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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Fox's **12/13 Picks and Analysis** NFL, NBA, NCAAB
Jfox6546 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Top Bet |
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#1
Posted: 12/12/2012 9:54:24 PM
NFL/NCAAF: +55,100 (+110.2u) 129-77-3 (63%) ATS/Totals

NBA YTD: -2,070 (-4.14u) 54-53-5 (50%) ATS/Totals

NCAAB YTD: 
 +2,080 (+4.13u) 15-9 (64%) ATS/Totals


1unit= $500
Max Bet = $2000

Weeks  11/13-12/10 (November) :  +28,610  83-53 ATS (61%)  

Week 12/11-12/17: +580  3-1 ATS


Thursday Night Football! Won last week with Denver minus the big line. Tonight we get a Bengals team in the middle of a playoff push, and an Eagles team off their first win in 2 months. Picks for all sports are below and more may be added tmrw, when more lines become available. BOL everyone! 

$1000 Eagles +4.5
This line opened at Cincy minus a Fg and was bought up to 4.5 in the last day or two. Ill gladly take the 4 and the hook with the Eagles at home. The Eagles still don't have the public with them, due to the fact they dropped like 7 in a row ATS, so I fully expect the public to still be backing the Bengals at game time. The line may move up to 5 at some point but there is not much to gain by not locking it now with the 4.5. I expect it to be at -4 or -3.5 before game time, as most Eagles backers have waited for the line to increase before betting them. Let's take a look at the game now. 

The Bengals have been a popular bet since their upset against the Giants and have been playing decent football. But if you take a look at their wins, they struggled against the Chargers on the road and that game could have gone either way. Their other 2 wins tho besides the Giants and Chargers in their 4 game win streak SUATS were against 2 of the three worst teams in the NFL( Cheifs and Raiders). I actually have the Eagles at around 22-24 in my bettors rankings for this week, and the Bengals at 18-20 after they lost to the Cowboys at home.  The eagles  have shown increased improvement on both sides of the ball during the last 3 weeks. The Fans should be more lively in this one, as they see their Qb of the future in Nick Foles. The biggest improvement I saw last week with this Eagles team was their secondary. They limited the Bucs offense to 178 yards passing on 14-34 from Freeman. They are going to have to play like that again against AJ green and Dalton. The Eagles have been very good on offense the last 2weeks as well. They have shown they can beat you on the ground or with the pass and Nick Foles is gaining confidence with every start. 


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Jfox6546 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Top Bet |
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#2
Posted: 12/12/2012 9:54:35 PM
The key to this game is if the Eagles can limit the turnovers, as it is in most games. They have been competitive and in a position to win each of the last 3 weeks, but the turnovers really cost them in 2 of those games. This is a big game for the Eagles, as they want to show their fans they have a solid future with Nick Foles and company. Now the Bengals I'm sure know the importance of this game. It's basically a must with Pitt and Bmore on deck. The thing is they may be looking ahead to those two games. They also knew that the loss against Dallas put them in a very tough situation and that may hangover to this game on the road on a short week. Home team usually fare well on TNF due to this short week and I'll grab the points with a resurgent Eagles squad. I also forgot to mention that the Bengals have 6 players listed as Quest for the game due to injuries sustained during the Dallas game. That game was hard fought and very physical and this could have a significant impact with the short week.  I've got the Eagles winning 2 in a row. Eagles win 27-23. 


NCAAB

$500 Wichita St. pk


NBA

$500 Charlotte Bobcats +11
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LawsonJames
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#3
Posted: 12/12/2012 10:11:25 PM
GL J. What are the rest of your leans for Week 15 NFL?
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#4
Posted: 12/12/2012 10:23:06 PM
These are very early but here they are, obviously I'll narrow these down to 3-4 games.Could even switch on a couple when I look into them more. 

Bears +3

Giants -1.5

Vikings +3

Dolphins -7

Chargers -3

Broncos-3

Jets +1.5

Steelers -1.5

Bills +5.5

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#5
Posted: 12/12/2012 10:38:53 PM
Thanks J 
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saigon
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#6
Posted: 12/12/2012 10:51:53 PM
Look good jFox.

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#7
Posted: 12/12/2012 11:20:06 PM
I've posted on covers on 2 separate occasions in my life and both of them are to thank you. This will be the third. Thank you for doing this. Your thoughts are insights are very much appreciated.
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#8
Posted: 12/12/2012 11:50:48 PM
 Sup Foxy! 
 
Haven't been on a few. Still been tailing all the NFL's, buddy. I'm on auto tail with your picks lol. You haven't let me down one weekend since I was with you on that sick, CFB sweep!

 Your write up for MNF was pretty much spot on too  
 You're very good at capping football man, damn.

 Just wanted to hop on and say thanks for the money picks, bud.
 Looking forward to this weekends, plays.

