TOO LONG ; DIDN'T READ:
Rams +1 (as many units as you can afford)
Lions +3, and ML
Miami -3 (+100)
Titans +3.5
Cincy/Balt UNDER 45
Dallas +1.5
More at the bottom after freak outs (that's what my write-ups feel like nowadays.... FREAK OUTS) I seriously get some strong opinions sometimes.
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Hey, I'm pretty confident that I have a set of quality picks for the weekend. All of my picks this season have been recorded on ESPN spread mode pigskin pickem. I went 12-4 ATS week 1 and 8-8 ATS week 2. And I lost Thursday night. My 8-8 week 2 was unlucky to say the least. All the close games went against me, true story.
That puts me at 20-13 for the season and I'm on a 3 game losing streak. I was literally on fire, but I missed Sunday night, Monday night, and Thursday night. At one point I was in the 99.9% group. I was a .1%er!
I'm seriously looking to bounce back big this week. I've watched every snap of the season, thanks to Game Pass' Condensed Games. Every.Single.Game. Almost like it's my job
My plays for today are as follows:
Dallas +1.5 ( Their defense cannot be overlooked, and it won't be. Dallas will control this game even though they are missing some key components. Atlanta is going to have a very hard time up front, both on offense and defense, and they will not be able to run the ball effectively. This is going to turn them into a pass happy, turnover-flirting-with offense. Mark my words, Dallas wins.)
Bengals/Ravens UNDER 45 (have you watched the Bengals this year? They look very good! Almost too good. They have had some luck going downfield to Sanu and co. I think that doesn't happen today. Both teams have defensive players that are animals out there. When I look at this game from a distance, it would scream to take the Ravens. A winless team at home against an overperforming opponent. While this might be the correct side, I feel like the spread is going to be very close. I'm taking the Bengals +2.5 in the pickem..... BUT, I see the total being under 45 being more comfortable. This is going to be a physical game, watch out)
Miami -3 (+100) - 2nd most favorite play of the week. (The Dolphins are coming home this weekend and they are going to show why they are going to be a contender this year. Trust me, DeVante Parker is 100% and Lamar Miller is poised to break out. These two elements are going to make the Dolphins look like a whole 'nother team. Miami takes this one to the bank, absolutely LOVE this play)
Rams +1. Absolutely my favorite play of the week. POUND THE RAMS. If you are from England, RAM THE POUNDS. If you are starting a rock band and you need a name, THE RAM POUNDS will go platinum.
St. Louis is about to prove why they are going to be a FORCE this year. Jared Cook is a sneaky good TE that might be a FA in your fantasy leagues. But EFF fantasy, this is the best play on the board. STL is going to pull out a victory and slap the Steelers right next to the Seahawks in teams that they've beaten this year.
Titans +3.5
This is another confident play. The Colts will struggle again to gain rhythm on offense. The titans might get got, but they gonna get theirs more times than they get got doe. Tennessee is definitely the play here. Maybe the Colts squeak this one out, that's why I'm avoiding the ML, but that would be a smart play as well. Good luck if you play this one with me.
SUNDAY NIGHT... do you remember when I said that Miami is my 2nd best bet of the week? I'm gonna have to slip this one in as my 1.5 most favorite pick. ABSOLUTELY LOVE the LIONS Sunday night. You are going to see a very athletic team in Detroit. They are going to be able to score enough points to get the W, let alone cover the 3 points.
LIONS ML
LIONS +3
LIONS LIONS LIONS
Strong leans that I would absolutely encourage you to consider:
Eagles +1
Browns -3.5 (I wouldn't sweat the 1/2 pt)
Vikings -2
Houston -6.5
Seahawks -14 (-120)
49ers +6.5
Chiefs +7
Other picks that I have to make in the pigskin pick em... Bengals +2.5, Jags +13.5 and finally Panthers -6.5 (that's the line espn uses... this particular game has nothing to do with a wager)
Those plays at the top of this post are what I'd like you to key on. Those games will make you money.