What record for the Vikings would you have predicted before week one started with that schedule ? Even with Adrian Peterson in the line up ? I guess the majority would say 3-3. Now they are 2-4 without their key franchise player, three quarterback changes and an atricious o-line. They were 2-2 after week four, having played NE, NO and ATL already - that's quite okay. They then lost AT Green Bay with Christian Ponder starting (come on) and against Detroit in a game in which the matchup between the d-line of Detroit and the o-line of the Vikings was a big mismatch. We cannot expect a good performance by a rookie QB in that situation who also haven't been playing in any rhythm this year. So I'm not really down on the Vikings. What concerns me even more is their locker room trouble. Coach Mike Zimmer said he had to fine several players during last week for stupid things like coming late to a team meeting. Furthermore he said his players "need to understand that losing is not OK" - that's a big issue, but they have one week to solve those problems. Well, the o-line of Minnesota is a mess - but how good is the Bills pass rush ? I watched the game against NE and their pass rush was terrible. Tom Brady had so much time waiting for his receivers to get free - they didn't need to install any run game. Teddy Bridgewater will have a lot more time throwing the ball than he had against Detroit. Against Atlanta he had much time as well and shredded their secondary. Minnesota sacked Matthew Stafford four times, New England sacked Kyle Orton five times - guess what we will see on Sunday ? Kyle Orton under pressure a lot. Furthermore New England have a good secondary, allowing only 6.4 yards per pass attempt on the season, they held Kyle Orton to 6.2 YPPA even though the Bills game plan was pass heavily when they were behind: 15 passes to zero runs on 1st and 2nd down with two scores down. Their offensive play calls were very predictable. Minnesota are 0.4 YPPA shy of the NE number, but already faced Drew Brees, Matt Ryan, Aaron Rodgers and Matthew Stafford. I just don't see how Kyle Orton will light their secondary up with that soft o-line. In addition this is a divisional sandwich game for the Bills as they travel to New York the next week. Maybe we don't get 100% of their effort on Sunday. All in all I believe the Vikings will show up at Buffalo and give Bridgewater more chances to perform solid. Their defense will keep them in the game and four points are enough for me to take the road dog in this one.
Miami Dolphins +3.5 -107
When Aaron Rodgers doesn't make many mistakes and when you give him a field of 60 yards with 2:04 minutes left in a close game, you can afford losing to him. He is one of the best in the business. The important thing is that the Miami D showed a great performance anyway despite losing the game. Packers owned the time of possession with 37:12 minutes and the Dolphins still held the Packers to 5.5 YPPA and 3.6 YPC - so I wouldn't buy much into total yardage. These numbers equal #1 and #7 compared to whole average league numbers. The Packers have a good secondary this season and Ryan Tannehill managed to complete 20 of 31 passes for 7.9 YPPA - that sounds good. Even their 4.9 YPC were very good, even though GB had 10 days to prepare for their running game. Bears D ranks #20 with 4.3 YPC and #24 with 7.4 YPPA. Dolphins should be able to move the ball all game long. The Bears come off an easy win against a soft defense at Atlanta and now face a completely different opponent. When the Miami D puts these numbers on the board against Aaron Rodgers, they can do it against the Bears as well. In addition, Jay Cutler is due for a few turnovers as the Bears have some pressure at home in front of their fans. They lost both home games and have something to prove on Sunday. Jay Cutler and company have been struggling against tough defenses which either stopped the run or the pass almost completely. They lost against the Bills, were held to 216 and 257 total yards and were outgained against the Niners and Jets. They just used their mistakes for a win. They rushed for 235 yards against the Packers who had a terrible run D in that game but were held to 261 yards passing along with two INT. Dolphins are able to shut down both ways against the Bears. The Dolphins matched up very well with the Packers and I expect them to match up even better with the Bears who can't rely on their defense. I like the Dolphins to pull out a win as they are the way better team defensively and have enough weapons on offense to put enough points on the scoreboard against the weak Bears defense. Give me 27-16 Miami.
I really like the card this week and am working on a few more write-ups. Feel free to comment. Constructive criticism is useful.
