Green Bay Has No Chance this Weekend ***

Forum: NFL Betting Page 3 of 9 «  1 2 3 4 5   »
Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Green Bay Has No Chance this Weekend ***
GMoney247 PM GMoney247
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 270
 
GMoney247
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 1/8/2013 1:24:40 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by StoneColdNinja:

GB's o-line  has been shakey lately. Rodgers could be running around a lot, but with his receivers  all healthy now he should be able to score 3+ tds. I'm liking the over. 

Cobb didn't look like himself against Minny, and Jordy Nelson got shaken up again... I wouldn't consider them completely healthy

Bodogjoe PM Bodogjoe
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 926
 
Bodogjoe
Participation Meter
Rookie
Posted: 1/8/2013 1:32:14 PM
G BAY  the play  here they got all there best players back on defence.....you go with  S FRAN....you lose dude.
smallbet07 PM smallbet07
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 11958
 
smallbet07
Participation Meter
All-Star
Posted: 1/8/2013 1:37:56 PM
BOL bud
amd PM amd
Joined: Jan 2008
Posts: 32300
 
amd
Participation Meter
Legend
Posted: 1/8/2013 1:37:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GMoney247:

Cobb didn't look like himself against Minny, and Jordy Nelson got shaken up again... I wouldn't consider them completely healthy

Thats a pretty subjective statement to make to define the health of the Packers. How many receivers do the Packers need to be considered 'healthy?" James, Jennings, Finley and Cobb are enough for me. darn it...throw Crabtree in there and you have a full house.

SwishSwish1234 PM SwishSwish1234
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 2776
 
SwishSwish1234
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 1/8/2013 1:41:47 PM
The line opened up at SF -3.5 +105 on pinnacle within 30 minutes down to -3 -115, Now sits at -3 +106, The sharps seem real confident in SF.  

I know Green Bay has 61 % on covers consensus and you have this wannabe contrarian mentality where anything that looks square you won't touch but i've got news for you, Sometimes the square bet wins, Plus it can't be too square when you have everyone on this forum agreeing with you regards to SF.

Betting on a rookie QB making his first play off start against a side that is in the play offs year in year out, Really smart and not at all risky.  
macjizzle PM macjizzle
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 19
 
macjizzle
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 1/8/2013 1:46:43 PM
green bay wins for sure.
GMoney247 PM GMoney247
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 270
 
GMoney247
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 1/8/2013 1:57:32 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by amd:

Thats a pretty subjective statement to make to define the health of the Packers. How many receivers do the Packers need to be considered 'healthy?" James, Jennings, Finley and Cobb are enough for me. darn it...throw Crabtree in there and you have a full house.

Cobb had 1 catch for 4 yards... I dont think thats subjective at all... Finley and Crabtree are actually TE's so if I said pass catchers then yeah you could bring them up... if nelson isn't healthy and cobb is slowed by ankle then you got jennings and james jones, so thats not healthy

GMoney247 PM GMoney247
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 270
 
GMoney247
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 1/8/2013 2:00:47 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SwishSwish1234:

The line opened up at SF -3.5 +105 on pinnacle within 30 minutes down to -3 -115, Now sits at -3 +106, The sharps seem real confident in SF.  

I know Green Bay has 61 % on covers consensus and you have this wannabe contrarian mentality where anything that looks square you won't touch but i've got news for you, Sometimes the square bet wins, Plus it can't be too square when you have everyone on this forum agreeing with you regards to SF.

Betting on a rookie QB making his first play off start against a side that is in the play offs year in year out, Really smart and not at all risky.  

Packers have been in playoffs 4 years in a row with 2 of them going one and done, so lets not make it like the pack is some juggernaut... Russell Wilson made his first playoff start on the road and looked pretty good so i guess the Seattle backers were not very smart huh? Home start in the playoffs much easier than road start, plust the best defense in football makes it that much easier on Kaep

LETGOPACK1234 PM LETGOPACK1234
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 10896
 
LETGOPACK1234
Participation Meter
All-Star
Posted: 1/8/2013 2:07:41 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GMoney247:

Packers have been in playoffs 4 years in a row with 2 of them going one and done, so lets not make it like the pack is some juggernaut... Russell Wilson made his first playoff start on the road and looked pretty good so i guess the Seattle backers were not very smart huh? Home start in the playoffs much easier than road start, plust the best defense in football makes it that much easier on Kaep

"Packers have been in playoffs 4 years in a row with 2 of them going one and done, so lets not make it like the pack is some juggernaut.."

Can you name other teams that have been 4 years in a row during this time???

Without looking it up, Im guessing just NE....maybe Atl....its not that easy to do

mrquija27 PM mrquija27
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 3069
 
mrquija27
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 1/8/2013 2:09:14 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

Books already showing their hand. GB +3 is dead money.

