NEW ORLEANS AT HOUSTON:
This game has been locked on the key number of Houston by three all
week. Might be tough to move off because Drew Brees would definitely get
respect at anything higher, while the New Orleans defense would
definitely be disrespected at anything lower. Houston isn’t a team the
public usually bets with any passion. They’ve backed off the Saints
given their poor money performance this season. The total is down from
49 to 48 on a slight quant move.
MINNESOTA AT ATLANTA:
An opener of Atlanta -2 has seen a slight drop. Sharps soured on the
Falcons a few weeks back, though some were still surprised they blew the
Colts game. Minnesota cost a lot of important bettors a lot of money
last week when they played so poorly vs. Green Bay. That result looks
even worse now with the Packers losing to the Bears Thursday night.
Minnesota is +1.5 as I write this. Should that stand pat, the Vikings
+7.5 will be a popular pick in two-team teasers because the six-point
move would cross both the 3 and the 7. Clear jump on the total from an
opener of 44 up to 45.5.
ST. LOUIS AT CINCINNATI:
The St. Louis quarterback situation
is still up in the air. But, Case Keenum wasn’t an obvious upgrade from
Nick Foles. So, it may not mean much if he’s held out of the game. In
fact, the opener of Cincinnati -9 is down to -8.5 or -8 depending on the
store even with the question marks. There’s still a lot of respect for
the St. Louis defense even if the offense is awful. If the number stays
there…the Bengals -2 or -2.5 will be popular in two-team teasers.
NEW ORLEANS AT HOUSTON:
This game has been locked on the key number of Houston by three all
week. Might be tough to move off because Drew Brees would definitely get
respect at anything higher, while the New Orleans defense would
definitely be disrespected at anything lower. Houston isn’t a team the
public usually bets with any passion. They’ve backed off the Saints
given their poor money performance this season. The total is down from
49 to 48 on a slight quant move.
MINNESOTA AT ATLANTA:
An opener of Atlanta -2 has seen a slight drop. Sharps soured on the
Falcons a few weeks back, though some were still surprised they blew the
Colts game. Minnesota cost a lot of important bettors a lot of money
last week when they played so poorly vs. Green Bay. That result looks
even worse now with the Packers losing to the Bears Thursday night.
Minnesota is +1.5 as I write this. Should that stand pat, the Vikings
+7.5 will be a popular pick in two-team teasers because the six-point
move would cross both the 3 and the 7. Clear jump on the total from an
opener of 44 up to 45.5.
ST. LOUIS AT CINCINNATI:
The St. Louis quarterback situation
is still up in the air. But, Case Keenum wasn’t an obvious upgrade from
Nick Foles. So, it may not mean much if he’s held out of the game. In
fact, the opener of Cincinnati -9 is down to -8.5 or -8 depending on the
store even with the question marks. There’s still a lot of respect for
the St. Louis defense even if the offense is awful. If the number stays
there…the Bengals -2 or -2.5 will be popular in two-team teasers.
TAMPA BAY AT INDIANAPOLIS: Possibly a
tug-of-war shaping up, because Sharps like the improving Tampa Bay Bucs
at +3…but money does come in on the home favorite when -2.5 is posted.
The public is still skeptical about the Bucs. I’m talking to more and
more Sharps who like what they’re seeing with Jameis Winston. He had a
huge game in Philadelphia last week. That lost some luster when Detroit
did the same thing on Thursday. Probably won’t be a heavily bet game
(unless there are squares who forget that Andrew Luck is still out for
the Colts!).
NY GIANTS AT WASHINGTON:
The Giants have jumped all the way from pick-em to -2.5 in what’s
suddenly become a huge game in the NFC East. Both the Eagles and Cowboys
lost Thursday, making this a virtual playoff game in the race for the
divisional crown. It is expected that Sharp money would come in hard on
the home underdog at +3. Washington has played pretty well at home this
year, even if they can’t figure out how to do that on the road yet. If
this one sticks at 2.5…then Washington +8.5 will be a popular teaser
choice. Certain Sharp syndicates do like the Giants at -2 or less…but
some Washington money is biding its time.
OAKLAND AT TENNESSEE:
Oakland opened at -2. Sharps aren’t interested in betting them at that
price because the Raiders have been yanked all over the country by their
schedule. A bad result in Detroit last week didn’t exactly foreshadow a
big day here either. Stores seeing Tennessee money have tested -1.5. or
-1. Not much happening beyond that in what’s expected to be a lightly
bet game relative to the rest of the card. Even “locals” in Nevada know
this is a tough spot to invest in their Raiders. Another likely teaser
game with Tennessee +7.5 or +8 fitting into the basic strategy window.
