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[NFL Betting] Topic: Super Bowl 47 : San Fran vs Baltimore |
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CoverLane |
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#101 Posted: 1/25/2013 9:41:35 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:
Lead by example. 
I figured you would be scared to agree.
I'll keep track of your record from here on out for you.
1 unit per play, I won't even subtract juice
GOOD LUCK 
You need it.
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TRAIN69 |
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#102 Posted: 1/25/2013 10:47:41 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by CoverLane:
I figured you would be scared to agree.
I'll keep track of your record from here on out for you.
1 unit per play, I won't even subtract juice
GOOD LUCK
You need it.
I agreed. You havent posted anything yet.
So you arent gonna post your plays before the games start?  |
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CoverLane |
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#103 Posted: 1/26/2013 12:07:33 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:
I agreed. You havent posted anything yet.
So you arent gonna post your plays before the games start?
You didn't agree to anything. Your a clueless pedophile TRAIN.
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dilaudid8 |
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#104 Posted: 1/26/2013 12:54:11 AM |
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LetsMakeMoney88 |
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#105 Posted: 1/26/2013 2:54:01 AM
On to the SB pick.... I am also feeling very strongly about the Ravens ML. Although I did not have a very strong NFL season in comparison to past years I am 5 for 5 in super bowl picks since I started gambling while in college so I am looking to keep that streak going. For this game I was able to set up some 5 team parlays for a total risk of 100 to win 4500 finishing on Ravens ML.
Here are some of the reasons I give a big edge to Baltimore.
1.
Advantage at QB goes to FLACCO hands down. He is playing out of this
world right now and in elite company. Only other QBS to throw for 8+ TDS
with no INTS in playoffs were Montana, Young, Aikman, Simms, &
Brees. Although Kaepernick is getting all the hype, Flacco is playing
out of this world. ******Flacco is also playing for a new
contract******* what better motivation is there than money? That's why
we are all on this forum to begin with. I believe the extra week to
prepare will only help Ravens vs his dual threat ability.
2. The
pass rush for the 49'ers has been AWFUL since Justin Smith injured his
triceps. I understand that he is still playing, but Aldon Smith has ZERO
0 sacks in the last 5 games since this injury. Overall, the 49'ers only
had a combined 2 sacks in their two playoff wins against predictable
pass heavy teams. They should struggle even more against a balanced
attack in Baltimore which further strengthens my Flacco belief.
3.
Although both coaches are amazing, I feel John has the advantage as the
older brother. I am the youngest of 3 brothers and I know that they
possess a psychological edge over me in competition. ( I understand most
might think this is stupid)
4. Ravens team has many more
veterans and realize this is a last HOORAH for them. 49'ers are young
and ignorant enough to think they will be there every year. I believe
this is another mental edge/ intangible that can't be overlooked.
5.
The Kicking game!!! Justin Tucker has been nothing short of amazing
this year while David Akers has been down right awful. His shanked kick
against Atlanta could have cost them big and I see him coming up short
on a big kick in the SB. (afterall, he was a lifetime Eagle and they are
cursed to never win the SB lol)
6. Finally, there was a very odd
trend that I picked up about the last 3 superbowl winners, most will
call it meaningless but I will not overlook it. The last 3 superbowl
winners (NO, GB, NYG) All played @ Philadelphia against the Eagles in
their Home opener of the season and also All Played and destroyed the
Giants in their Week 16 games. Exception is Giants who beat Jets but
they can't play themselves now can they? So If you haven't guessed by
now, the Ravens played the eagles in their home opener this year and
also beat the garbage out of the Giants in their week 16 matchup....
So
after that long explanation, please talk me off this pick people
because anytime I am way too over confident in a pick, it bites me in
the behind HUGE.
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BigUnit |
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#106 Posted: 1/26/2013 9:24:56 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:
Niners matchups perfectly? How so?
SF getting no respect? They are the favorite. They are supposed to win. 
Niners are favored but 55% of the public is on the Ravens and taking the points. |
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BigUnit |
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#107 Posted: 1/26/2013 9:38:34 AM |
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av8rg8r |
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#108 Posted: 1/26/2013 1:06:38 PM
1. Oft times, in games like this, intel can be of great importance. Note that both the O and D coordinators for Niners were on the Ravens staff as recent as 2009. They know the personnel and base packages and tendencies on both sides of the ball.
2. Teams that have kept Niner running game in check have used 4/3 base defense; even woeful Falcon run D did a good job of bottling up Kap and the edge (though Gore did his job and then some). Ravens run a hybrid 3/4; you have to have fast OLB to contain in the same fashion as the 4/3, and that may be a problem for the Ravens.
3. Of the last 7 Ravens games, only 2 teams have had a pass D in the top 20 NFL teams, and the Ravens lost one of those games (to include playoff games). Though raw, Kap is a very poised, mature QB completing 65+% of attempts. Granted, Raven secondary is savvy, so this will be a good test for both.
Certainly there are points that favor Baltimore (experience, special teams, kicking game), but as noted above there are a few points to consider that may give you pause if you're a Ravens backer.
