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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: +++Wild Card Weekend Plays w/ Analysis+++
six5juice send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 12/31/2012 1:46:39 AM
Aloha fellas!

I was able to finish the regular season at 50-21-1...

Lets cut to the chase!


(1) Texans -4 1/2 over Cincy
- Texans are 9-5-1 64.29% ATS
- Home field advantage.
- Texans are 7th in Total Yards, while Cincy is 22th.
- Texans are 7th in Scoring, while the Cincy is 12th.
- Cincy had a difficult time winning against the Ravens...more so since Joe Flacco wasn't even playing.
- Texans did lose convincingly to the Colts, but I feel the Texans are the better team in this match-up. Don't fool yourself, the Colts are a great team.

(2) Texans-Cincy game total Under 43.5
- Texans is 7th in defense (total yards), while Cincy is 6th.
- Texans is 10th in defense (pts allowed), while Cincy is 8th.

(3) Vikings +8 over Packers (small unit play)
- Very tough to cap this game. I'm trying to not allow my emotions to get in the way of this game. With the Vikings winning against the Packers, I feel that the Packers' coaching staff will have their team more prepared.
- The Packers are statistically better than the Vikes...One big edge the Vikes has is their run game. The Packers are 16th in rushing defense.

- Packers are playing at home.
- Will the line go up? Will public money pound the Packers?


(4) Seahawks -2 1/2 over Redskins
- Reskins are home, but they sure kept it a little close with the Cowgirls. Yes, they were able to execute on crucial plays to put the game away, but I feel their defense did give up some unnecessary points late in the game.
- The 'hawks did struggle against the Rams, but they were able to come back and get the "W".

-
'Hawks are 11-4-0 73.33% ATS.
- Redskins are third from the last in defense (total yards), while the Seahawks are one of the top 5 defenses in the league.
- However, the Redskins are in the middle of the league in defense (pts allowed), while the Seahawks give up the least amount of points (ranked first). What does this mean? Simple...The Redskins give up A LOT of yards, but they do not allow as much points (their defense seems to step up in crucial moments).






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#2
Posted: 12/31/2012 2:06:58 AM
Will write up Colts-Ravens game soon.
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#3
Posted: 12/31/2012 2:13:40 AM
Let face it, we know whats HOTT and whats NOT
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#4
Posted: 12/31/2012 2:15:36 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LaHaterz:

Let face it, we know whats HOTT and whats NOT



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#5
Posted: 12/31/2012 2:52:23 AM
Might teaser these plays too.
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#6
Posted: 12/31/2012 3:19:44 AM
Seahawks might be my largest play. Thoughts???
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#7
Posted: 12/31/2012 4:24:52 AM
i'm suprised so much love for the seahawks, the fact is they are 3-5 on the road this year and russell wilson at home and russell wilson on the road are not the same quarterbacks, 
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#8
Posted: 12/31/2012 1:36:45 PM
Redskins are a great team; no doubt. But I feel that the Seahawks are the better team in this matchup. If RG3 is going to run around, he may think twice since the Seahawks defense can bring the heat.
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#9
Posted: 12/31/2012 2:24:44 PM
man... I only like the Cincy under... not good to go against your 70%.

gl
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#10
Posted: 12/31/2012 2:38:24 PM
remember--two of these four games will be blowouts as they are every year.
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#11
Posted: 12/31/2012 6:04:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by six5juice:

Seahawks might be my largest play. Thoughts???
Seattle only 3-5 on the road and only 1 win against a .500 team who missed the postseason, the Bears.
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#12
Posted: 12/31/2012 8:00:51 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Neurofit:

man... I only like the Cincy under... not good to go against your 70%.

gl


What's your thoughts? Lets discuss!

What do you think about Seahawks-Redskins Under?
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#13
Posted: 12/31/2012 8:14:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Neurofit:

man... I only like the Cincy under... not good to go against your 70%.

gl


Also...I'm not a "pro" capper. Just did a lot of research this season--changed my "system"--and was fortunate to do well. I had to play two second half picks on Sunday to get a winning record for my Sunday NFL plays.

For whatever the reason, I've been well in college bowl game plays. I wouldn't dare to consistently play college during the regular season, but I keep playing since I've hit a decent streak (had USC and game Under early...hedged w/ GT when I heard Barkley and Lee was out and double downed on the Under again...Covered on Tulsa too. Got LSU on the ML).

With that being said, I've been doing so-so in NFL recently...Go with your gut instinct and let me know what you think! I may hedge on these plays...

Total record 54-22-1
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#14
Posted: 12/31/2012 8:22:34 PM
all dogs this week, NO DOUBT
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#15
Posted: 12/31/2012 8:29:28 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LaHaterz:

all dogs this week, NO DOUBT


What's your thoughts on the game totals? Do you think the games will go Under?

On a side note...lets go LSU!!!!

LSU ML
LSU under 61.5
LSU under 60
3 team teaser w/ two LSU plays...


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#16
Posted: 12/31/2012 10:15:02 PM
Also forgot I had LSU -3 b1...5 LSU plays total hahaha. I must have been drunk when I did all this a few weeks back.

------------------------------

Lean:

Seahawks-Redskins Under
Both teams have two great defenses...Don't see this as a high scoring game.
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#17
Posted: 12/31/2012 11:20:58 PM
57-24-1 total
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#18
Posted: 12/31/2012 11:50:34 PM
Really like the SEA/WAS under. Redskins will have to run it a lot with both SEA CBs back. Pass game will only open up with a lot of running and play action. This will run the clock. Also think Seahawks run the ball effectively. Going to be a close game... probably 23-20.
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#19
Posted: 1/1/2013 12:41:21 AM
Neuro:

Might have to add the under play! Happy New Year!
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WilliamMunny
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#20
Posted: 1/1/2013 11:24:24 AM
"Don't fool yourself, the Colts are a great team"

Are you stoned? Colts D sucks. They played an easy schedule and still barely beat most of the teams. They will get pounded in Balt on Sunday by a veteran team. 
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#21
Posted: 1/1/2013 11:30:24 AM
Yeah playing the texans twice late in the season should be a piece of cake for any team
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#22
Posted: 1/1/2013 1:28:36 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WilliamMunny:

"Don't fool yourself, the Colts are a great team"

Are you stoned? Colts D sucks. They played an easy schedule and still barely beat most of the teams. They will get pounded in Balt on Sunday by a veteran team. 

Nope, not stoned! Keep your negative/immature comments to yourself bro! What's your record? Post it up! 
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#23
Posted: 1/1/2013 1:30:39 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WilliamMunny:

"Don't fool yourself, the Colts are a great team"

Are you stoned? Colts D sucks. They played an easy schedule and still barely beat most of the teams. They will get pounded in Balt on Sunday by a veteran team. 

Also, are YOU stoned?! I don't even have a Colts-Ravens play buddy! Learn how to read haha!
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#24
Posted: 1/1/2013 5:34:11 PM
Added Play:

(5) Seahawks-Redskins game UNDER

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61-24-1 Total (North Western, GA, OK State, OK State Under...WISC not looking good)
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#25
Posted: 1/1/2013 8:13:12 PM
Green Bay and Baltimore win blowouts.  Lean to Houston to cover, Washington squeaks out win at home.
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