BUFFALO AT KANSAS CITY:
Kansas City impressed a lot of Sharps with that blowout win at San Diego
last week. It was an obvious letdown spot for the Chiefs after they got
revenge at Denver. Plus, the Chargers were coming in off a bye. 33-3
Kansas City! The opener here of -5.5 was bet up to -6. This game would
have been about half that if played a month ago. It might take more than
the six to bring in sharp Buffalo money because the Wise guys know the
Bills left everything on the field at New England last Monday night.
TAMPA BAY AT INDIANAPOLIS: Possibly a
tug-of-war shaping up, because Sharps like the improving Tampa Bay Bucs
at +3…but money does come in on the home favorite when -2.5 is posted.
The public is still skeptical about the Bucs. I’m talking to more and
more Sharps who like what they’re seeing with Jameis Winston. He had a
huge game in Philadelphia last week. That lost some luster when Detroit
did the same thing on Thursday. Probably won’t be a heavily bet game
(unless there are squares who forget that Andrew Luck is still out for
the Colts!).
NY GIANTS AT WASHINGTON:
The Giants have jumped all the way from pick-em to -2.5 in what’s
suddenly become a huge game in the NFC East. Both the Eagles and Cowboys
lost Thursday, making this a virtual playoff game in the race for the
divisional crown. It is expected that Sharp money would come in hard on
the home underdog at +3. Washington has played pretty well at home this
year, even if they can’t figure out how to do that on the road yet. If
this one sticks at 2.5…then Washington +8.5 will be a popular teaser
choice. Certain Sharp syndicates do like the Giants at -2 or less…but
some Washington money is biding its time.
OAKLAND AT TENNESSEE:
Oakland opened at -2. Sharps aren’t interested in betting them at that
price because the Raiders have been yanked all over the country by their
schedule. A bad result in Detroit last week didn’t exactly foreshadow a
big day here either. Stores seeing Tennessee money have tested -1.5. or
-1. Not much happening beyond that in what’s expected to be a lightly
bet game relative to the rest of the card. Even “locals” in Nevada know
this is a tough spot to invest in their Raiders. Another likely teaser
game with Tennessee +7.5 or +8 fitting into the basic strategy window.
BUFFALO AT KANSAS CITY:
Kansas City impressed a lot of Sharps with that blowout win at San Diego
last week. It was an obvious letdown spot for the Chiefs after they got
revenge at Denver. Plus, the Chargers were coming in off a bye. 33-3
Kansas City! The opener here of -5.5 was bet up to -6. This game would
have been about half that if played a month ago. It might take more than
the six to bring in sharp Buffalo money because the Wise guys know the
Bills left everything on the field at New England last Monday night.
MIAMI AT THE NY JETS:
The Jets rose from -3 to -3.5. That’s actually a BIG move because it
takes a lot of money to get a game off the three in the NFL. Miami’s
really fallen apart lately…and that loss to Dallas looked much worse
when the Cowboys were getting crushed by Carolina before the injury to
Tony Romo. Playing a close game with Philadelphia (which happened
recently) also didn’t look very good with what happened to the Eagles
after that. Some Sharps were very happy to lay the field goal. Not much
motivation to buy back on the Dolphins.
SAN DIEGO AT JACKSONVILLE:
How about the Jaguars getting respect in the market?! This one opened
above the key number with Jacksonville -3.5. It’s been bet up to a solid
-4. San Diego’s looked awful lately, even with the bye. There are some
sharp concerns that the team is tanking for the draft. Very tough to bet
a team like that. The Jaguars were lucky to cover as a favorite vs.
Tennessee a week ago Thursday. Maybe the extra rest will help them here.
I finally have an Over/Under to talk about. Not much happening on
totals yet because many sharps are waiting to see what the weather’s
going to do. This one dropped from 48.5 to 46.5 because San Diego’s
offense has struggled so badly of late. One way to “fade” the weakness
of San Diego without backing the untrustworthy Jaguars is to focus on
the Under.
ARIZONA AT SAN FRANCISCO:
The opener of Arizona -10 has nudged up to -10.5 in most places. Nobody
wants to bet the Niners after they allowed more than 500 yards in a
non-cover at Seattle last week. Arizona is becoming a public team…but
squares aren’t ready to lay double digits on the road with them just
yet. So, we have some early sharp action on the Cards at the 10. Might
be it barring some injury news.
MIAMI AT THE NY JETS:
The Jets rose from -3 to -3.5. That’s actually a BIG move because it
takes a lot of money to get a game off the three in the NFL. Miami’s
really fallen apart lately…and that loss to Dallas looked much worse
when the Cowboys were getting crushed by Carolina before the injury to
Tony Romo. Playing a close game with Philadelphia (which happened
recently) also didn’t look very good with what happened to the Eagles
after that. Some Sharps were very happy to lay the field goal. Not much
motivation to buy back on the Dolphins.
SAN DIEGO AT JACKSONVILLE:
How about the Jaguars getting respect in the market?! This one opened
above the key number with Jacksonville -3.5. It’s been bet up to a solid
-4. San Diego’s looked awful lately, even with the bye. There are some
sharp concerns that the team is tanking for the draft. Very tough to bet
a team like that. The Jaguars were lucky to cover as a favorite vs.