What record for the Vikings would you have predicted before week one started with that schedule ? Even with Adrian Peterson in the line up ? I guess the majority would say 3-3. Now they are 2-4 without their key franchise player, three quarterback changes and an atricious o-line. They were 2-2 after week four, having played NE, NO and ATL already - that's quite okay. They then lost AT Green Bay with Christian Ponder starting (come on) and against Detroit in a game in which the matchup between the d-line of Detroit and the o-line of the Vikings was a big mismatch. We cannot expect a good performance by a rookie QB in that situation who also haven't been playing in any rhythm this year. So I'm not really down on the Vikings. What concerns me even more is their locker room trouble. Coach Mike Zimmer said he had to fine several players during last week for stupid things like coming late to a team meeting. Furthermore he said his players "need to understand that losing is not OK" - that's a big issue, but they have one week to solve those problems. Well, the o-line of Minnesota is a mess - but how good is the Bills pass rush ? I watched the game against NE and their pass rush was terrible. Tom Brady had so much time waiting for his receivers to get free - they didn't need to install any run game. Teddy Bridgewater will have a lot more time throwing the ball than he had against Detroit. Against Atlanta he had much time as well and shredded their secondary. Minnesota sacked Matthew Stafford four times, New England sacked Kyle Orton five times - guess what we will see on Sunday ? Kyle Orton under pressure a lot. Furthermore New England have a good secondary, allowing only 6.4 yards per pass attempt on the season, they held Kyle Orton to 6.2 YPPA even though the Bills game plan was pass heavily when they were behind: 15 passes to zero runs on 1st and 2nd down with two scores down. Their offensive play calls were very predictable. Minnesota are 0.4 YPPA shy of the NE number, but already faced Drew Brees, Matt Ryan, Aaron Rodgers and Matthew Stafford. I just don't see how Kyle Orton will light their secondary up with that soft o-line. In addition this is a divisional sandwich game for the Bills as they travel to New York the next week. Maybe we don't get 100% of their effort on Sunday. All in all I believe the Vikings will show up at Buffalo and give Bridgewater more chances to perform solid. Their defense will keep them in the game and four points are enough for me to take the road dog in this one.
Miami Dolphins +3.5 -107
When Aaron Rodgers doesn't make many mistakes and when you give him a field of 60 yards with 2:04 minutes left in a close game, you can afford losing to him. He is one of the best in the business. The important thing is that the Miami D showed a great performance anyway despite losing the game. Packers owned the time of possession with 37:12 minutes and the Dolphins still held the Packers to 5.5 YPPA and 3.6 YPC - so I wouldn't buy much into total yardage. These numbers equal #1 and #7 compared to whole average league numbers. The Packers have a good secondary this season and Ryan Tannehill managed to complete 20 of 31 passes for 7.9 YPPA - that sounds good. Even their 4.9 YPC were very good, even though GB had 10 days to prepare for their running game. Bears D ranks #20 with 4.3 YPC and #24 with 7.4 YPPA. Dolphins should be able to move the ball all game long. The Bears come off an easy win against a soft defense at Atlanta and now face a completely different opponent. When the Miami D puts these numbers on the board against Aaron Rodgers, they can do it against the Bears as well. In addition, Jay Cutler is due for a few turnovers as the Bears have some pressure at home in front of their fans. They lost both home games and have something to prove on Sunday. Jay Cutler and company have been struggling against tough defenses which either stopped the run or the pass almost completely. They lost against the Bills, were held to 216 and 257 total yards and were outgained against the Niners and Jets. They just used their mistakes for a win. They rushed for 235 yards against the Packers who had a terrible run D in that game but were held to 261 yards passing along with two INT. Dolphins are able to shut down both ways against the Bears. The Dolphins matched up very well with the Packers and I expect them to match up even better with the Bears who can't rely on their defense. I like the Dolphins to pull out a win as they are the way better team defensively and have enough weapons on offense to put enough points on the scoreboard against the weak Bears defense. Give me 27-16 Miami.
I really like the card this week and am working on a few more write-ups. Feel free to comment. Constructive criticism is useful.
