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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Jets -5.5 +143
outlaw96 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#26
Posted: 12/9/2012 10:59:31 AM
   Away Train


J.  E.  T.  S .  Jets  Jets Jets  


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#27
Posted: 12/9/2012 11:03:21 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kimoinsd808:



You can be mine. Jets -16.5 +18000 for $1.  PM me your contact info.  I like to settle up on Tuesday mornings. 


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#28
Posted: 12/9/2012 11:06:15 AM
JAX & HENNE =
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#29
Posted: 12/9/2012 11:08:47 AM

the Jets???  i have half a mind to put you in a sack and beat you with a stick  

 

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#30
Posted: 12/9/2012 11:14:53 AM

I ALREADY GOT NYJ -2.5 , BUT AM STILL NOT CONFIDENT 

SANCHEZ WIPES UP THE MIDDLE

 

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TRAIN69
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#31
Posted: 12/9/2012 11:25:26 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sloobylover:

JAX & HENNE =


If they had MJD and Shorts, all offensive line and a full starting defense I would agree.
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#32
Posted: 12/9/2012 11:34:10 AM
Damn...I'm leaning the other way 
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#33
Posted: 12/9/2012 11:37:03 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:



If they cover 3, they cover 6......I think they win by 17+ so it shouldnt matter.

I agree /


Love the Jets this week 

U got any read on the Hawks -10



Best of Luck Brother
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#34
Posted: 12/9/2012 11:47:51 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:


I agree /


Love the Jets this week 

U got any read on the Hawks -10



Best of Luck Brother


No read. Thats the last game I would bet this week if I had too.
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#35
Posted: 12/9/2012 12:14:53 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LGFTW88:

Why not -3+110?

Mathematically this is not a good play based on LGTF's post. Why?

If Train gets +110 for -3 and +143 for -5.5, he is giving up .33 cents worth of juice to buy 2.5 points.

That means he is paying .33/2.5= .132 per half point which is more than any site would charge (i.e. the standard is .10 per half point and that is usually considered a ripoff unless you MUST buy down from 3 or 7 or to 3 or 7 from 3.5 and 7.5 which is understandable and one of the only times it's excusable). 

Not saying this pick won't hit, I'm just saying it's a bad bargain and you're paying too much. At most you should be paying
 -135 for -5.5. 
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#36
Posted: 12/9/2012 12:18:28 PM
J-E-T-S -3 +105 is my biggest bet so far today.

I slopped a lil on Jets -7.5 +170

GL GL
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#37
Posted: 12/9/2012 12:29:15 PM
Good Luck
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#38
Posted: 12/9/2012 12:37:00 PM
Ballsy Train, like it
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#39
Posted: 12/9/2012 12:38:03 PM
Check out Mia
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#40
Posted: 12/9/2012 12:56:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by scalabrine:


Mathematically this is not a good play based on LGTF's post. Why?

If Train gets +110 for -3 and +143 for -5.5, he is giving up .33 cents worth of juice to buy 2.5 points.

That means he is paying .33/2.5= .132 per half point which is more than any site would charge (i.e. the standard is .10 per half point and that is usually considered a ripoff unless you MUST buy down from 3 or 7 or to 3 or 7 from 3.5 and 7.5 which is understandable and one of the only times it's excusable). 

Not saying this pick won't hit, I'm just saying it's a bad bargain and you're paying too much. At most you should be paying
 -135 for -5.5. 


Thats all assuming -3 was +110.....which it wasnt for me at the time.

Also, you have to factor in 4.5, 5 and 5.5 are dead numbers.



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#41
Posted: 12/9/2012 12:56:48 PM
Good luck train    
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#42
Posted: 12/9/2012 1:01:06 PM
Good luck
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#43
Posted: 12/9/2012 1:03:19 PM
on them fairly large as well, good luck buddy
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#44
Posted: 12/9/2012 1:05:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:



Thats all assuming -3 was +110.....which it wasnt for me at the time.

Also, you have to factor in 4.5, 5 and 5.5 are dead numbers.




Well if it was lower than +110 you were paying even more and I never saw it higher than 110 anywhere.

Anyhow, 3.5 is a key number (the biggest key number there is actually) and to 4 and moreso 4.5 are still a key numbers in many regards (i.e. there are games you were dissuaded from playing because of 4.5 vs. 4 in the past). All others are dead yes.

I think 3 +110 or +115 or +105 is just fine. And if not, I would even buy down a .5 pt off the 3 before I paid what you are paying to get to 5.5. This squad still needs to show some offensive efficiency and throwing around an extra 2.5 is no small order.
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#45
Posted: 12/9/2012 2:03:26 PM
i'd be shocked if the jets could score 5.5 points.
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#46
Posted: 12/9/2012 2:44:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by earthWake:

i'd be shocked if the jets could score 5.5 points.


Surprise Surprise...Maggot
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#47
Posted: 12/9/2012 2:48:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by earthWake:

i'd be shocked if the jets
could score 5.5 points.

The entire football world would be. There is no half a point in football.

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#48
Posted: 12/9/2012 4:22:10 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by scalabrine:


Well if it was lower than +110 you were paying even more and I never saw it higher than 110 anywhere.

Anyhow, 3.5 is a key number (the biggest key number there is actually) and to 4 and moreso 4.5 are still a key numbers in many regards (i.e. there are games you were dissuaded from playing because of 4.5 vs. 4 in the past). All others are dead yes.

I think 3 +110 or +115 or +105 is just fine. And if not, I would even buy down a .5 pt off the 3 before I paid what you are paying to get to 5.5. This squad still needs to show some offensive efficiency and throwing around an extra 2.5 is no small order.


You're theory is flawed simply because I was selling, not buying. Of course the book isnt gonna give you quite as good of a deal. Its common sense.

You focused on the wrong details.


Jets -5.5
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#49
Posted: 12/9/2012 4:24:21 PM
Nice play train    
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#50
Posted: 12/9/2012 5:11:06 PM
KABOOOOOOOOOOOOOM !!!!!!
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