16-7 in last 23 picks
2015 NFL: 4-0
Don't worry about the public support here.
Don't worry about the Giants battered offensive line.
I've been watching this team since grammar school. They love to put their backs up against the wall (and sometimes their backs are up so hard against it, it goes through it like now) and then play like there is a gun to their head.
Don't worry about last week either. The Jets were clearly the healthier and more talented team and also were playing for their lives in a de facto home game (and really up 20-10, the Giants could have easily ended it early in the 4th). A 4th quarter attempt at a TD decided that game and everything that could have gone right for the Jets did thereafter.
I love the Giants coming off a loss to their hometown rival and then having to play undefeated (as I type) Carolina next week. This is the perfect sandwich road game for a win.
The spread situation can only get worse by tonight as the Eagles/Wash/Dallas all have potential to win ugly, and if even one of the first two do, the Giants are in a huge hole to win the division.
I want to write more but I don't have much time to do so. Maybe later. I can just say this is a pure line at -1 (juiced) so we only need a win which the G-Men will get.
Coughlin will effectively be let go if the Giants drop this one.
Cliff notes:
Coach playing for his coaching life (this will likely be his last HC job).
Team with their backs up against the wall.
Fins clearly inferior and with almost nothing to play for except maybe Dan Campbell trying to win the HC job (which he might have already done).
Eli is at his best when he's under pressure.
Also, it's much better for teams to go on the road and get away from a frustrated fan base that is booing them.
I don't need to give you any advanced metrics. I can only say that having watched them all my life, they will do what it takes to win this game in a close one. The line will only go up from here as bettors chase losses and pound the MNF game on a perpetual public favorite.
I wouldn't post this game if I wasn't trying to stay perfect on the year with a very small selection of only the cream of crop games.
GIANTS -1 (juiced) over MIAMI