Got
my ass handed to me on Monday night going 0-2 dropping 4.60 units. I
think I’m just going to stick to strictly 1 unit wagers, as it
seems the 10% of wagers that are more than 1 unit lose. It was my
first 3 unit play of the season, and of course it lost. I was
completely off regarding my play, but if I had the chance to play it
again, I certainly wouldn’t have done it any differently.
Tonight:
Philadelphia
TT o20.0 (-108) 1u
I
really like catching Philly’s Team Total at 20. Philadelphia is in
a situation right now where they have absolutely nothing to lose, so
I do expect Reid to open up the offense and allow Foles to throw the
ball down field. Combine this with Cincinnatti’s below average
defense, and I think we have a situation where a total of 20 can be
quite beneficial. Philly will be playing a game which allows them to
be relaxed, and stress free, while at the same time showing what they
can do in regards to next season and earning a position on the
roster. A team with nothing to lose is a dangerous team, and although
the 5.5 you can get on Philly right now is quite enticing, getting
the Team Total on a key number of 20 is too good to pass up,
especially in a prime time game at home. As always, Good luck
everyone.
NHL
11-12: 72-59-13
+24.91u
NHLP
11-12: 18-21-3
-3.85u
NBA
11-12: 50-40-1
+14.05u
NBAP
11-12: 6-3
+14.74u
MLB
2012: 139-126-2+16.20u
MLBP
2012: 4-1
+5.76u
PGA
2012:13-9
+2.24u
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
YTD:
43-33-1 +10.03u
PS:
32-15-1 +17.08u
ML:
2-3 +1.42u
Totals:
6-7 -1.48u
TT:
0-3 -3.34u
Props:
1-2 -2.05u
Teasers:
2-3 -1.70u
Week
14: 1-2 -3.60u
Denver
-9.5 (-112) 1u
Houston
+7 (-120) 3u
Houston
ML (+217) 1u
Got
my ass handed to me on Monday night going 0-2 dropping 4.60 units. I
think I’m just going to stick to strictly 1 unit wagers, as it
seems the 10% of wagers that are more than 1 unit lose. It was my
first 3 unit play of the season, and of course it lost. I was
completely off regarding my play, but if I had the chance to play it
again, I certainly wouldn’t have done it any differently.
Tonight:
Philadelphia
TT o20.0 (-108) 1u
I
really like catching Philly’s Team Total at 20. Philadelphia is in
a situation right now where they have absolutely nothing to lose, so
I do expect Reid to open up the offense and allow Foles to throw the
ball down field. Combine this with Cincinnatti’s below average
defense, and I think we have a situation where a total of 20 can be
quite beneficial. Philly will be playing a game which allows them to
be relaxed, and stress free, while at the same time showing what they
can do in regards to next season and earning a position on the
roster. A team with nothing to lose is a dangerous team, and although
the 5.5 you can get on Philly right now is quite enticing, getting
the Team Total on a key number of 20 is too good to pass up,
especially in a prime time game at home. As always, Good luck
everyone.
Cincinnati below average defense eh? They only LEAD the league in sacks. Awful write up once again. You are betting on 90% of the skilled/scoring position players BACKUPS to get this team total over 20. Hey it might hit u never know but still just a dumb play.
0
Cincinnati below average defense eh? They only LEAD the league in sacks. Awful write up once again. You are betting on 90% of the skilled/scoring position players BACKUPS to get this team total over 20. Hey it might hit u never know but still just a dumb play.
Cincinnati below average defense eh? They only LEAD the league in sacks. Awful write up once again. You are betting on 90% of the skilled/scoring position players BACKUPS to get this team total over 20. Hey it might hit u never know but still just a dumb play.
0
Quote Originally Posted by hammer22:
Cincinnati below average defense eh? They only LEAD the league in sacks. Awful write up once again. You are betting on 90% of the skilled/scoring position players BACKUPS to get this team total over 20. Hey it might hit u never know but still just a dumb play.
By the way Cincinnati hasn't given up more than 13 points in its last four games before Dallas and held its fourth straight opponent to fewer than 300 yards. So technically your write up is wrong.
0
By the way Cincinnati hasn't given up more than 13 points in its last four games before Dallas and held its fourth straight opponent to fewer than 300 yards. So technically your write up is wrong.
By the way Cincinnati hasn't given up more than 13 points in its last four games before Dallas and held its fourth straight opponent to fewer than 300 yards. So technically your write up is wrong.
I don't cap the NFL based solely on the statistics you're looking at. I apply strength of the opponents compared to the performance. So what's your point that BEFORE Dallas they hadn't given up more than 20 points in 4 games? Before those 4 games, they lost 4 in a row and gave up 24+ in 3 of those 4 games. The fact that they just held the Chargers, Raiders, and Cheifs to under 20 points has absolutely nothing to do with how I capped this game. If everyone capped in regards to what you just suggested, then everyone would be unsuccessful. Do you think everyone doesn't know what you just said? Now I'll ask based on what you and everyone else in the world know, why is it set at 20? Why not 17? I don't ever see you posting picks, on the other hand I've been doing it successfully since I started here. Good luck
0
Quote Originally Posted by hammer22:
By the way Cincinnati hasn't given up more than 13 points in its last four games before Dallas and held its fourth straight opponent to fewer than 300 yards. So technically your write up is wrong.
