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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Week 1
abizzo24 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 6/4/2013 11:04:11 PM
I've already placed a few bets, here they is... what do you guys think?  not enough people on here talking game yet... football can't come soon enough.

NO -2 over ATL
 - Peyton returns, superdome, place will be rockin

Det -2.5 over Minn (i think this is at -3 now...)
 - Det has had all off season to think about last year's shitty season, Christian Ponder on the road anyone?

Philly +5.5 at Wash
 - too many points to be giving with RG3 coming back from major injury, + Wash has no clue what Philly is going to bring to the table with Chip

Cincy +3.5 at Chicago
 - We know cincy is solid with Dalton, AJ Green and a very good defense, Chicago will be breaking in a new coach, new system, etc.   Might take some time...  I'll take my chances getting more than a FG with the bengels who can play D


 
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#2
Posted: 6/4/2013 11:14:36 PM
i'm not a big fan of laying big number but broncos might be a play as well.  we'll see, would love to get it at 7.   think line says it all.


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#3
Posted: 6/5/2013 5:12:24 PM
under in that bal vs den game.....Bal will play D and limit peyton manning"s possessions.
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Posted: 6/6/2013 2:14:25 AM
Bengals win outright
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Posted: 6/6/2013 12:18:48 PM
another game i'll be taking a hard look at is GB +5.5 at SF.  haven't bet it yet but it looks pretty juicy to me.   the beatdown that SF gave GB is fresh in our minds, i'm sure GB will have a little something for Kaep this time around.  also SF secondary can be exploited.
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Posted: 6/6/2013 12:43:19 PM
Adding GB +5.5

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#7
Posted: 6/6/2013 11:15:11 PM
I'm liking New Orleans
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ibetbig2
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Posted: 6/19/2013 5:25:06 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Bucks10:

Bengals win outright

That's what I'm saying.
Bengals are a tough team to knockout.
I smell ML POW.


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#9
Posted: 6/19/2013 8:39:09 PM
Im avoiding all except that Cinci play.  I like the analysis, might add.

Big fan of Indy over Oakland.  Raiders will be clueless and probably crapping for Clowney.  Blowout city.
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#10
Posted: 6/21/2013 6:55:00 PM
I like your Det pick.  I don't like the cinci pick, but take that with a grain of salt, as I am a bears fan.  Chi is at home and would take cutler/Marshall over dalton/green any day. Also like the bears run game with forte over cinci and bears secondary creating turnovers.

And uclalumnus pick of ind seems solid. Betting against raiders feels right. No reason to think this year will be much of an improvement for the flailing squad.

I personally like cle +1 at home vs Mia. Kevmode also on them and he is a solid capper IMO.
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Posted: 6/22/2013 7:51:31 AM
I also think the raiders will b a dumpster fire this year. I took the under 5.5 season wins. Indy should win, not a huge fan of laying 7 though.
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#12
Posted: 6/30/2013 3:55:31 PM
Two of your plays are Home Fav's of less than 3 points, historically those have been bad plays.  I wouldn't lay a cent on Detroit, bad coach and an undisciplined football team; always up there in most penalized teams in the league. 

Value is definitely with GB, improved running game and getting injured players back on defense which should help that side of the ball.  GB's offense went up and down the field on SF's defense in the playoff game; see it happening again.
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Posted: 7/1/2013 1:43:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Stevedore:

Two of your plays are Home Fav's of less than 3 points, historically those have been bad plays.  I wouldn't lay a cent on Detroit, bad coach and an undisciplined football team; always up there in most penalized teams in the league. 

Value is definitely with GB, improved running game and getting injured players back on defense which should help that side of the ball.  GB's offense went up and down the field on SF's defense in the playoff game; see it happening again.


detroit is now -3 and NO is now -2.5 and will be -3 or more by game time.   i'm not a huge fan of detroit long term but i think in the first game of the year, at home, after last year's debacle they win the game by 3 or more.  
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#14
Posted: 7/1/2013 7:29:36 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by abizzo24:

I've already placed a few bets, here they is... what do you guys think?  not enough people on here talking game yet... football can't come soon enough.

NO -2 over ATL
 - Peyton returns, superdome, place will be rockin

GAME OF THE WEEK.  This one will be -3.5, -4 by gametime. 


Det -2.5 over Minn (i think this is at -3 now...)
 - Det has had all off season to think about last year's shitty season, Christian Ponder on the road anyone?

  Detroit can't stop AP.  Ponder won't matter if AP tears through the Lay-Downs.


Philly +5.5 at Wash

 - too many points to be giving with RG3 coming back from major injury, + Wash has no clue what Philly is going to bring to the table with Chip

These games tends to be low-scoring and close.  I like it.  Worth a shot. 


Cincy +3.5 at Chicago
 - We know cincy is solid with Dalton, AJ Green and a very good defense, Chicago will be breaking in a new coach, new system, etc.   Might take some time...  I'll take my chances getting more than a FG with the bengels who can play D

The line is spot on here.  Will see how the two teams do through pre-season and work on their chemistry.
 
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#15
Posted: 7/1/2013 7:31:11 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by abizzo24:



detroit is now -3 and NO is now -2.5 and will be -3 or more by game time.   i'm not a huge fan of detroit long term but i think in the first game of the year, at home, after last year's debacle they win the game by 3 or more.  


Hahahaha!  I didn't see this when I first posted above.  Yep, this will rise above a FG for sure.  Game of the Week and NEW ORLEANS ROLLS HERE.  I'd hit it big. 
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Posted: 7/1/2013 8:23:15 PM
Yep, get it now at under a fg
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#17
Posted: 7/2/2013 9:53:13 PM
Like Cincy. $
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Posted: 7/21/2013 10:18:56 PM
All these lines have moved except gb.
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#19
Posted: 7/22/2013 7:41:40 PM
I wouldn't bet on the Lions since the Vikings drafted 3 first round picks. Vikings are powered up and should be stronger than they appear.
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#20
Posted: 7/22/2013 10:57:21 PM
Not sure those first rounders produce right out of the gate, and ur still dealing with ponder on the road. Detroit going to be playing with a lot to prove after last year. Also no more harvin in minn.
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Posted: 7/22/2013 11:02:16 PM
Det going to be hell bent on stopping peterson and making ponder beat them. Dont like their chaces stopping peterson mid season but i do like them in game 1 with a lot to prove. My concern with det is their o line but should be ok in game one before injuries have set in.
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#22
Posted: 7/23/2013 1:59:24 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by abizzo24:

Det going to be hell bent on stopping peterson and making ponder beat them. Dont like their chaces stopping peterson mid season but i do like them in game 1 with a lot to prove. My concern with det is their o line but should be ok in game one before injuries have set in.


So Peterson gets stopped week 1, but Det O-line is good?  Could just as easily argue Peterson will be good week 1, while Det O-line will not. 
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#23
Posted: 7/23/2013 9:47:40 PM
Two teams went 0-6 in their division last year.  Detroit was one of them.  No opinion on the play yet.  Just saying 
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#24
Posted: 7/23/2013 10:28:53 PM
I like the Lions Play too
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Posted: 7/25/2013 9:03:59 AM
Not saying peterson gets stopped but i do think a fresh defense hell bent on stopping him should be able to have some success. The gameplan will surely be to make ponder beat them.
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