Reasons Why San Fran is dead money.

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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Reasons Why San Fran is dead money.
bluecob4lt PM bluecob4lt
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Posted: 1/25/2013 1:56:59 AM
Line opened at 5 and got pounded to 3.5 kiddo.
Gavinnick PM Gavinnick
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Posted: 1/25/2013 3:00:28 AM
^^^^ not on my book 



Started at -3.5 , -4, & then -5.  Then it went back to -3.5 where it is now 

This was at the minute the Baltimore Ravens beat New England patriots 

Line opened and moved up  pretty quick
chargerfan10 PM chargerfan10
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Posted: 1/25/2013 2:48:26 PM
i understand that wild card teams are 15-0 ats in superbowls last couple of decades.  I understand underdogs do well in the Super Bowl.  I appreciate your research and solid trends that apply to the big game as opposed to other superfluous information.

I like riding the Wild Card teams in the Super Bowl.  It's abig reason why I won with Indy, NYG, Arizona, GB and the Gmen again in 2011-2012. 

Howevea (as Stephen A would say), this is the first time where the public, every Tom, person and Harry, hairy person etc is on Balty.  Look at the public consensus on covers, sportsbookspy and vegasinsider.

This is probably the hardest game to cap IMHO. 

BTW, gavinnick are you originator?  Smells fishy
Gavinnick PM Gavinnick
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Posted: 1/25/2013 3:08:05 PM
^^^^originator???? 


Of what the NFL lines ? 


lol 

I got my read on the game and stating my points 


If you like 49ers give me your best points for takeing them


I for one will not be fooled by kap 
Gavinnick PM Gavinnick
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Posted: 1/25/2013 3:12:15 PM
RaveNs 

3-1 versus the 49ers since 1996


1 loss was in 96
Gavinnick PM Gavinnick
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Posted: 1/25/2013 3:13:19 PM
San Fran 8-9 in road playoff games / numeral site 

However, 5-0 in superbowls ( they r do to lose Hahahahahah)
FleshGordun PM FleshGordun
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Posted: 1/25/2013 3:44:28 PM

I was in line to cash my tickets at SamsTown Las Vegas....no later than 10 minutes after the second game when the SB line appeared on the board SF - 5.5... is that close enough to the OPEN?

Really???  i immediately put all i won plus on the Ravens...I believe vegas wants even money on this game they want Balt money cause as the line drops they will be flooded with public $ on the trendy Niners

roofdog03 PM roofdog03
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Posted: 1/25/2013 3:51:56 PM
hi!!It's cold outside!!
Gavinnick PM Gavinnick
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Posted: 1/25/2013 6:14:03 PM
^^^ Flesh Gordan this is what I saw on my book not saying u r lying , but my book went in favor of the niners on the onset 

Baltimore bettors bet it back down to -3.5 where it is now 


I saw it at -4 and then -4.5 on my book 

I never seen it hit -5 or -5.5 




Raidernator76 PM Raidernator76
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Posted: 1/25/2013 6:25:46 PM
i have SF winning the SB. But will definitely hedging becuse of Ackers. Thanks for reminding me about him
Gavinnick PM Gavinnick
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Posted: 1/26/2013 9:27:52 AM
Raidernator 


I think Akers has a good chance of losing the game for te niners by 3 points 

Niners will get rid of him next yr and win the SB 


vetdrm PM vetdrm
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Posted: 1/26/2013 10:55:13 AM
Just cause I feel for you guys.

This worked well for me with 49ers-Falcons [last week] and I think it will work again next week.
1]San Fran ml
2]Ravens + whatever.

I got it at -4 and I think when its all said and done, pretty sure thats where it ends up in Vegas.

Now quit your yappIn.
lovelymoney PM lovelymoney
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Posted: 1/26/2013 11:57:35 AM
Ravens 
DaBestEver24 PM DaBestEver24
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Posted: 1/29/2013 2:06:34 AM
I love the stupidity of u ravens backers!
kamphil PM kamphil
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Posted: 1/29/2013 7:43:36 AM
Giants in 2011 were NFC East Champions(#4 seed), when they beat the Patriots last yr. they were not a wildcard.   Arizona when they went to the SB were NFC West Champions(#4 seed), they were not wildcards.   Baltimore this yr. won the AFC North(#4 seed), they are not a wildcard.   Only #5 and #6 seeds in playoffs are wildcards.   If you are referring to teams that play in the wildcard rd(who have an extra edge by playing that extra game) please state it that way.
mike214 PM mike214
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Posted: 1/29/2013 10:46:13 AM
FG game either way.... 

Gavinnick PM Gavinnick
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Posted: 1/29/2013 11:34:07 AM
I Came acrooss an article about NFL betting 

is says something like this.

"Beware of the Bandwagon effect in the NFL, when one player goes off during the season this often creates a bandwagon type effect"  

See Timmy T-Bow last yr ........Ran all over the Jets, then got smashed in the playoffs by the Patriots.

Similar to Kapernick


*Those holes agaisnt GB were misleading ,,,,,My 12 yr old would of ran through those holes

*Rams shut him down in a dome

*Atlanta pretty much shut Kap down besides leaving the receivers wide open in the 2nd half

Baltimore will win this game by 3 or 4 points 

*Akers will miss 1 to 2 feild goals to seal the deal for the Ravens 

just look t Akers this yr 



Gavinnick PM Gavinnick
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Posted: 1/29/2013 11:37:34 AM
^^^^ I have yet to hear solid arguments about why San Fran will win this game....

it usually comes down to them saying "Kap is better then Flacco"


"San Fran Defense is better the Baltimores"


yet none of those argument really stick......Flacco has been a drop back QB all playoffs 

Kap has been shut down, and ran like a wild man on GB,   (And I dont buy those runs on GB lol ...GB Defense was sleeping, and they sucked baddddddd!!!!

mrquija27 PM mrquija27
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Posted: 1/29/2013 12:22:05 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by DaBestEver24:

I love the stupidity of u ravens backers!