SF to the NFC Championship, bank on it

Just a question but why do you create these threads and not elaborate on the matter?  I respect your angles and have used your threads as good starting points this year.  I feel you ignore talent a little too much, but I dont see a talent angle in this matchup so am anxious to hear your angles on this one.

amd PM amd
Joined: Jan 2008
Posts: 32300
 
amd
Participation Meter
Legend
Posted: 1/8/2013 2:27:49 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GMoney247:

Cobb had 1 catch for 4 yards... I dont think thats subjective at all... Finley and Crabtree are actually TE's so if I said pass catchers then yeah you could bring them up... if nelson isn't healthy and cobb is slowed by ankle then you got jennings and james jones, so thats not healthy

I see your point and maybe your right about the Packers not being healthy but I'm not putting much stock into evaluating the health of their team based on catches/gm. Most statistics are dictated by schemes and matchups. Vernon Davis, for example, is the best catching TE in the league as well as the best overall TE in the league but how many catches does he have over the last 3 weeks? .....and, Davis is "healthy".

Regarding your statement about SF being the best defensive team in the league....are you saying that because it's trendy to say or do you really stand by that statement? They've given up more than 20 points in 6 games this season while being in the bottom half of the league in turnovers with only 26. As well, they've played the Rams and Cardinals over a 4 week period so defensive rankings can certainly become a bit skewed. I'm more interested in takeaways and 3rd down conversion%

_keyser_soze_ PM _keyser_soze_
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 1114
 
_keyser_soze_
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 1/8/2013 2:28:30 PM
Absurd post.  To say that the Packers, who have one of the best offenses in football - have NO chance this weekend.  If that were the case, the line would be -7 and not -3 (which, if you followed football, you would know equates to the home field advantage that Vegas applies in betting situation - which means Vegas believes these teams are even on a neutral field.

Clearly, you know nothing about capping.

And while I hate to say it - CK looked ordinary the last few weeks.  Rodgers is anything but ordinary.

Good luck betting your mortgage (since this is a can't lose game for you - you have to bet it all) on CK.
packerfan1102 PM packerfan1102
Joined: Jan 2010
Posts: 32
 
packerfan1102
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 1/8/2013 2:39:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LETGOPACK1234:


 

 

 

Right....all these tough guys with a keyboard...so pathetic

You all come in my threads, or post in threads I comment in with insults and act so tough....youre pathetic.

If you dont agree with me move on, I dont agree with you...I dont try to insult you and insult your team.

You little trolls are a joke. 

Maybe the Giants would have beat Gb in the playoffs, we wont know this year.  Unlike GB, after winning a championship they failed to even qualify for the playoffs.

My team is still in it and thats good enough for me.

If they lose, they lose.  Still impressive with back-to-back final four NFC games after winning a championship.

 

Amusing, guy creates a thread saying GB has NO chance because the line says it all.

Its -3 at home.  I disagree, and I am the homer tool.....got it

You tough guy and your big words with key strokes and intelligence are pathetic


You guys sound like a buch of high school girls!!! You dont have to win a debate to win your bet. The winner will be decided on the field and your book will pay you. Only thing I can say is bet with caution SF beat GB week 1 with Smith not a rookie and it wasnt a playoff game. Rodgers will find a way to win. You might see Alex if it gets ugly.
LETGOPACK1234 PM LETGOPACK1234
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 10896
 
LETGOPACK1234
Participation Meter
All-Star
Posted: 1/8/2013 2:43:43 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by amd:

I see your point and maybe your right about the Packers not being healthy but I'm not putting much stock into evaluating the health of their team based on catches/gm. Most statistics are dictated by schemes and matchups. Vernon Davis, for example, is the best catching TE in the league as well as the best overall TE in the league but how many catches does he have over the last 3 weeks? .....and, Davis is "healthy".

Regarding your statement about SF being the best defensive team in the league....are you saying that because it's trendy to say or do you really stand by that statement? They've given up more than 20 points in 6 games this season while being in the bottom half of the league in turnovers with only 26. As well, they've played the Rams and Cardinals over a 4 week period so defensive rankings can certainly become a bit skewed. I'm more interested in takeaways and 3rd down conversion%

 

Exactly....stats can be very DECEIVING

Yes, SF has a very good, great defense...fast, strong physical....

But...

If you look that their schedule, they played for few above average qbs...

Of their 16 games, 5 were against teams in the top 15 in scoring this year

I mean 8, 50% of their games were against:

Zona and St Louis twice who cant score, Sanchez, Miami and Buff with bad offenses and a Bears backup....

Thats 8 games against very poor offenses.....

When HALF your games are against bad offenses, you should have good defensive numbers

bpbeelen PM bpbeelen
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 253
 
bpbeelen
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 1/8/2013 2:45:15 PM
remember when "record amounts" were coming in on Green Bay vs. Chicago, and Chicago was "the play".
LETGOPACK1234 PM LETGOPACK1234
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 10896
 
LETGOPACK1234
Participation Meter
All-Star
Posted: 1/8/2013 2:47:11 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by packerfan1102:


You guys sound like a buch of high school girls!!! You dont have to win a debate to win your bet. The winner will be decided on the field and your book will pay you. Only thing I can say is bet with caution SF beat GB week 1 with Smith not a rookie and it wasnt a playoff game. Rodgers will find a way to win. You might see Alex if it gets ugly.