I don't cap the NFL based solely on the statistics you're looking at. I apply strength of the opponents compared to the performance. So what's your point that BEFORE Dallas they hadn't given up more than 20 points in 4 games? Before those 4 games, they lost 4 in a row and gave up 24+ in 3 of those 4 games. The fact that they just held the Chargers, Raiders, and Cheifs to under 20 points has absolutely nothing to do with how I capped this game. If everyone capped in regards to what you just suggested, then everyone would be unsuccessful. Do you think everyone doesn't know what you just said? Now I'll ask based on what you and everyone else in the world know, why is it set at 20? Why not 17? I don't ever see you posting picks, on the other hand I've been doing it successfully since I started here. Good luck
Sparty, i am intrigued by the play, but dont forget that the Bengals had rolled through the tough NFC East, beating the 1st-place NY Giants by 18 points, 31-13, and 2nd-place Washington by a TD, 38-31. barely lost to Dallas last week
and don't make too much of the Eagles beating TB last week as they were dominated on the line of scrimmage and could not run the football, being held to a pathetic 29 total rushing yards for an average of 1.8 yards per carry!
Bengals defensive minded HC Marvin Lewis will also play the run and force Foles to pass the ball, knowing that his team held a strong Cowboys running game to only 49 total rushing yards for 2.0 yards per carry last Sunday (Bengals holding opponents to just 106 average rushing yards per game this season). Bottom line, Bengals defense will be able to dominate the line of scrimmage.
not sure if I love the "over 20 TT" pick?
0
Sparty, i am intrigued by the play, but dont forget that the Bengals had rolled through the tough NFC East, beating the 1st-place NY Giants by 18 points, 31-13, and 2nd-place Washington by a TD, 38-31. barely lost to Dallas last week
and don't make too much of the Eagles beating TB last week as they were dominated on the line of scrimmage and could not run the football, being held to a pathetic 29 total rushing yards for an average of 1.8 yards per carry!
Bengals defensive minded HC Marvin Lewis will also play the run and force Foles to pass the ball, knowing that his team held a strong Cowboys running game to only 49 total rushing yards for 2.0 yards per carry last Sunday (Bengals holding opponents to just 106 average rushing yards per game this season). Bottom line, Bengals defense will be able to dominate the line of scrimmage.
Sparty, i am intrigued by the play, but dont forget that the Bengals had rolled through the tough NFC East, beating the 1st-place NY Giants by 18 points, 31-13, and 2nd-place Washington by a TD, 38-31. barely lost to Dallas last week
and don't make too much of the Eagles beating TB last week as they were dominated on the line of scrimmage and could not run the football, being held to a pathetic 29 total rushing yards for an average of 1.8 yards per carry!
Bengals defensive minded HC Marvin Lewis will also play the run and force Foles to pass the ball, knowing that his team held a strong Cowboys running game to only 49 total rushing yards for 2.0 yards per carry last Sunday (Bengals holding opponents to just 106 average rushing yards per game this season). Bottom line, Bengals defense will be able to dominate the line of scrimmage.
not sure if I love the "over 20 TT" pick?
I know exactly what you're saying, and I've taken all these things into consideration. I feel like this is a "buy low, sell high" type of situation. Look at all the Bengals love, it's ridiculous. All the stats everyone is hyping is so basic level information that everyone has access too. I too use stats such as those, but I also use a lot of information that takes into account numerous things. This play was also a gut type play. Not every wager needs to be justified by basic stats, and sometimes it's a good thing to "go against the grain".
0
Quote Originally Posted by brockwell:
Sparty, i am intrigued by the play, but dont forget that the Bengals had rolled through the tough NFC East, beating the 1st-place NY Giants by 18 points, 31-13, and 2nd-place Washington by a TD, 38-31. barely lost to Dallas last week
and don't make too much of the Eagles beating TB last week as they were dominated on the line of scrimmage and could not run the football, being held to a pathetic 29 total rushing yards for an average of 1.8 yards per carry!
Bengals defensive minded HC Marvin Lewis will also play the run and force Foles to pass the ball, knowing that his team held a strong Cowboys running game to only 49 total rushing yards for 2.0 yards per carry last Sunday (Bengals holding opponents to just 106 average rushing yards per game this season). Bottom line, Bengals defense will be able to dominate the line of scrimmage.
not sure if I love the "over 20 TT" pick?
I know exactly what you're saying, and I've taken all these things into consideration. I feel like this is a "buy low, sell high" type of situation. Look at all the Bengals love, it's ridiculous. All the stats everyone is hyping is so basic level information that everyone has access too. I too use stats such as those, but I also use a lot of information that takes into account numerous things. This play was also a gut type play. Not every wager needs to be justified by basic stats, and sometimes it's a good thing to "go against the grain".
had to lay -120 on dimes but I still feel like its a solid play
This is why I love Pinnacle. You are almost guaranteed to pay less juice every time, it's a beautiful thing to be Canadian. Good luck to us on this play
0
Quote Originally Posted by AnthonyStarks:
had to lay -120 on dimes but I still feel like its a solid play
This is why I love Pinnacle. You are almost guaranteed to pay less juice every time, it's a beautiful thing to be Canadian. Good luck to us on this play
GL Dude, but I personally don't like it. After the Dallas loss, they Bungles really need this one. The Cinncy Def should have a field day against Philly Oline..22
0
GL Dude, but I personally don't like it. After the Dallas loss, they Bungles really need this one. The Cinncy Def should have a field day against Philly Oline..22
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