It's a terrible spot for the Ravens. They come off a blowout win against Tampa Bay and play against the Bengals next week in a divisional revenge game which will probably give them the division lead if they win - also considering Cleveland not being far away. The game against the Bengals will be like a playoff game for the Ravens. We already saw what these look ahead situations do with teams: the Chiefs lost straight up as favorites against the Titans at home when they had Peyton Manning on deck; Seahawks lost as favorites at San Diego with their Super Bowl rematch on deck; the Eagles could have easily lost against the Rams with the Giants on deck if there haven't been stupid turnovers by the Rams. People with the right line had a winner with the Rams. On the other side the Falcons are terrible in open stadiums but they have nothing to lose in this game. Matt Ryan can play without any pressure. Even if the Ravens are two or three scores in front, we will see them taking off some gears to prepare for the big divisional game - than it's time for Matt Ryan to score one or two garbage touchdowns. Another interesting thing aside from the situational spot is this: The Ravens have two losses along with a close win at Cleveland that could have been a loss easily. All these three teams rank in the top 10 of my lovely category "yards per pass attempt" (#2, #3 and #9). These three teams outgained the Ravens 8.6 to 6.1 in YPPA and 13.7 to 11 in passing first downs. Guess what ? The Falcons are #7 in YPPA (7.7) and #5 in passing first downs per game (14.7). The secondary has been Baltimores only weakness so far as they gave up 270.5 passing yards per game (#27) and 7.1 YPPA (#21). I really like these facts. Given the situation the Ravens are in with the massive look-ahead spot and the Falcons having the weapons to stay competitive, I'll take the road game with seven points.
New Orleans Saints +3 -113
This one was a quick lean. Since 2009, the Saints are 7-0 SU and 7-0 ATS coming off a bye week. The Lions have a terrible o-line and their secondary only got tested by one stud in Aaron Rodgers this year. Their secondary is also heavily benefiting from their strong front seven that really improved from last season. Sean Payton had two weeks to think about a game plan that lets Drew Brees get the ball out quickly. In addition, the Lions are still missing Megatron and probably Reggie Bush, that isn't good when you need to score against an offense like New Orleans. The Lions held the Vikings to just three single points. Teams that showed a great defensive effort in their last game - holding teams below a touchdown - and play against a rested team off a bye, have been 13-19 SU and 11-22 ATS since 2002. That situational trend is 3-12 ATS since the 2008 season. The Saints will get to Matthew Stafford who was sacked the third most time of all QB's in the season and they will have a gameplan to destroy the secondary. Lions can only score through the air when Stafford has some time and I expect the Saints to not give him the time after two weeks of studying the Lions.
It's a terrible spot for the Ravens. They come off a blowout win against Tampa Bay and play against the Bengals next week in a divisional revenge game which will probably give them the division lead if they win - also considering Cleveland not being far away. The game against the Bengals will be like a playoff game for the Ravens. We already saw what these look ahead situations do with teams: the Chiefs lost straight up as favorites against the Titans at home when they had Peyton Manning on deck; Seahawks lost as favorites at San Diego with their Super Bowl rematch on deck; the Eagles could have easily lost against the Rams with the Giants on deck if there haven't been stupid turnovers by the Rams. People with the right line had a winner with the Rams. On the other side the Falcons are terrible in open stadiums but they have nothing to lose in this game. Matt Ryan can play without any pressure. Even if the Ravens are two or three scores in front, we will see them taking off some gears to prepare for the big divisional game - than it's time for Matt Ryan to score one or two garbage touchdowns. Another interesting thing aside from the situational spot is this: The Ravens have two losses along with a close win at Cleveland that could have been a loss easily. All these three teams rank in the top 10 of my lovely category "yards per pass attempt" (#2, #3 and #9). These three teams outgained the Ravens 8.6 to 6.1 in YPPA and 13.7 to 11 in passing first downs. Guess what ? The Falcons are #7 in YPPA (7.7) and #5 in passing first downs per game (14.7). The secondary has been Baltimores only weakness so far as they gave up 270.5 passing yards per game (#27) and 7.1 YPPA (#21). I really like these facts. Given the situation the Ravens are in with the massive look-ahead spot and the Falcons having the weapons to stay competitive, I'll take the road game with seven points.
