Messages

Forum Index : NFL Betting : Messages Page 3 of 9 «  1 2 3 4 5   »
Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Green Bay Has No Chance this Weekend ***
GMoney247 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
GMoney247
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 270
Location: United States
#51
Posted: 1/8/2013 1:24:40 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by StoneColdNinja:

GB's o-line  has been shakey lately. Rodgers could be running around a lot, but with his receivers  all healthy now he should be able to score 3+ tds. I'm liking the over. 

Cobb didn't look like himself against Minny, and Jordy Nelson got shaken up again... I wouldn't consider them completely healthy

quote
Bodogjoe
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Bodogjoe
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 926
Location:
#52
Posted: 1/8/2013 1:32:14 PM
G BAY  the play  here they got all there best players back on defence.....you go with  S FRAN....you lose dude.
quote
smallbet07 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Sportsbook.ag |
smallbet07
Participation Meter
All-Star
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 10702
Location: California
#53
Posted: 1/8/2013 1:37:56 PM
BOL bud
quote
amd send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
amd
Participation Meter
Hall of Fame
Joined: Jan 2008
Posts: 29424
Location: California
#54
Posted: 1/8/2013 1:37:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GMoney247:

Cobb didn't look like himself against Minny, and Jordy Nelson got shaken up again... I wouldn't consider them completely healthy

Thats a pretty subjective statement to make to define the health of the Packers. How many receivers do the Packers need to be considered 'healthy?" James, Jennings, Finley and Cobb are enough for me. darn it...throw Crabtree in there and you have a full house.

quote
SwishSwish1234 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
SwishSwish1234
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 2000
Location: United Kingdom
#55
Posted: 1/8/2013 1:41:47 PM
The line opened up at SF -3.5 +105 on pinnacle within 30 minutes down to -3 -115, Now sits at -3 +106, The sharps seem real confident in SF.  

I know Green Bay has 61 % on covers consensus and you have this wannabe contrarian mentality where anything that looks square you won't touch but i've got news for you, Sometimes the square bet wins, Plus it can't be too square when you have everyone on this forum agreeing with you regards to SF.

Betting on a rookie QB making his first play off start against a side that is in the play offs year in year out, Really smart and not at all risky.  
quote
macjizzle send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
macjizzle
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 19
Location:
#56
Posted: 1/8/2013 1:46:43 PM
green bay wins for sure.
quote
GMoney247 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
GMoney247
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 270
Location: United States
#57
Posted: 1/8/2013 1:57:32 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by amd:

Thats a pretty subjective statement to make to define the health of the Packers. How many receivers do the Packers need to be considered 'healthy?" James, Jennings, Finley and Cobb are enough for me. darn it...throw Crabtree in there and you have a full house.

Cobb had 1 catch for 4 yards... I dont think thats subjective at all... Finley and Crabtree are actually TE's so if I said pass catchers then yeah you could bring them up... if nelson isn't healthy and cobb is slowed by ankle then you got jennings and james jones, so thats not healthy

quote
GMoney247 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
GMoney247
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 270
Location: United States
#58
Posted: 1/8/2013 2:00:47 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SwishSwish1234:

The line opened up at SF -3.5 +105 on pinnacle within 30 minutes down to -3 -115, Now sits at -3 +106, The sharps seem real confident in SF.  

I know Green Bay has 61 % on covers consensus and you have this wannabe contrarian mentality where anything that looks square you won't touch but i've got news for you, Sometimes the square bet wins, Plus it can't be too square when you have everyone on this forum agreeing with you regards to SF.

Betting on a rookie QB making his first play off start against a side that is in the play offs year in year out, Really smart and not at all risky.  

Packers have been in playoffs 4 years in a row with 2 of them going one and done, so lets not make it like the pack is some juggernaut... Russell Wilson made his first playoff start on the road and looked pretty good so i guess the Seattle backers were not very smart huh? Home start in the playoffs much easier than road start, plust the best defense in football makes it that much easier on Kaep

quote
LETGOPACK1234 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: GTbets.eu |
LETGOPACK1234
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 9466
Location: Illinois
#59
Posted: 1/8/2013 2:07:41 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GMoney247:

Packers have been in playoffs 4 years in a row with 2 of them going one and done, so lets not make it like the pack is some juggernaut... Russell Wilson made his first playoff start on the road and looked pretty good so i guess the Seattle backers were not very smart huh? Home start in the playoffs much easier than road start, plust the best defense in football makes it that much easier on Kaep

"Packers have been in playoffs 4 years in a row with 2 of them going one and done, so lets not make it like the pack is some juggernaut.."

Can you name other teams that have been 4 years in a row during this time???

Without looking it up, Im guessing just NE....maybe Atl....its not that easy to do

quote
mrquija27 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: betED.com |
mrquija27
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 2580
Location: Michigan
#60
Posted: 1/8/2013 2:09:14 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

Books already showing their hand. GB +3 is dead money.

