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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: NFL Playoffs Week 2
Area51 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#51
Posted: 1/10/2013 7:26:50 AM
Speaking of Kreb Cycles, you hear the one where a Kreb Cycle walked into a bar, crack my behind up.  

Good Luck AMD.  

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#52
Posted: 1/10/2013 12:39:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mushroomspore:

AMD love your knowledge and insight.  It almost seems like youre implying Green Bay has a better chance at running the ball effectively than the Niners this week, who happen to have the best run game in the league?  Or am I mistaken?  I think with the week off, you'll see Gore breaking some nice 10+ yard gains...plus gameplanning will be tougher having to account for Kap...I like that the Niners will have had 2 weeks to prepare for the Green Bay offense, which they shut down in week 1 (yes I know that was a LONG time ago).  And although not the 85 Bears, their D is still top 3 and a lot better than GB imo.  Cant fault anyone for taking the FG with GB tho.  Should be an epic game!


I think one of the smartest things Green Bay has done was to bring back Ryan Grant. The thing I like most about Grant is his experience and the ability to pick up blitz packages. Some fellas want to compare Green Bay's rushing attack to SF's but that's like comparing apples to oranges. SF has a power running game that is their bread and butter which sets up the pass. Green Bay passes to set up the run so I'm not as concerned with Grant having to rush for over a 100 yds to win this game. I just want his carries to be productive. And, if he stays in to protect Rodgers, great....he has done that very well over the years. As we already know, SF is a very aggressive pass rushing team and I'm suggesting that Grant is the type of guy who can offset their rush because he has good hands out of the backfield and he's proven to be effective on screens to the outside. Fellas want to knock Green Bays offensive line because they've given up 50 sacks this season but Green Bay has still averaged 4 yds per carry this season with a patchwork line. Not to mention, the personnel isnt even the same now as it was for the first half of the season. In fact, Green Bay has only given up 14 sacks over the last 6 weeks and replacing Saturday with Dietrich-Smith has been a huge improvement. No one seems to realize that SF has offensive line issues of their own as they've given up 41 sacks of their own this season. As for Green Bay's defense, I don't think they're getting enough respect by gamblers heading into this weekend. They are a very fast defense with athletic linebackers which is proven by their 4th ranked sack production this season with 47. So obviously, the Pack has the proven ability to get after the QB as well and we're already aware that SF's line is prone to giving up sacks. Only 8 teams in the league gave up more sacks this season than SF.

As for SF's two week preparation...I'm not sure if that will help them or hurt them. You know as well as I do that teams are capable of coming out flat with extended time off. If SF comes out flat.....it's over early. We're in week 18 and not week 3 so I'm not sure if there's anymore that these two teams can do to prepare for each other. At this point, it's all about lining up and executing.

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#53
Posted: 1/10/2013 12:46:21 PM

Have both the same plays

Actually, on all 4 dogs this weekend

Agree with your posts, but I cant say the same things cause Im just a homer

Like the great SF defense that played 11 of 16 games against the 16th or worse offenses in the NFL

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#54
Posted: 1/10/2013 2:36:13 PM
hurt the man doc  
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#55
Posted: 1/10/2013 4:55:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by amd:

DaShouta....Im not looking for Grants productivity to come in the form of total rushing yds. Handicapping obviously comes in its simplest form for you but unfortunately, these games take on a few more variables than an individuals rushing statistics. Jesus. Handle your money wisely sir.

Lol at you amd, when the packers get tossed out of candlestick with less than 100 yards in team rushing maybe then you will be forced to understand what I was saying...until then best of luck with your wagers
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#56
Posted: 1/10/2013 5:10:24 PM
GL amd, couldn't agree with you more about Clemons having a huge impact on Sea/Atl game. I'm on GB with you but making Atl ml -135 my biggest play if the year
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#57
Posted: 1/10/2013 9:00:20 PM
Atlanta -2.5
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#58
Posted: 1/10/2013 9:01:47 PM
GL amd 

Stay Hot mah Man!
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#59
Posted: 1/10/2013 11:49:35 PM
Great run my friend!  GL this weekend, hope it's a profitable one for us all! 
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#60
Posted: 1/11/2013 1:03:03 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by amd:

I think one of the smartest things Green Bay has done was to bring back Ryan Grant. The thing I like most about Grant is his experience and the ability to pick up blitz packages. Some fellas want to compare Green Bay's rushing attack to SF's but that's like comparing apples to oranges. SF has a power running game that is their bread and butter which sets up the pass. Green Bay passes to set up the run so I'm not as concerned with Grant having to rush for over a 100 yds to win this game. I just want his carries to be productive. And, if he stays in to protect Rodgers, great....he has done that very well over the years. As we already know, SF is a very aggressive pass rushing team and I'm suggesting that Grant is the type of guy who can offset their rush because he has good hands out of the backfield and he's proven to be effective on screens to the outside. Fellas want to knock Green Bays offensive line because they've given up 50 sacks this season but Green Bay has still averaged 4 yds per carry this season with a patchwork line. Not to mention, the personnel isnt even the same now as it was for the first half of the season. In fact, Green Bay has only given up 14 sacks over the last 6 weeks and replacing Saturday with Dietrich-Smith has been a huge improvement. No one seems to realize that SF has offensive line issues of their own as they've given up 41 sacks of their own this season. As for Green Bay's defense, I don't think they're getting enough respect by gamblers heading into this weekend. They are a very fast defense with athletic linebackers which is proven by their 4th ranked sack production this season with 47. So obviously, the Pack has the proven ability to get after the QB as well and we're already aware that SF's line is prone to giving up sacks. Only 8 teams in the league gave up more sacks this season than SF.