New Orleans Saints +3 -113
This one was a quick lean. Since 2009, the Saints are 7-0 SU and 7-0 ATS coming off a bye week. The Lions have a terrible o-line and their secondary only got tested by one stud in Aaron Rodgers this year. Their secondary is also heavily benefiting from their strong front seven that really improved from last season. Sean Payton had two weeks to think about a game plan that lets Drew Brees get the ball out quickly. In addition, the Lions are still missing Megatron and probably Reggie Bush, that isn't good when you need to score against an offense like New Orleans. The Lions held the Vikings to just three single points. Teams that showed a great defensive effort in their last game - holding teams below a touchdown - and play against a rested team off a bye, have been 13-19 SU and 11-22 ATS since 2002. That situational trend is 3-12 ATS since the 2008 season. The Saints will get to Matthew Stafford who was sacked the third most time of all QB's in the season and they will have a gameplan to destroy the secondary. Lions can only score through the air when Stafford has some time and I expect the Saints to not give him the time after two weeks of studying the Lions.
I don't want to badmouth the performances of the Chargers, but they had the easiest schedule by now and the Chiefs are underrated at 2-3. When you look at total yardage allowed, the Chargers look pretty well on defense, but there is one important point: the Chargers are second in the league in owning the time of possession at 34:33 minutes per game. So these numbers are not comparable IMO. The truth is: San Diego defense ranks #6 in yards per pass attempt (6.2) but only #26
in yards per rush (4.7). The only running powerhouse they faced has been
Seattle and they gave up 8.3 yards per rush. Their #6 against the pass was against teams that rank from
21 to 32 in that offensive category, for example teams led by Geno Smith or E.J. Manuel. KC are #7 (4.7) in yards per rush
attempt, even though Jamaal Charles sat out almost two of their five
games when I remember right. Alex Smith posted 9.5 yppa against NE,
because they had a good gameplan with a balanced offense and could run
the ball very well - why shouldn't they have a gameplan for San Diego ? Chargers have had a phenomenal passing game but the Chiefs only gave up 6.7 YPPA, good for #10 in the league and better than any passing D the Chargers have faced so far and the Chiefs already played against Manning, Brady and Kaepernick (he is #10 in YPPA). Seattle ranks #11 in YPPA but their speedy defense struggled on the SD turf. Andy Reid and his coaching staff had two full weeks to prepare for the SD game, I think we will see some variable offensive play calls on Sunday. The Chargers come off a tough and physical game against the Raiders in which they had to fight till the end of the fourth quarter. Furthermore they will face a short week with Peyton Manning and the Broncos on Thursday night. Given the weak spot for SD and the better spot for a balanced KC offense after a bye week and the numbers above, I really like the chances of KC winning straight up at San Diego.
I don't want to badmouth the performances of the Chargers, but they had the easiest schedule by now and the Chiefs are underrated at 2-3. When you look at total yardage allowed, the Chargers look pretty well on defense, but there is one important point: the Chargers are second in the league in owning the time of possession at 34:33 minutes per game. So these numbers are not comparable IMO. The truth is: San Diego defense ranks #6 in yards per pass attempt (6.2) but only #26
in yards per rush (4.7). The only running powerhouse they faced has been
Seattle and they gave up 8.3 yards per rush. Their #6 against the pass was against teams that rank from
21 to 32 in that offensive category, for example teams led by Geno Smith or E.J. Manuel. KC are #7 (4.7) in yards per rush
attempt, even though Jamaal Charles sat out almost two of their five
games when I remember right. Alex Smith posted 9.5 yppa against NE,
because they had a good gameplan with a balanced offense and could run
the ball very well - why shouldn't they have a gameplan for San Diego ? Chargers have had a phenomenal passing game but the Chiefs only gave up 6.7 YPPA, good for #10 in the league and better than any passing D the Chargers have faced so far and the Chiefs already played against Manning, Brady and Kaepernick (he is #10 in YPPA). Seattle ranks #11 in YPPA but their speedy defense struggled on the SD turf. Andy Reid and his coaching staff had two full weeks to prepare for the SD game, I think we will see some variable offensive play calls on Sunday. The Chargers come off a tough and physical game against the Raiders in which they had to fight till the end of the fourth quarter. Furthermore they will face a short week with Peyton Manning and the Broncos on Thursday night. Given the weak spot for SD and the better spot for a balanced KC offense after a bye week and the numbers above, I really like the chances of KC winning straight up at San Diego.