 

I agree, but these same trolls keep at me in threads.  Its pathetic.  All because they disagree with me or are Giant fans???  Come on.

Then, they all say they get mad because I use ""

Really???  You are bothered by emoticons???  What are you 4???

They claim I am annoying and bla bla bla, yet they continue to start garbage everytime....seems like they are the ones with the issues

packerfan1102 PM packerfan1102
Joined: Jan 2010
Posts: 32
 
packerfan1102
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 1/8/2013 3:05:19 PM
Packers lost in the run game week one and turn over ratio -1, but beat SF in passing YDS. After stopping the #1 RB in NFL last week that gives me confidence they can do it again against Gore (average RB). Packers avenge themselves this week and Kaepernick needs a diaper change. Harbaugh makes a big mistake playing a rookie QB in the playoffs. Packers by 10+
GL
shooter15 PM shooter15
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 339
 
shooter15
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 1/8/2013 3:31:04 PM
Arent the Pack basically back at full strength I dont think there are any key injuries.

If thats the case Ill take Packers as they know what it takes to win and ill never put my money on a rookie QB.

This game is about if Rodgers and pack make turnovers because if they dont I see this game getting away from SF in the third Q

Also there has to be one outright dog this week so Green Bay it is 
TheForbes777 PM TheForbes777
Joined: Dec 2012
Posts: 1820
 
TheForbes777
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 1/8/2013 3:45:50 PM
They have a chance...I just wouldnt bet on it.
StoneColdNinja PM StoneColdNinja
Joined: Oct 2012
Posts: 2867
 
StoneColdNinja
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 1/8/2013 4:17:24 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GMoney247:

Cobb had 1 catch for 4 yards... I dont think thats subjective at all... Finley and Crabtree are actually TE's so if I said pass catchers then yeah you could bring them up... if nelson isn't healthy and cobb is slowed by ankle then you got jennings and james jones, so thats not healthy


If I remember correctly, Rodgers passed the ball to 10 different receivers (including tight ends) last week. Cobb is probably his 4th best receiver, he only started to have good games when other receivers were getting injured. Now that the other receivers are healthy again, he falls down in the pecking order. I might be the only but, I consider TEs as receivers also. 
ROVIN56 PM ROVIN56
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 4494
 
ROVIN56
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 1/8/2013 6:08:32 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by KobezKing:

To say they have no chance with aaron rodgers at qb is just plain stupid. The teams that have no cjance are ravens an texans.

make that just the texans 

dmw764 PM dmw764
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 9
 
dmw764
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 1/8/2013 6:37:04 PM
Packers win outright in a shootout......no need for the 3 points
tankstevens PM tankstevens
Joined: Nov 2003
Posts: 3013
 
tankstevens
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 1/8/2013 7:25:59 PM
saying they have no chance is just silliness, and I have the Niners to win the NFC in a futures bet. 
sully1 PM sully1
Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 269
 
sully1
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 1/8/2013 7:35:46 PM
"Green Bay has no chance this weekend." Uh-huh, sure dude!! And the Buffalo Bills had "no chance down 32 points 20 years ago in the 3rd quarter of a wild card game, right? That statement sums up perhaps one of the dumbest posts I've ever read. Ironically, I am with you that the Niners will win by pounding it, playing stellar D, and taking advantage of the home crowd. But your post is arrogant and foolish because the Pack has the ability offensively to pull away from ANYONE in the league. Add to it that Clay Matthews and Woodson are difference makers and it only takes a turn over or two to change the entire complexion of a game. Good luck. 
forkball PM forkball
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 562
 
forkball
Participation Meter
Rookie
Posted: 1/8/2013 9:15:01 PM

NINERS HAVE THE MATCHUP EDGE ON BOTH SIDES OF THE BALL.  NINERS CAN AND WILL RUN ON THE PACK CHEWING UP THE CLOCK.  WATCH HOW KAP IS USED IN HIGH PERCENTAGE PASS PLAYS AND READ OPTION, THE GUY CAN FLY.

WHEN GB HAS THE BALL, SFS RUN D WILL FORCE THE PACK TO PASS.  BEING PREDICTABLE IN THE NFL IS NOT GOOD ESPECIALLY WHEN YOU ARE GOING AGAINST ARGUABLY THE BEST DEFENSE IN FOOTBALL.

RODGERS WILL HAVE TO SCRAMBLE AND PLAY OUT OF HIS MIND IN ORDER TO WIN AT THE STICK. . . NINERS -3

Forum: NFL Betting Page 3 of 9 «  1 2 3 4 5   »
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.