For those of you looking for something longer to read, I have written up my thoughts on this game here: https://lippysleans.wordpress.com/2014/09/17/nfl-tnf-tamba-bay-atlanta-091814/
There is one part I will paste here because I think some people may find it interesting for considering tomorrow night's game.
Currently, Tampa Bay is 0-2 and Atlanta is 1-1. Going back as far as 2008, an 0-2 team has played a 1-1 divisional foe 6 times.
2008: MIA 38 @ NE 13 (NE -12.5 55.9% picked) JAX 23 @ IND 21 (IND -4 54.24% picked)
2009: JAX 31 @ HOU 24 (HOU -4 70.89% picked)
2010: BUF 30 @ NE 38 (NE -14 74.46% picked)
2011: ARZ 10 @ SEA 13 (ARZ -3 69.57% picked)
2012: JAX 22 @ IND 17 (IND -3 71.31% picked)
For these six games, the dog (which also had less public love) was 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS, winning by an average of almost 6 points and covering by an average of over 12 points. Going back as far as 2005 the dog in this situation is 5-3 SU and 6-2 ATS.
I'm on TB +7 tomorrow night and will begin tracking my record this week.
For those of you looking for something longer to read, I have written up my thoughts on this game here: https://lippysleans.wordpress.com/2014/09/17/nfl-tnf-tamba-bay-atlanta-091814/
There is one part I will paste here because I think some people may find it interesting for considering tomorrow night's game.
Currently, Tampa Bay is 0-2 and Atlanta is 1-1. Going back as far as 2008, an 0-2 team has played a 1-1 divisional foe 6 times.
2008: MIA 38 @ NE 13 (NE -12.5 55.9% picked) JAX 23 @ IND 21 (IND -4 54.24% picked)
2009: JAX 31 @ HOU 24 (HOU -4 70.89% picked)
2010: BUF 30 @ NE 38 (NE -14 74.46% picked)
2011: ARZ 10 @ SEA 13 (ARZ -3 69.57% picked)
2012: JAX 22 @ IND 17 (IND -3 71.31% picked)
For these six games, the dog (which also had less public love) was 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS, winning by an average of almost 6 points and covering by an average of over 12 points. Going back as far as 2005 the dog in this situation is 5-3 SU and 6-2 ATS.
I'm on TB +7 tomorrow night and will begin tracking my record this week.
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