking the under in this matchup. No way these teams light up the scoreboard like last meeting imo.
good observation i was thinking the same. after looking at Broncos past games this season, their defense has done a great job in the 1st quarter.
Already got the Under after it went up a half point. don't see it going any higher unless people are absurd enough to keep betting the Over. got the hook just in case it does happen to come down.
Thought about adding some more on +3 now that it is back to EVEN juice again but the ML went back up as well so why not. Have extra winnings cashing on some big dog upsets in college hoops the last few days. dont mind if i do putting some on duck arm Manning!
Thought about adding some more on +3 now that it is back to EVEN juice again but the ML went back up as well so why not. Have extra winnings cashing on some big dog upsets in college hoops the last few days. dont mind if i do putting some on duck arm Manning!
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