-Lions defense is too good. That will be the difference against a horrible and banged up Falcons O-Line. Lions 1st in Pass and Rush DVOA...Only thing that bothers me is Falcons desperation, but I like my chances laying more than a FG in England.
-Like the TD I'm getting in the Rams game. Rams pass rush looked very good last week. Hoping they can get to Smith even though he has a very quick release. My only reservation is Austin Davis in Arrowhead. Chiefs have had a very tough schedule thus far, but so have the Rams. Rams just finished a 4 game stretch against Dal, Philly, SF, and Seattle. I'm hoping Rams take their momentum and not have a letdown game into KC. Think this will be tight.
-Can't justify not taking the points against the Bucs in almost any situation. They're only strength is their rush D, and I am banking on Bridgewater on the road, but I think he'll have his best game of the season against a horrible pass D. Vikings pull the road upset.
-Regardless of how the Seahawks have played, their offense has been rock solid. Lynch will run all over the 29th Rush DVOA and Wilson will be able to do his thing. I don't know if they'll win this game, but think they go over the team total against a bad defense, even on the road.
-Bengals defense strength is better than Falcons offense strength. Desperation and a fired up defense will be the difference. Think this interdivisional game will be low scoring and tight. Ravens are a below avg rush team and Bengals can stop the pass.
-Bears must win and have risen to the occasion on the road this year. Pats could be looking ahead to Denver next week. I think this stays tight for most of the game and the difference will be Forte vs a below average rush D.
-Don't really get the love for the Jets this week, other than the fact they are coming off a tough stretch in their schedule. I can't justify laying points with Geno against the 4th ranked defense DVOA. Orton will make enough plays even without Spiller and Jackson. Tough game, but Bills pull it out.
-Not many times do you get the chance to take Big Ben, Bell, and Brown as home dogs. I have to see more from the Colts to lay over a FG on the road. They haven't played a tough schedule for the most part and don't have too many impressive wins. I will be very impressed if Colts win this with some injuries in Pittsburgh. Bell will have a huge day against a Colts D that's 30th DVOA.
-Lions defense is too good. That will be the difference against a horrible and banged up Falcons O-Line. Lions 1st in Pass and Rush DVOA...Only thing that bothers me is Falcons desperation, but I like my chances laying more than a FG in England.
-Like the TD I'm getting in the Rams game. Rams pass rush looked very good last week. Hoping they can get to Smith even though he has a very quick release. My only reservation is Austin Davis in Arrowhead. Chiefs have had a very tough schedule thus far, but so have the Rams. Rams just finished a 4 game stretch against Dal, Philly, SF, and Seattle. I'm hoping Rams take their momentum and not have a letdown game into KC. Think this will be tight.
-Can't justify not taking the points against the Bucs in almost any situation. They're only strength is their rush D, and I am banking on Bridgewater on the road, but I think he'll have his best game of the season against a horrible pass D. Vikings pull the road upset.
-Regardless of how the Seahawks have played, their offense has been rock solid. Lynch will run all over the 29th Rush DVOA and Wilson will be able to do his thing. I don't know if they'll win this game, but think they go over the team total against a bad defense, even on the road.
-Bengals defense strength is better than Falcons offense strength. Desperation and a fired up defense will be the difference. Think this interdivisional game will be low scoring and tight. Ravens are a below avg rush team and Bengals can stop the pass.
-Bears must win and have risen to the occasion on the road this year. Pats could be looking ahead to Denver next week. I think this stays tight for most of the game and the difference will be Forte vs a below average rush D.
-Don't really get the love for the Jets this week, other than the fact they are coming off a tough stretch in their schedule. I can't justify laying points with Geno against the 4th ranked defense DVOA. Orton will make enough plays even without Spiller and Jackson. Tough game, but Bills pull it out.
-Not many times do you get the chance to take Big Ben, Bell, and Brown as home dogs. I have to see more from the Colts to lay over a FG on the road. They haven't played a tough schedule for the most part and don't have too many impressive wins. I will be very impressed if Colts win this with some injuries in Pittsburgh. Bell will have a huge day against a Colts D that's 30th DVOA.
Look at the Pats schedule. I'm sorry, but they haven't had any very impressive wins.
Won @ Min
Won vs Oak
Loss @ KC
Won vs Cinci
Won @ Buff
Won vs Jets
Cinci was a nice win, but they were coming off getting embarrassed. Was a very good spot for the Pats. They're now coming off two wins against divisional opponents and host Denver next week. I'm not sold on them giving 6 points against a desperate Bears team that can put up points.
Look at the Pats schedule. I'm sorry, but they haven't had any very impressive wins.
Won @ Min
Won vs Oak
Loss @ KC
Won vs Cinci
Won @ Buff
Won vs Jets
Cinci was a nice win, but they were coming off getting embarrassed. Was a very good spot for the Pats. They're now coming off two wins against divisional opponents and host Denver next week. I'm not sold on them giving 6 points against a desperate Bears team that can put up points.
Look at the Pats schedule. I'm sorry, but they haven't had any very impressive wins.
Won @ Min
Won vs Oak
Loss @ KC
Won vs Cinci
Won @ Buff
Won vs Jets
Cinci was a nice win, but they were coming off getting embarrassed. Was a very good spot for the Pats. They're now coming off two wins against divisional opponents and host Denver next week. I'm not sold on them giving 6 points against a desperate Bears team that can put up points.
Look at the Pats schedule. I'm sorry, but they haven't had any very impressive wins.
Won @ Min
Won vs Oak
Loss @ KC
Won vs Cinci
Won @ Buff
Won vs Jets
Cinci was a nice win, but they were coming off getting embarrassed. Was a very good spot for the Pats. They're now coming off two wins against divisional opponents and host Denver next week. I'm not sold on them giving 6 points against a desperate Bears team that can put up points.
Papa on other side of your bills and Minny picks. After miracle win last week for buff I feel this is a good spot for let down. Bills d let up first 100 yard rusher last week. Jets will pound ball. D will stop buff run complely. Orton gonna have to throw all day and that's never a good thing for a football team. I love McKinnon but Tampa can score. Coming off bye work out some kinks alot of them on d. See high scoring game with Tampa winning. Gl
Papa on other side of your bills and Minny picks. After miracle win last week for buff I feel this is a good spot for let down. Bills d let up first 100 yard rusher last week. Jets will pound ball. D will stop buff run complely. Orton gonna have to throw all day and that's never a good thing for a football team. I love McKinnon but Tampa can score. Coming off bye work out some kinks alot of them on d. See high scoring game with Tampa winning. Gl
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