 
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#9
Posted: 12/12/2012 11:57:41 PM
eagles it is.

thanks mr jfox!
Posted using a mobile device.
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#10
Posted: 12/13/2012 12:00:58 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Jfox6546:

The key to this game is if the Eagles can limit the turnovers, as it is in most games. They have been competitive and in a position to win each of the last 3 weeks, but the turnovers really cost them in 2 of those games. This is a big game for the Eagles, as they want to show their fans they have a solid future with Nick Foles and company. Now the Bengals I'm sure know the importance of this game. It's basically a must with Pitt and Bmore on deck. The thing is they may be looking ahead to those two games. They also knew that the loss against Dallas put them in a very tough situation and that may hangover to this game on the road on a short week. Home team usually fare well on TNF due to this short week and I'll grab the points with a resurgent Eagles squad. I also forgot to mention that the Bengals have 6 players listed as Quest for the game due to injuries sustained during the Dallas game. That game was hard fought and very physical and this could have a significant impact with the short week.  I've got the Eagles winning 2 in a row. Eagles win 27-23. 


NCAAB

$500 Wichita St. pk


NBA

$500 Charlotte Bobcats +11


What makes me nervous is AJ green dropped 2 touchdown passes....Cinci should have won this game....How will the eagles win with what they have?
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#11
Posted: 12/13/2012 12:03:00 AM
Also even though im a Chicago fan, I really think the bears will win this and its not my heart saying that. Am i correct or will Green Bay prove me wrong AGAIN!?!?
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#12
Posted: 12/13/2012 2:33:35 AM
You've been right on and I've looked at your picks before I make my final decision. Pretty close match up this Thursday. They both have relatively the same strength in rushing and passing defense. Cincin is a little better in both categories. The biggest difference is their sack category. Cinci is rank 1st, and Philly rank 29th. Last week, @ TB Philly QB, Foles, got sacked 6 times and TB is ranked 27th in sack. TB also has a terrible pass defense ranking last in the league. Probably explained why Foles looked good. 

Cincinnati will get to Foles that will limit Philly passing games. That will have Philly resort to rushing and short passes. Foles is not build to take that many sacks and I will go on the limp to predict over four sacks, and at least 1 TO. Cinci wins 27 - 23... Since it's Thursday game which generally produced lower scoring I'd predict

CIN 24 -  PHI 20


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#13
Posted: 12/13/2012 2:36:32 AM
I like to follow you this weekend as well Fox, hopefully you keep your streak rollin.  I like the GB DAL n SEA. but all good picks.
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#14
Posted: 12/13/2012 2:40:38 AM
STAYING UP UNDER YOUR PICKS LIKE AN EGG DOES A HEN,I LIKE GB,SEATTLE,BUT NOT AS MUCH AS I DO YOUR INSIGHT,THANX A LOT J!!!
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#15
Posted: 12/13/2012 5:46:24 AM
LOVE YOUR PICKS FOX!!!! That being said dude you must not watch enough Go Pack Go games yo!!! I've witnessed every single second of every game and theres a reason the Green Bay Packers have a killing streak in the nfc north and against da bears!!! It used to be a rivalry and competition now its just a guaranteed Whooping!!! Factor in  CLAYMAKER returning and theres gona be bear fans calling 911 to try to save gumby neck cutler from getting mauled!!! Anyone on here who disagrees lets bet so we don't have to pay vig to the sportsbook or bookie!!! :)
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#16
Posted: 12/13/2012 6:00:24 AM
like the birds myself, gl fox
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#17
Posted: 12/13/2012 6:51:17 AM
Good luck mate!
With you on Eagles!
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#18
Posted: 12/13/2012 7:28:58 AM
people are actually getting up for this game in philly. younger players are excited/eager to showcase their talent while the older players know nothings guaranteed for them next season if they dont start busting their fools. only thing that i'm worried about is loss of brent celek, security blanket for foles on critical 3rd down conversions. hopefully eagles can pound the ball early and create manageable 3rd downs
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#19
Posted: 12/13/2012 8:10:12 AM

I've been following your write-ups for the past few weeks.  You're analysis of the games and the teams are awesome.  Went with the Eagles too, but after reading your analysis, I'm gonna dump more.  Mahalo for a job well done JFox!  Look forward to your Winnahs!!

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#20
Posted: 12/13/2012 9:20:18 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by timgopack:

LOVE YOUR PICKS FOX!!!! That being said dude you must not watch enough Go Pack Go games yo!!! I've witnessed every single second of every game and theres a reason the Green Bay Packers have a killing streak in the nfc north and against da bears!!! It used to be a rivalry and competition now its just a guaranteed Whooping!!! Factor in  CLAYMAKER returning and theres gona be bear fans calling 911 to try to save gumby neck cutler from getting mauled!!! Anyone on here who disagrees lets bet so we don't have to pay vig to the sportsbook or bookie!!! :)


The fact you have NO POSTS when you should get credit for this one makes me suspect. 
Personally, you sound like a d o u c h e to me.
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#21
Posted: 12/13/2012 9:41:03 AM
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#22
Posted: 12/13/2012 10:15:08 AM
Mrfox,hope your eagles play wins..most of the public are taking the bengals..gonna go big on it
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#23
Posted: 12/13/2012 11:02:01 AM
BOL JFox , looks like you have the total going over
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#24
Posted: 12/13/2012 11:15:21 AM
Thanks so much for all your plays. When do you think you will post your plays for Sunday?  Thanks!
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#25
Posted: 12/13/2012 11:21:30 AM
GL JFOX
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