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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: for all newbies, stop before you end up like me
Down200k send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Down200k
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#76
Posted: 1/29/2013 4:20:18 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by gridironguy:

let me rephrase that what makes the 49 out of 56 so unbelievable is you said college hoops.  hoops at the nba or college level is so dificult to beat something like 49/56 times because all it takes is one of your key shooters to go cold and youre dead, or the other teams hottest shooter go crazy and you lose, if youre on the under a hot shooter on each team kills you, if youre on the over then cold shooters,

way way way too unpredictable to win 49 out of 56, sorry brother, just not believable,  did you make that up or do you really believe that??

If I could show you a copy of my 5dimes account history from February to March of 2011 I would. It was absolutely crazy. Got sent 5 blank checks from my bookie. Ended up losing it all back before I could cash one. Absolutely sickening. The start of the decline after the 49/56 was the Ohio State/Kansas final 4 game. Had the over for the game for 2k. Over for the 2h for 2k.  William Buford missed a 3 late that would have sent it to overtime and I would have won both. He missed and I lost. 

Went on a crazy spiral the next day. Think I bet the over in the Bulls/Thunder game. The over in the Celtics/Heat game. Over in Stanford's game (forget who they were playing, but this one was a winner). This was all on a drive home from Tahoe. My buddy was like, "dude, you watch way too much sports on your phone." He had no idea I had all the action I had. Phone died by the time we got home but I already knew I was down about 10k or more for the day. Crazy thing is that earlier in the week (or maybe the week before) I had over on a Heat game and it went over on the last basket of the game and I remember telling myself I was done forever. Got sucked in to the final four and lost it all in a month or two. NBA playoffs and hockey did me in. 

But to answer your original question, I did hit 49 out of 56. Mostly full game overs and second half overs. And mostly college hoops. Also, a system that really was working for me was betting 2h bets when the full game favorite was losing at half time and the 2h line didn't even have them winning the game. Those were something like 95% winners at one point for me. Got away from any kind of strategic betting and just got annihilated. 

One night that was pretty bad was st. louis blues vs sj sharks game 1 I think it was. Sharks one in overtime. Had st louis. I believe it was the only game the sharks won that series. Anyway, that night I had okc moneyline to beat the clippers. 10,000 to win like 1900. Chris paul hit a basket at the buzzer to win. Clipps were down 13 at one point in OKC. Felt like killing myself that night.

Wanna know how crazy it all is... every single one of those stories was written from straight memory. I didn't have to look up a single date or game. They are etched into my memory like you wouldn't imagine.  Ahhhhh, man.
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Down200k send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Down200k
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#77
Posted: 1/29/2013 4:44:11 AM
By the way, I really appreciate everyone's thoughts and comments. I'd say most of you (if not all) showed some genuine support. Not trying to be cheesy, but it actually helps to read this stuff. Can't talk about any of this with my girlfriend, family or friends, so I guess a bunch of strangers on here is all I have. So thanks. 
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Skipbone
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#78
Posted: 1/29/2013 7:31:19 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Down200k:

I mean, if you're doing $20 a game like some guys on here, I guess it's fine. My cousin actually is always texting me pictures of winning bets ... $40, $50 dollars.. hahaha. If he only knew I had $5000 on the same game and lost. 

It's really just a pathetic life. I mean, why was I watching Kent State vs Arkansas State? Why was I praying for South Carolina to score a TD instead of kicking a fg to win it by 2? Why was I pounding my head on my bed when Les Miles through it on three straight plays? Tono Romo's pic with 2 mins left.... it goes on and on. I honestly think I've bet every single nationally broadcasted game in the past 2 years. Hockey, football, basketball, baseball, even soccer.

Do you know how many hours of life that is? Watching gamecast on my iphone praying for the Bobcats to score so that the game vs the Pistons could go to overtime? 

The hardest part is figuring out how to fill all the xtra time in your day once you stop gambling. Not sure what to do
more money than brains, i guess.
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NONEED4LUCK send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#79
Posted: 1/29/2013 8:26:13 AM
I knew my life was fucked up when I was chasing with WCC basketball games at midnight. Like wtf are you betting $300 on this garbage in the middle of the night? You are right, it helped split my wife and I up, of course she was an annoying box, but that's a whole different thread. In only gamble in Las Vegas, or like for the Big Game, send money out to my friend to bet for me. This whole Internet gambling everyday will suck your life dry as well as all if your money. Get out while you still can.
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NONEED4LUCK send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
NONEED4LUCK
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#80
Posted: 1/29/2013 8:31:56 AM
Find a real hobby, I like motorcycles. Find something worthwhile to invest your time and money. I don't even watch sports nearly as much because watching everyday games are just not exciting anymore.
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tonypb send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 1/29/2013 9:09:25 AM

dude, losing 200k aint as bad as you think it is. wake up and stop urself before you lose all the other important things in ur life like ur families and love ones....gamblin is an addiction....it's never enough....win or lose....

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#82
Posted: 1/29/2013 9:17:46 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by tonypb:

dude, losing 200k aint as bad as you think it is. wake up and stop urself before you lose all the other important things in ur life like ur families and love ones....gamblin CAN BE an addiction....FOR SOME PEOPLE it's never enough....win or lose....

Fixed it for you.

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#83
Posted: 1/29/2013 9:28:28 AM

you're probably a wiser man then me vanzack.....but i still think gamblin is addiction.... 

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BKFinancial send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 1/29/2013 10:58:20 AM

I have read many good principles to adhere with discussing gambling and money management.

In whatever business you engage, you can learn valuable lessons from your defeats and utilize the information to identify the factors, whether external or internal, which lead to the loss.

The first question to address is "What is your purpose/mission?  In sports wagering, is it the "thrill/rush" or to earn revenue?  If to earn money, what is your financial objective? If it's for the thrill, that's is what you'll get, a roller-coaster ride that will end, few actually leaving successful.

My financial objective is to make 48% on my money every football season.  When I hit my objective, I'm finished for the year.  (Discipline, Discipline, Discipline) On the average, 60% winning selections are needed. 

I wager 1-3% per selection and pick 4-9 games each week.  A selection is not made without viewing tape/film on a team. Which means the season doesn't start until Week 2 of the NFL Season.  A SWOT analysis is conducted in attempt to possibly increase the reward and minimize the risk in comparsion to the posted line.  (Northwestern was an example in most weeks, they matched up favorably each week and usually were dawgs) It's more challenging in the beginning of the season, but this holds true for the odds makers as well.

But the main question to is address is "Do you record and analysis your selections each year?"  You would be surprised what trends you'd identify.  How many times did you bet on "your team"?  Or a team you dislike?  Disgard those selections and your winning percentage usually increases.  Also, like in sales, some months are historically better than others.  Record your results to have a track to run on.  Too many people think they can "shoot from the hip" to achieve success.  Rarely happens.

Just wanted to share a few thoughts.

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