Posted: 12/14/2012 6:18:52 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:
Cincinatti Bengals @ Philadelphia Eagles
Sets up a perfect play-on for the Bengals 1H.
Bengals 1H ML (-210) 5 units
Bengals 1H -3 (-130) 3 units
Bengals 1H -6 (+145) 1 unit
Disregard last post, was going to make a comment, which is this:
Hey LC, don't think I've ever commented in one of your posts, but from what I've seen you're a very good capper. Your plays are backed by logic, and you're right a lot of times. So, this isn't a "Fri Morn QB" reply. That said, I think you made an error last night that I've made myself many times.....you were 100% on the right side, but completely outsmarted yourself. I think this can especially happen to people who truly analyze and cap games.
It's one thing to make a 1H play (which I generally don't like), but putting all your eggs in one basket for 9 units, with juice as steep as -210 on the ML? If you hit, you slay it obviously. I think you got to play the better team for 60 minutes. Too much crap can happen in the first half (like the BS with Dalton having two balls knocked out of his hand by poor O-line and holding the ball too long).
Then again, maybe you've had a lot of success making single half plays. Good luck.....and again, good analysis. Enjoy your write-ups.