SF to the NFC Championship, bank on it

Just a question but why do you create these threads and not elaborate on the matter?  I respect your angles and have used your threads as good starting points this year.  I feel you ignore talent a little too much, but I dont see a talent angle in this matchup so am anxious to hear your angles on this one.

quote
amd send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
amd
Participation Meter
Hall of Fame
Joined: Jan 2008
Posts: 29424
Location: California
#61
Posted: 1/8/2013 2:27:49 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GMoney247:

Cobb had 1 catch for 4 yards... I dont think thats subjective at all... Finley and Crabtree are actually TE's so if I said pass catchers then yeah you could bring them up... if nelson isn't healthy and cobb is slowed by ankle then you got jennings and james jones, so thats not healthy

I see your point and maybe your right about the Packers not being healthy but I'm not putting much stock into evaluating the health of their team based on catches/gm. Most statistics are dictated by schemes and matchups. Vernon Davis, for example, is the best catching TE in the league as well as the best overall TE in the league but how many catches does he have over the last 3 weeks? .....and, Davis is "healthy".

Regarding your statement about SF being the best defensive team in the league....are you saying that because it's trendy to say or do you really stand by that statement? They've given up more than 20 points in 6 games this season while being in the bottom half of the league in turnovers with only 26. As well, they've played the Rams and Cardinals over a 4 week period so defensive rankings can certainly become a bit skewed. I'm more interested in takeaways and 3rd down conversion%

quote
_keyser_soze_ send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
_keyser_soze_
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 1099
Location: Canada
#62
Posted: 1/8/2013 2:28:30 PM
Absurd post.  To say that the Packers, who have one of the best offenses in football - have NO chance this weekend.  If that were the case, the line would be -7 and not -3 (which, if you followed football, you would know equates to the home field advantage that Vegas applies in betting situation - which means Vegas believes these teams are even on a neutral field.

Clearly, you know nothing about capping.

And while I hate to say it - CK looked ordinary the last few weeks.  Rodgers is anything but ordinary.

Good luck betting your mortgage (since this is a can't lose game for you - you have to bet it all) on CK.
quote
packerfan1102 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
packerfan1102
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Jan 2010
Posts: 23
Location:
#63
Posted: 1/8/2013 2:39:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LETGOPACK1234:


 

 

 

Right....all these tough guys with a keyboard...so pathetic

You all come in my threads, or post in threads I comment in with insults and act so tough....youre pathetic.

If you dont agree with me move on, I dont agree with you...I dont try to insult you and insult your team.

You little trolls are a joke. 

Maybe the Giants would have beat Gb in the playoffs, we wont know this year.  Unlike GB, after winning a championship they failed to even qualify for the playoffs.

My team is still in it and thats good enough for me.

If they lose, they lose.  Still impressive with back-to-back final four NFC games after winning a championship.

 

Amusing, guy creates a thread saying GB has NO chance because the line says it all.

Its -3 at home.  I disagree, and I am the homer tool.....got it

You tough guy and your big words with key strokes and intelligence are pathetic


You guys sound like a buch of high school girls!!! You dont have to win a debate to win your bet. The winner will be decided on the field and your book will pay you. Only thing I can say is bet with caution SF beat GB week 1 with Smith not a rookie and it wasnt a playoff game. Rodgers will find a way to win. You might see Alex if it gets ugly.
quote
LETGOPACK1234 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: GTbets.eu |
LETGOPACK1234
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 9466
Location: Illinois
#64
Posted: 1/8/2013 2:43:43 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by amd:

I see your point and maybe your right about the Packers not being healthy but I'm not putting much stock into evaluating the health of their team based on catches/gm. Most statistics are dictated by schemes and matchups. Vernon Davis, for example, is the best catching TE in the league as well as the best overall TE in the league but how many catches does he have over the last 3 weeks? .....and, Davis is "healthy".

Regarding your statement about SF being the best defensive team in the league....are you saying that because it's trendy to say or do you really stand by that statement? They've given up more than 20 points in 6 games this season while being in the bottom half of the league in turnovers with only 26. As well, they've played the Rams and Cardinals over a 4 week period so defensive rankings can certainly become a bit skewed. I'm more interested in takeaways and 3rd down conversion%

 

Exactly....stats can be very DECEIVING

Yes, SF has a very good, great defense...fast, strong physical....

But...

If you look that their schedule, they played for few above average qbs...

Of their 16 games, 5 were against teams in the top 15 in scoring this year

I mean 8, 50% of their games were against:

Zona and St Louis twice who cant score, Sanchez, Miami and Buff with bad offenses and a Bears backup....

Thats 8 games against very poor offenses.....

When HALF your games are against bad offenses, you should have good defensive numbers

quote
bpbeelen
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
bpbeelen
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 239
Location:
#65
Posted: 1/8/2013 2:45:15 PM
remember when "record amounts" were coming in on Green Bay vs. Chicago, and Chicago was "the play".
quote
LETGOPACK1234 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: GTbets.eu |
LETGOPACK1234
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 9466
Location: Illinois
#66
Posted: 1/8/2013 2:47:11 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by packerfan1102:


You guys sound like a buch of high school girls!!! You dont have to win a debate to win your bet. The winner will be decided on the field and your book will pay you. Only thing I can say is bet with caution SF beat GB week 1 with Smith not a rookie and it wasnt a playoff game. Rodgers will find a way to win. You might see Alex if it gets ugly.