BOL |
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chargerfan10 |
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#109 Posted: 1/26/2013 1:09:34 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by av8rg8r: Just some food for thought:
1. Oft times, in games like this, intel can be of great importance. Note that both the O and D coordinators for Niners were on the Ravens staff as recent as 2009. They know the personnel and base packages and tendencies on both sides of the ball.
2. Teams that have kept Niner running game in check have used 4/3 base defense; even woeful Falcon run D did a good job of bottling up Kap and the edge (though Gore did his job and then some). Ravens run a hybrid 3/4; you have to have fast OLB to contain in the same fashion as the 4/3, and that may be a problem for the Ravens.
3. Of the last 7 Ravens games, only 2 teams have had a pass D in the top 20 NFL teams, and the Ravens lost one of those games (to include playoff games). Though raw, Kap is a very poised, mature QB completing 65+% of attempts. Granted, Raven secondary is savvy, so this will be a good test for both.
Certainly there are points that favor Baltimore (experience, special teams, kicking game), but as noted above there are a few points to consider that may give you pause if you're a Ravens backer.
BOL
insightful
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TRAIN69 |
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#110 Posted: 1/26/2013 1:16:05 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by BigUnit:
Niners are favored but 55% of the public is on the Ravens and taking the points.
People who dont know what they are doing are the only ones worried about what everyone else is betting.
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TRAIN69 |
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#111 Posted: 1/26/2013 1:18:56 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by CoverLane:
You didn't agree to anything. Your a clueless pedophile TRAIN.
I guess since I f uck you up on this site verbally like I would a toddler that makes me a keyboard pedophile.
Can you keep a secret......
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manstar10 |
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#112 Posted: 1/26/2013 1:27:21 PM |
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UHQB |
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#113 Posted: 1/26/2013 2:00:43 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by gurtzniner4life:
My first time on here commenting....wats up people...Im a HUGE niners fan but one of the most middle of the road guys. Ever since the AFC championship and big bad NE and TB went down, seems like the Ravens are now unstoppable. Niners are getting no respect!!! Shouldve scored close to 90 points in two games....ATL and GB are no slouches!!! Its because PM and TB went down big bad Balty has all the intangables...the Niners match up perfectly to Balty which is bad news for Balty...no more finess football...and like someone commented before...all about the OL/DL battle which will be key..we have the best OL in football...its all about preparation and decision making....conservative john against cocky jim...38 24 niners....sorry
Typical Dumb 49er Homer posting under an assume alias name with No location of origin. Guessing from Northern Calif and probably a Stanford flunky. lol
Ravens will win this SB through the air with Flacco and his team of receivers. I will bet every prop bet OVER that involves a Raven receiver and Flacco putting up big numbers. Between Anquan Boldin and Torrey Smith, they should have a field day beating that 49er secondary. |
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Bodogjoe |
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#114 Posted: 1/26/2013 2:12:55 PM |
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NONEED4LUCK |
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#115 Posted: 1/26/2013 2:21:39 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by SportsM62:
Nobody seems to be addressing Kaeps running threat. If his receivers are covered and he breaks loose with a few good runs, the passing game will open up. This seems to be the niners MO. I am on the niners BIG.
If Atlanta can keep him to two rushes at around 21 yards, then I will take my chances with a better Baltimore Defense. |
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NONEED4LUCK |
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#116 Posted: 1/26/2013 2:25:36 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by BigUnit:
Dont get me wrong. Here in Vegas we appreciate all of the bets going on the Ravens.
Another typical Vegas Wannabe. Vegas is a town made up of gambling losers. None of my friends that live there gamble much, because they don't want to lose there money, and none of them think they are friggin Jimmy The Greek. So I sent out $550, won $500 and am not going to pay for my Vegas trip over Memorial Day Weekend with this Super Bowl. And I will thank South Point and my boy for placing my bets. |
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NONEED4LUCK |
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#117 Posted: 1/26/2013 2:26:37 PM |
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lovelymoney |
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#118 Posted: 1/26/2013 3:50:58 PM |
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LetsMakeMoney88 |
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#119 Posted: 1/26/2013 4:15:58 PM
Guess we'll just have to wait and see until next sunday who's right, but if I was Torrey Smith Id be saying "GET YOUR POPCORN READY"
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LetsMakeMoney88 |
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#120 Posted: 1/26/2013 4:17:56 PM
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dugie243 |
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#121 Posted: 1/26/2013 5:20:31 PM
love your plays so far. how about a couple props to fade the SF kicking game:
balt makes longest fg -135 sf total made fgs u3 +120 |
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dugie243 |
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#122 Posted: 1/26/2013 5:23:53 PM |
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gurtzniner4life |
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#123 Posted: 1/26/2013 5:52:01 PM |
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gurtzniner4life |
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#124 Posted: 1/26/2013 5:59:35 PM |
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av8rg8r |
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#125 Posted: 1/26/2013 7:23:25 PM
Can you say "Charlie Strong"? It may be college, but the principle's the same. Having coordinators that know the inner workings of a program (that essentially hasn't changed since their departure) is invaluable. Not saying it'll make the difference, but it certainly is an advantage |
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