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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: SF/ATL bigger stronger mobile QB
Doodlebop send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Doodlebop
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#1
Posted: 1/19/2013 5:37:09 PM
SF has the bigger, stronger team with a mobile QB who can throw the ball.   They probably have superior stats to Atlanta.  So What.  What wins football games is execution of there game plan.  SF - 4 means most likely they are gonna win by 6 or 7. 
Atlanta has a great team.  Well balanced.  Old school.  They got the running game.  The tight end, the two big play receivers and drop back QB. 
They play a zone defense which Greenbay didnt last week and had there backs turned to Kapernick.  This was how he ran so well.  Atlanta will have eyes on Kapernick playing there zone.
Bottom line.  Traveling cross country after having a very successful game last week makes me question how sharp they are gonna be.  come on if Atlanta wins last weeks game 34-10 they would be the favorite this week.  But they let up last week and Seattle coulda shoulda won.  So SF is the favorite.  Atlanta will not lose intesity this week and neither will SF.  But at home in this game at +4 is a gift.
Atlanta stays in the game and it probably comes down to a FG.
24-21 Atlanta
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buffniner
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#2
Posted: 1/19/2013 5:42:48 PM
1st-they have no run game (29th) 
2nd- against running qbs 26rushes 269yds and 2tds [cam. and r.wilson]  
3rd-they give up 1.1yds per att. more then they gain [2nd worst]
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Doodlebop send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#3
Posted: 1/19/2013 5:49:52 PM
Stats are for squares.  They beat RG3 They beat Cam Newton when the game was important.  They didnt come to "play" the last meeting against Carolina.  13-3 regular season is all the matters if you want to look at STATS.  If you handicap games according to looking at stats then your bookie meat.  Try looking at human tendencies.  Emotional factors, fatigue factors. travel factors, coaches, depth and match-ups.

Kapernick can have 150 rushing yards tomorrow but the TEAM can still lose and Atlanta will still have poor stats against rushing QBs and squares will use that next year in handicapping there games. 
Trying to help..
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DaBestEver24
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#4
Posted: 1/19/2013 6:13:03 PM
Squares will bet the number one team at home. 
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BigNiner send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#5
Posted: 1/19/2013 6:25:12 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Doodlebop:

Stats are for squares.  They beat RG3 They beat Cam Newton when the game was important.  They didnt come to "play" the last meeting against Carolina.  13-3 regular season is all the matters if you want to look at STATS.  If you handicap games according to looking at stats then your bookie meat.  Try looking at human tendencies.  Emotional factors, fatigue factors. travel factors, coaches, depth and match-ups.

Kapernick can have 150 rushing yards tomorrow but the TEAM can still lose and Atlanta will still have poor stats against rushing QBs and squares will use that next year in handicapping there games. 
Trying to help..

Yeah, that other Carolina game was meaningless in Week 14.

That MUST be why they lost

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shacorie send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#6
Posted: 1/19/2013 6:39:51 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by DaBestEver24:

Squares will bet the number one team at home. 

I AGREE

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Doodlebop send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#7
Posted: 1/20/2013 7:22:38 AM
SF Is the favorite in this game because the public just remembers Atl losing a 20pt. lead at home and SF blowing out Greenbay.  I'm sure most of America will feel pretty sick when Atlanta is up 14-0 and your asking yourself how did I not take a home dog.


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bpickin
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#8
Posted: 1/20/2013 7:39:28 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Doodlebop:

Stats are for squares.  They beat RG3 They beat Cam Newton when the game was important.  They didnt come to "play" the last meeting against Carolina.  13-3 regular season is all the matters if you want to look at STATS.  If you handicap games according to looking at stats then your bookie meat.  Try looking at human tendencies.  Emotional factors, fatigue factors. travel factors, coaches, depth and match-ups.

Kapernick can have 150 rushing yards tomorrow but the TEAM can still lose and Atlanta will still have poor stats against rushing QBs and squares will use that next year in handicapping there games. 
Trying to help.. 





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MTFN50
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#9
Posted: 1/20/2013 7:41:22 AM

 Bookies love this . Dont you find it strange that Atl would be a underdog here at home?If this line was based on play instead of public perception than it would have been ATL -1 or 2 in this game But the line tells the story,They know they would be getting many SF backers with this line,Parlays with 2nd game teasers making the line SF+2or +6 .This is the money game for the big boys .Next game will be more split betting with again a line not based on play but perception. They knew people be betting down the ravens now @8 (i took them imediatley a t9.5.) prob go down to 7,and then the NE backers pound the line back up to9at kickoff only to lose outright or beat the Ravens by 3 at best. 

As for ATL   Yes they have had a tough time with some running Qbs but ,they alsowon against the best of them Wilson last week ,Yes he got his yards ,but he didnt  beat them ,he didnt score 2tds the way KAP did against a Packer team that limped into playoffs ,then got lucky to even get to playSF at home. ATLs DEF bends but dont break ..Dont look at Sea scorinf 20 unanswered look at Seatlle starting 2nd half with a great drive ,scoring 7,then what happens against the best Def that was in the playoffs this year? ATL marches down the field and gets beack the 7. Then after the perfect storm and some dumb behind plays  they find them selves down by1 ,what does ATL do  march down the field in 30 sec and win the game.They stay home ,they havent had to travel now in 3 weeks ,they are motivated confident and will  be in the Super Bowl after a 31-24 win against SF

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