 

I agree, but these same trolls keep at me in threads.  Its pathetic.  All because they disagree with me or are Giant fans???  Come on.

Then, they all say they get mad because I use ""

Really???  You are bothered by emoticons???  What are you 4???

They claim I am annoying and bla bla bla, yet they continue to start garbage everytime....seems like they are the ones with the issues

quote
packerfan1102 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
packerfan1102
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Jan 2010
Posts: 23
Location:
#67
Posted: 1/8/2013 3:05:19 PM
Packers lost in the run game week one and turn over ratio -1, but beat SF in passing YDS. After stopping the #1 RB in NFL last week that gives me confidence they can do it again against Gore (average RB). Packers avenge themselves this week and Kaepernick needs a diaper change. Harbaugh makes a big mistake playing a rookie QB in the playoffs. Packers by 10+
GL
quote
shooter15 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Sports Interaction |
shooter15
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 290
Location: Canada
#68
Posted: 1/8/2013 3:31:04 PM
Arent the Pack basically back at full strength I dont think there are any key injuries.

If thats the case Ill take Packers as they know what it takes to win and ill never put my money on a rookie QB.

This game is about if Rodgers and pack make turnovers because if they dont I see this game getting away from SF in the third Q

Also there has to be one outright dog this week so Green Bay it is 
quote
TheForbes777 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Wynn Las Vegas |
TheForbes777
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Dec 2012
Posts: 1222
Location: Missouri
#69
Posted: 1/8/2013 3:45:50 PM
They have a chance...I just wouldnt bet on it.
quote
StoneColdNinja
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
StoneColdNinja
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2012
Posts: 2858
Location:
#70
Posted: 1/8/2013 4:17:24 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GMoney247:

Cobb had 1 catch for 4 yards... I dont think thats subjective at all... Finley and Crabtree are actually TE's so if I said pass catchers then yeah you could bring them up... if nelson isn't healthy and cobb is slowed by ankle then you got jennings and james jones, so thats not healthy


If I remember correctly, Rodgers passed the ball to 10 different receivers (including tight ends) last week. Cobb is probably his 4th best receiver, he only started to have good games when other receivers were getting injured. Now that the other receivers are healthy again, he falls down in the pecking order. I might be the only but, I consider TEs as receivers also. 
quote
ROVIN56 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
ROVIN56
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 2932
Location: Florida
#71
Posted: 1/8/2013 6:08:32 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by KobezKing:

To say they have no chance with aaron rodgers at qb is just plain stupid. The teams that have no cjance are ravens an texans.

make that just the texans 

quote
dmw764 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
dmw764
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 9
Location:
#72
Posted: 1/8/2013 6:37:04 PM
Packers win outright in a shootout......no need for the 3 points
quote
tankstevens send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
tankstevens
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2003
Posts: 3011
Location: Christmas
              Islands
#73
Posted: 1/8/2013 7:25:59 PM
saying they have no chance is just silliness, and I have the Niners to win the NFC in a futures bet. 
quote
sully1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
sully1
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 249
Location: California
#74
Posted: 1/8/2013 7:35:46 PM
"Green Bay has no chance this weekend." Uh-huh, sure dude!! And the Buffalo Bills had "no chance down 32 points 20 years ago in the 3rd quarter of a wild card game, right? That statement sums up perhaps one of the dumbest posts I've ever read. Ironically, I am with you that the Niners will win by pounding it, playing stellar D, and taking advantage of the home crowd. But your post is arrogant and foolish because the Pack has the ability offensively to pull away from ANYONE in the league. Add to it that Clay Matthews and Woodson are difference makers and it only takes a turn over or two to change the entire complexion of a game. Good luck. 
quote
forkball
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
forkball
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 557
Location: Cayman Islands
#75
Posted: 1/8/2013 9:15:01 PM

NINERS HAVE THE MATCHUP EDGE ON BOTH SIDES OF THE BALL.  NINERS CAN AND WILL RUN ON THE PACK CHEWING UP THE CLOCK.  WATCH HOW KAP IS USED IN HIGH PERCENTAGE PASS PLAYS AND READ OPTION, THE GUY CAN FLY.

WHEN GB HAS THE BALL, SFS RUN D WILL FORCE THE PACK TO PASS.  BEING PREDICTABLE IN THE NFL IS NOT GOOD ESPECIALLY WHEN YOU ARE GOING AGAINST ARGUABLY THE BEST DEFENSE IN FOOTBALL.

RODGERS WILL HAVE TO SCRAMBLE AND PLAY OUT OF HIS MIND IN ORDER TO WIN AT THE STICK. . . NINERS -3

quote
Forum Index : NFL Betting : Messages Page 3 of 9 «  1 2 3 4 5   »
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.