Tennessee a week ago Thursday. Maybe the extra rest will help them here.
I finally have an Over/Under to talk about. Not much happening on
totals yet because many sharps are waiting to see what the weather’s
going to do. This one dropped from 48.5 to 46.5 because San Diego’s
offense has struggled so badly of late. One way to “fade” the weakness
of San Diego without backing the untrustworthy Jaguars is to focus on
the Under.
ARIZONA AT SAN FRANCISCO:
The opener of Arizona -10 has nudged up to -10.5 in most places. Nobody
wants to bet the Niners after they allowed more than 500 yards in a
non-cover at Seattle last week. Arizona is becoming a public team…but
squares aren’t ready to lay double digits on the road with them just
yet. So, we have some early sharp action on the Cards at the 10. Might
be it barring some injury news.
PITTSBURGH AT SEATTLE:
This will be the showcase game of the late afternoon. Only this one and
Arizona/SF are scheduled in that TV window. Seattle opened at -4, and
has been bet down to -3.5. It’s a bit odd to have a tug-of-war in those
spots. Those are more common around key numbers. But, sharps really like
Pittsburgh at the four because the Steelers have played well with Ben
Roethlisberger, while Seattle has outright home losses to playoff bound
Carolina and Arizona. The public still bets Seattle as favorites out of
habit...which will likely keep the game from falling to the three.
Should be a heavily bet game with so little else going on at the time.
The Over/Under has been bet up from 44 to 46 because both teams have
shown a recent tendency for shootouts. A rare Sunday where it’s supposed
to be sunny in Seattle but overcast almost everywhere else.
NEW ENGLAND AT DENVER:
Mostly painted three through the week, though some stores are testing
2.5 because Denver money is more prominent on the key number. New
England didn’t exactly sparkle vs. the NY Giants and Buffalo the last
two games. Now they’re playing on the road against a great defense. And,
everyone remembers what happened when Green Bay and Aaron Rodgers
played here not too long ago. The public isn’t ready to load up on Brock
Osweiler yet. Sharps who focus on defense see value on the Broncos at
the key number. Should 2.5 become more common on Sunday…then Denver +8.5
will be a very popular “defensive dog” play in sharp teasers.
MONDAY NIGHT
BALTIMORE AT CLEVELAND: This one has jumped from pick-em to Cleveland
-3. A lot going on here with Joe Flacco getting knocked out for the
season last Sunday before Johnny Manziel was benched for the Browns a
bit later. Sharps do like McCown better than Manziel, and do expect more
intensity for this rivalry game at the Dawg Pound. It’s not like
Baltimore money is flooding at the three. Monitor game day betting for
any major developments. It’s likely sharps would fade any move off the
three…particularly if the public comes in on the dog. We already know
the Wise Guys like the Browns at anything less than three.
PITTSBURGH AT SEATTLE:
This will be the showcase game of the late afternoon. Only this one and
Arizona/SF are scheduled in that TV window. Seattle opened at -4, and
has been bet down to -3.5. It’s a bit odd to have a tug-of-war in those
spots. Those are more common around key numbers. But, sharps really like
Pittsburgh at the four because the Steelers have played well with Ben
Roethlisberger, while Seattle has outright home losses to playoff bound
Carolina and Arizona. The public still bets Seattle as favorites out of
habit...which will likely keep the game from falling to the three.
Should be a heavily bet game with so little else going on at the time.
The Over/Under has been bet up from 44 to 46 because both teams have
shown a recent tendency for shootouts. A rare Sunday where it’s supposed
to be sunny in Seattle but overcast almost everywhere else.
NEW ENGLAND AT DENVER:
Mostly painted three through the week, though some stores are testing
2.5 because Denver money is more prominent on the key number. New
England didn’t exactly sparkle vs. the NY Giants and Buffalo the last
two games. Now they’re playing on the road against a great defense. And,
everyone remembers what happened when Green Bay and Aaron Rodgers
played here not too long ago. The public isn’t ready to load up on Brock
Osweiler yet. Sharps who focus on defense see value on the Broncos at
the key number. Should 2.5 become more common on Sunday…then Denver +8.5
will be a very popular “defensive dog” play in sharp teasers.
MONDAY NIGHT
BALTIMORE AT CLEVELAND: This one has jumped from pick-em to Cleveland
-3. A lot going on here with Joe Flacco getting knocked out for the
season last Sunday before Johnny Manziel was benched for the Browns a
bit later. Sharps do like McCown better than Manziel, and do expect more
intensity for this rivalry game at the Dawg Pound. It’s not like
Baltimore money is flooding at the three. Monitor game day betting for
any major developments. It’s likely sharps would fade any move off the
three…particularly if the public comes in on the dog. We already know
the Wise Guys like the Browns at anything less than three.
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