As for SF's two week preparation...I'm not sure if that will help them or hurt them. You know as well as I do that teams are capable of coming out flat with extended time off. If SF comes out flat.....it's over early. We're in week 18 and not week 3 so I'm not sure if there's anymore that these two teams can do to prepare for each other. At this point, it's all about lining up and executing.


excellent points.  i have to say i dont think theres any way in hell san francisco comes out flat.  they were close last year, they're hungrier this year...a whole season has built up to this point...the stick will be insanity!  i was at last years saints game, we both know that sht is bananas
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#61
Posted: 1/11/2013 1:14:37 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mushroomspore:


excellent points.  i have to say i dont think theres any way in hell san francisco comes out flat.  they were close last year, they're hungrier this year...a whole season has built up to this point...the stick will be insanity!  i was at last years saints game, we both know that sht is bananas

I don't think they'll be flat, either....Looking forward to this game more than any other this season

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#62
Posted: 1/11/2013 3:01:57 AM
Looking at SEA/ATL a little closer and am a bit worried about Falcon rushing. Appears Micheal Turner has his best seasons behind him.
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#63
Posted: 1/11/2013 3:10:23 AM
Go ahead and take Balty
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#64
Posted: 1/11/2013 12:15:10 PM
TEASE ALL THE OVERS,,,
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#65
Posted: 1/11/2013 12:39:41 PM
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#66
Posted: 1/11/2013 1:12:51 PM
AMD, I didn't know you were in the bay area. I'm right up the 101 in Burlingame.

I love your take on GB/SF. I couldn't agree more that Kapernick is not ready for a game of this magnitude. I've watched every game this year and he's clearly still in learning mode. And to me, this is the biggest reason GB wins this game. The 49ers have had a rather soft schedule which has allowed the team to overcome the several mistakes Kapernick makes each game. They're not gonna have that luxury against a playoff proven, veteran GB team. Like you mentioned, GB puts up points week in and week out. Kepernick will have to play a near perfect game to keep up and I just don't think he's ready to do that. This game will come down to a key turnover and 3rd down conversions and my money says Kapernick is more likely to be the victim of that key turnover and/or to fail on those crucial 3rd downs.

I won't be at the game this weekend, but I'll be in Vegas betting large on it and I can't wait for this one!

Thanks for all the insight and BOL!


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#67
Posted: 1/11/2013 9:36:35 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Kaufee:

AMD, I didn't know you were in the bay area. I'm right up the 101 in Burlingame.

I love your take on GB/SF. I couldn't agree more that Kapernick is not ready for a game of this magnitude. I've watched every game this year and he's clearly still in learning mode. And to me, this is the biggest reason GB wins this game. The 49ers have had a rather soft schedule which has allowed the team to overcome the several mistakes Kapernick makes each game. They're not gonna have that luxury against a playoff proven, veteran GB team. Like you mentioned, GB puts up points week in and week out. Kepernick will have to play a near perfect game to keep up and I just don't think he's ready to do that. This game will come down to a key turnover and 3rd down conversions and my money says Kapernick is more likely to be the victim of that key turnover and/or to fail on those crucial 3rd downs.

I won't be at the game this weekend, but I'll be in Vegas betting large on it and I can't wait for this one!

Thanks for all the insight and BOL!



nice, i used to be in the city and then in pacifica.  i personally dont think this is "too big of a game" for kap.  We've heard this all season.  He made his first NFL start on MNF with the whole world watching, against at the time a 7-1 Bears team with the best defense in the league.  Then again in the Superdome in a revenge game against the Saints.  Then again in Foxboro against Tom Brady and the Pats who have not lost in December since the AFL merger.  And everyone said these games are too big for him, and we all saw how those turned out.  

If he does poorly, it will most likely be because of Caper's looks and his inability to handle to blitz, as he has been mediocre vs heavy blitzing.  I do worry about the untimely turnover, but I think he'll be fine. 
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#68
Posted: 1/11/2013 9:39:28 PM
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#69
Posted: 1/11/2013 9:56:39 PM
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#70
Posted: 1/12/2013 6:44:05 AM

Green Bay +3

Houston +9.5

Atlanta -2.5

Denver -9.5

 

 

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#71
Posted: 1/12/2013 8:07:46 AM

Much respect for you over the years and you excel in $pigskin forsure...Just feel like the Niners game is not that easy.  Kaepernick is  not under that much pressure as he's in his  6th or so game starting and next year they'll demand more-and he got better by the week. He played FLAWLESS vs a decent AZ defense in a near must win-or they lose the Division, bye, etc. Rodgers and the Pack wanted to win in Minny and they weren't your 2010 Pack in that game...

Kaepernick's ability to make plays is very dangerous and Crabtree and him have a rapport building. They look like Sea in November to me but I hate Akers.

I would not bet the farm either way...GL-love the other 3 plays...especially Houston-NE weak as a DD fav especially in the playoffs-

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#72
Posted: 1/12/2013 8:17:56 AM
Love Green Bay play AMD.  Didn't New Orleans hang 30 + on this San Fran defense last year? Think Rodgers does the same.  BOL.
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#73
Posted: 1/12/2013 8:29:04 AM
Flew in from Seattle for this game....made a business trip out of it and staying i'm south San Francisco......big green bay fan.. ..love the pick and write UPS
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#74
Posted: 1/12/2013 9:16:46 AM
Thanks for the insight to the SF/GB game.  

Good Luck on your plays and have fun at the game.

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#75
Posted: 1/12/2013 9:23:23 AM
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