With you on all of them except Miami. I think Chicago is a much better team and I'd rather put my money on Cutler than Tannehill any day. I'm all in on KC this week spread and ML. San Diego has been playing at an unreal level they're bound to come back down to earth. Plus Andy Reid 13-2 after a bye
With you on all of them except Miami. I think Chicago is a much better team and I'd rather put my money on Cutler than Tannehill any day. I'm all in on KC this week spread and ML. San Diego has been playing at an unreal level they're bound to come back down to earth. Plus Andy Reid 13-2 after a bye
With you on all of them except Miami. I think Chicago is a much better team and I'd rather put my money on Cutler than Tannehill any day. I'm all in on KC this week spread and ML. San Diego has been playing at an unreal level they're bound to come back down to earth. Plus Andy Reid 13-2 after a bye
Thanks for your comment. I get your point about Cutler/Tannehill. My pick is more on the Miami defense than on Ryan Tannehill. Tannehill and the Miami running game are good enough to put enough points on the board for a cover at Chicago. If they want to cover or win that game, their defense will have to make the difference and I'm expecting them to do so.
With you on all of them except Miami. I think Chicago is a much better team and I'd rather put my money on Cutler than Tannehill any day. I'm all in on KC this week spread and ML. San Diego has been playing at an unreal level they're bound to come back down to earth. Plus Andy Reid 13-2 after a bye
Thanks for your comment. I get your point about Cutler/Tannehill. My pick is more on the Miami defense than on Ryan Tannehill. Tannehill and the Miami running game are good enough to put enough points on the board for a cover at Chicago. If they want to cover or win that game, their defense will have to make the difference and I'm expecting them to do so.
I really don't know about the NYG/DAL game. I will probably just sit back and enjoy the game on TV. Cowboys have been awful when you expect a win from them. They are on a 0-7 ATS run when favored at home after a win. Road dogs off a shutout have been doing solid, 38-22 ATS over last 24 years or so. But these are just trends..
I really don't know about the NYG/DAL game. I will probably just sit back and enjoy the game on TV. Cowboys have been awful when you expect a win from them. They are on a 0-7 ATS run when favored at home after a win. Road dogs off a shutout have been doing solid, 38-22 ATS over last 24 years or so. But these are just trends..
your analysis is mostly sound but this one point doesn't sit well with me :
"Teddy Bridgewater will have a lot more time throwing the ball than he had against Detroit. "
Buffalo is 2nd in the league in sacks, right behind detroit. In fact, the bills have a top 10 defense. Bridgewater just threw 3 picks to the Lions...he's scared to death right now. Buffalo is going to make his life hell
your analysis is mostly sound but this one point doesn't sit well with me :
"Teddy Bridgewater will have a lot more time throwing the ball than he had against Detroit. "
Buffalo is 2nd in the league in sacks, right behind detroit. In fact, the bills have a top 10 defense. Bridgewater just threw 3 picks to the Lions...he's scared to death right now. Buffalo is going to make his life hell
your analysis is mostly sound but this one point doesn't sit well with me :
"Teddy Bridgewater will have a lot more time throwing the ball than he had against Detroit. "
Buffalo is 2nd in the league in sacks, right behind detroit. In fact, the bills have a top 10 defense. Bridgewater just threw 3 picks to the Lions...he's scared to death right now. Buffalo is going to make his life hell
Thanks for the headsup. I just based my opinion on what I saw on Sunday and their pass rush was weak. I've read comments from Bills fans who mentioned it as the biggest factor in that game - Tom Brady wasn't under pressure and his o-line is not the best. On top of that blind side tackle Sebastian Vollmer was injured during the game and missed a few snaps when I remember right.
your analysis is mostly sound but this one point doesn't sit well with me :
"Teddy Bridgewater will have a lot more time throwing the ball than he had against Detroit. "
Buffalo is 2nd in the league in sacks, right behind detroit. In fact, the bills have a top 10 defense. Bridgewater just threw 3 picks to the Lions...he's scared to death right now. Buffalo is going to make his life hell
Thanks for the headsup. I just based my opinion on what I saw on Sunday and their pass rush was weak. I've read comments from Bills fans who mentioned it as the biggest factor in that game - Tom Brady wasn't under pressure and his o-line is not the best. On top of that blind side tackle Sebastian Vollmer was injured during the game and missed a few snaps when I remember right.