Its not all of them, but this dude is definiton of a clown.  Has no idea what he is talking about.  Spitting useless information non stop and if Ravens cover dude gonna think he figured something out when he just got lucky. 

mrquija27 PM mrquija27
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Posted: 1/29/2013 12:27:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Gavinnick:

I Came acrooss an article about NFL betting 

is says something like this.

"Beware of the Bandwagon effect in the NFL, when one player goes off during the season this often creates a bandwagon type effect"  

See Timmy T-Bow last yr ........Ran all over the Jets, then got smashed in the playoffs by the Patriots.

Similar to Kapernick


*Those holes agaisnt GB were misleading ,,,,,My 12 yr old would of ran through those holes

*Rams shut him down in a dome

*Atlanta pretty much shut Kap down besides leaving the receivers wide open in the 2nd half

Baltimore will win this game by 3 or 4 points 

*Akers will miss 1 to 2 feild goals to seal the deal for the Ravens 

just look t Akers this yr 



Wow what a joke!!!

Bandwagon is Ravens you dumba$$!!!  Lmao your so blind its funny.

 

Your then comparing Tebow to Kap.  LMAO!!!  Kap can run better, is faster and is very accurate passer.  DUH!!!! Wow your ignorance is shining bright now.

 

Rams Thats all you Ravens backers can bring up.  Just shows you dont understand the NFL.

Akers?  You think Captain Jim dont already know.  This is what would make me nervous about being a Ravens backer.  They aint friggin around they going for it, no field goals for San Fran.  But that would require just a little thought process which you lack it appears.

gridironguy PM gridironguy
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Posted: 1/30/2013 11:09:08 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Gavinnick:

Dude underdogs r killing it in the Super Bowl 


Please do your research in superbowls 


You looking at reg season is so dumb dumb
I can't even tell u 


This is the MF Super Bowl !!!' dizzy dizzy people look outside the. Reg season 




underdogs of 7 or higher do well in the Super Bowl, traditionally,

smaller underdogs do not do as well:

Feb 2012:  NYG covers +3 vs Pats
Feb 2011:  GB -1.5 over Pitt (GB wins and COVERS)
Feb 2010:  Saints Cover +5 vs Indy
Feb 2009:  Ariz covers +7 vs Pitt
Feb 2008:  NYG covers +11 vs Pats
Feb 2007:  Indy -6 over Chicago  (INDY wins and COVERS)

so favorites have won and covered 2 of the last 4 when the spread is under 7.

the moral of the story is, THE LOWER THE SPREAD the better the chance it is a coinflip on who covers,

better yet, in this case, the MORE PHYSICAL TEAM, the niners, will most likely cover
gridironguy PM gridironguy
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Posted: 1/30/2013 11:53:34 AM
yeah, just like the OP mr gavinnick (dead money himself) said those of us who bet Balt v Denver did the dumbest thing in our lives:

http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=41&sub=101529769

dude you suck

gridironguy PM gridironguy
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Posted: 1/30/2013 11:55:30 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by chargerfan10:

i understand that wild card teams are 15-0 ats in superbowls last couple of decades.  I understand underdogs do well in the Super Bowl.  I appreciate your research and solid trends that apply to the big game as opposed to other superfluous information.

I like riding the Wild Card teams in the Super Bowl.  It's abig reason why I won with Indy, NYG, Arizona, GB and the Gmen again in 2011-2012. 

Howevea (as Stephen A would say), this is the first time where the public, every Tom, person and Harry, hairy person etc is on Balty.  Look at the public consensus on covers, sportsbookspy and vegasinsider.

This is probably the hardest game to cap IMHO. 

BTW, gavinnick are you originator?  Smells fishy

1000% INCORRECT

pittsburgh in the 2005 season (06 january playoffs) was the wildcard team and they won and covered in the SB

ny giants in the 2007 season were also wildcard and they won and covered the super bowl

ny giants in 2012 might have also done it as a wildcard
gridironguy PM gridironguy
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Posted: 1/30/2013 12:21:50 PM
yeah, just like the OP mr gavinnick (dead money himself) said those of us who bet Balt v Denver did the dumbest thing in our lives:

http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=41&sub=101529769

dude you suck

dimndimn PM dimndimn
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Posted: 1/30/2013 12:45:37 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Gavinnick:

Not much time..... and typing on an iPhone so excuse the spelling .

#1 favorites are a whopping 12-4 in the last 16 games 

#2 the Q lines are begging for 49ers money -140, -110, -150, ---135.   LoL 49ers on sale on the biggest betting stage of the NFL !!!!!!!!

#3 Ray Lewis retiring edge

#4 books make Balti underdog underdog 12-4 in superbowls , underdogs like to cover 

More to come 


#1  How does the previous 16 games reflect the Super Bowl?  There will be more money wagered on the Super Bowl than probably half of those 16 games combined.  Be realistic in your thought process.

#2  Those lines actually opened up at plus money, not heavy juice.  So they set the lines "begging for Baltimore money" in your theory.

#3 he fact that you're using this as your third strongest angle as to why to bet the Ravens already shows how fairly clueless you are.  I would have given the edge to the Ravens because Torrey Smith's brother abruptly died earlier in the season.  That's kind of a big deal.

#4  Underdogs are definitely the trend, because it's usually the team that wants it more that wins.  Baltimore has been to the playoffs for 5 consecutive years.  SF got burned badly in the NFC championship last year.  I would have to say SF wants this slightly more, but it is still the Super Bowl.  16 years ago this was a VERY different league, a bit hard to apply those trends to current situations.


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