You seem to be making elaborate justifications for taking only dogs this week. And maybe all of these dogs will cover. But just remember there are plenty of arguments that can be made for the favorites too. In the end it's an art as much as a science.
I'd say your iffiest one is the puzzling Minnesota.
As for the Miami game, the Bears are schizophrenic and you never know what personality you're gonna get.
You seem to be making elaborate justifications for taking only dogs this week. And maybe all of these dogs will cover. But just remember there are plenty of arguments that can be made for the favorites too. In the end it's an art as much as a science.
I'd say your iffiest one is the puzzling Minnesota.
As for the Miami game, the Bears are schizophrenic and you never know what personality you're gonna get.
You seem to be making elaborate justifications for taking only dogs this week. And maybe all of these dogs will cover. But just remember there are plenty of arguments that can be made for the favorites too. In the end it's an art as much as a science.
I'd say your iffiest one is the puzzling Minnesota.
As for the Miami game, the Bears are schizophrenic and you never know what personality you're gonna get.
Seriously, it wasn't my goal to play just the dogs. I will probably play Arizona as well. It was just a result of my method how I make my leans. Then I went on, did my research and evaluated it. My angles seem to work for the dogs this week. Last week four of my six side plays have been on favorites.
Well, I would say every pick in the NFL is iffy, isn't it ? But I get your point. It will be interesting how the Vikings will work together as a team.
You are right about the Bears. But I like my chances, even if we get a good Bears team on Sunday. They can't do everything against the Dolphins defense.
You seem to be making elaborate justifications for taking only dogs this week. And maybe all of these dogs will cover. But just remember there are plenty of arguments that can be made for the favorites too. In the end it's an art as much as a science.
I'd say your iffiest one is the puzzling Minnesota.
As for the Miami game, the Bears are schizophrenic and you never know what personality you're gonna get.
Seriously, it wasn't my goal to play just the dogs. I will probably play Arizona as well. It was just a result of my method how I make my leans. Then I went on, did my research and evaluated it. My angles seem to work for the dogs this week. Last week four of my six side plays have been on favorites.
Well, I would say every pick in the NFL is iffy, isn't it ? But I get your point. It will be interesting how the Vikings will work together as a team.
You are right about the Bears. But I like my chances, even if we get a good Bears team on Sunday. They can't do everything against the Dolphins defense.
your analysis is mostly sound but this one point doesn't sit well with me :
"Teddy Bridgewater will have a lot more time throwing the ball than he had against Detroit. "
Buffalo is 2nd in the league in sacks, right behind detroit. In fact, the bills have a top 10 defense. Bridgewater just threw 3 picks to the Lions...he's scared to death right now. Buffalo is going to make his life hell
I agree with suuma's line that the Bills will get less pressure on Bridgewater than the Lions did. Detroit tallied 12 sacks, 3 QB hits and 20 hurries on Teddy. Do you really think the Bills will be able to match that? They haven't come close to those numbers all year (not b/c they haven't had good pressure games but it was an abnormally monstrous game by the Lions as Ansah alone had 4 sacks and 4 hurries ). If they didn't do it against the Pats, a division rival, why would the Bills do it this week against a non-conf opponent in a sandwich spot before facing the Jets the following week? Against the Pats weak offensive line, the Bills only had 2 sacks, 4 hits and 5 hurries, the biggest reason Brady was able to have his best game of the season...his receivers didn't suddenly get better in one week. He was able to step comfortably into all his big throws. Brady's line: 27/37, 73%, 361 yds, 4 TD. In no other game this season had he thrown for over 66%, 300 yds or even 2 TDs. And this was with Pats center Dan Connolly only in on the first 1/3 of New England's snaps as he left the game with a head injury and didn't return.
your analysis is mostly sound but this one point doesn't sit well with me :
"Teddy Bridgewater will have a lot more time throwing the ball than he had against Detroit. "
Buffalo is 2nd in the league in sacks, right behind detroit. In fact, the bills have a top 10 defense. Bridgewater just threw 3 picks to the Lions...he's scared to death right now. Buffalo is going to make his life hell
I agree with suuma's line that the Bills will get less pressure on Bridgewater than the Lions did. Detroit tallied 12 sacks, 3 QB hits and 20 hurries on Teddy. Do you really think the Bills will be able to match that? They haven't come close to those numbers all year (not b/c they haven't had good pressure games but it was an abnormally monstrous game by the Lions as Ansah alone had 4 sacks and 4 hurries ). If they didn't do it against the Pats, a division rival, why would the Bills do it this week against a non-conf opponent in a sandwich spot before facing the Jets the following week? Against the Pats weak offensive line, the Bills only had 2 sacks, 4 hits and 5 hurries, the biggest reason Brady was able to have his best game of the season...his receivers didn't suddenly get better in one week. He was able to step comfortably into all his big throws. Brady's line: 27/37, 73%, 361 yds, 4 TD. In no other game this season had he thrown for over 66%, 300 yds or even 2 TDs. And this was with Pats center Dan Connolly only in on the first 1/3 of New England's snaps as he left the game with a head injury and didn't return.
Really good write up. Thanks for the information. Opposite on Minnesota and Atlanta but with you on the rest. I got Buffalo -4 and Baltimore -6.5 and think they both can win by a touchdown. BOL SUMMA.
Really good write up. Thanks for the information. Opposite on Minnesota and Atlanta but with you on the rest. I got Buffalo -4 and Baltimore -6.5 and think they both can win by a touchdown. BOL SUMMA.
I agree with suuma's line that the Bills will get less pressure on Bridgewater than the Lions did. Detroit tallied 12 sacks, 3 QB hits and 20 hurries on Teddy. Do you really think the Bills will be able to match that? They haven't come close to those numbers all year (not b/c they haven't had good pressure games but it was an abnormally monstrous game by the Lions as Ansah alone had 4 sacks and 4 hurries ). If they didn't do it against the Pats, a division rival, why would the Bills do it this week against a non-conf opponent in a sandwich spot before facing the Jets the following week? Against the Pats weak offensive line, the Bills only had 2 sacks, 4 hits and 5 hurries, the biggest reason Brady was able to have his best game of the season...his receivers didn't suddenly get better in one week. He was able to step comfortably into all his big throws. Brady's line: 27/37, 73%, 361 yds, 4 TD. In no other game this season had he thrown for over 66%, 300 yds or even 2 TDs. And this was with Pats center Dan Connolly only in on the first 1/3 of New England's snaps as he left the game with a head injury and didn't return.
Thanks for your analysis and the bunch of numbers. Your intention was exactly mine when I watched the Bills game on Sunday
I agree with suuma's line that the Bills will get less pressure on Bridgewater than the Lions did. Detroit tallied 12 sacks, 3 QB hits and 20 hurries on Teddy. Do you really think the Bills will be able to match that? They haven't come close to those numbers all year (not b/c they haven't had good pressure games but it was an abnormally monstrous game by the Lions as Ansah alone had 4 sacks and 4 hurries ). If they didn't do it against the Pats, a division rival, why would the Bills do it this week against a non-conf opponent in a sandwich spot before facing the Jets the following week? Against the Pats weak offensive line, the Bills only had 2 sacks, 4 hits and 5 hurries, the biggest reason Brady was able to have his best game of the season...his receivers didn't suddenly get better in one week. He was able to step comfortably into all his big throws. Brady's line: 27/37, 73%, 361 yds, 4 TD. In no other game this season had he thrown for over 66%, 300 yds or even 2 TDs. And this was with Pats center Dan Connolly only in on the first 1/3 of New England's snaps as he left the game with a head injury and didn't return.
Thanks for your analysis and the bunch of numbers. Your intention was exactly mine when I watched the Bills game on Sunday
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