Jets -5.5 +143

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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Jets -5.5 +143
outlaw96 PM outlaw96
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Posted: 12/9/2012 10:59:31 AM
   Away Train


J.  E.  T.  S .  Jets  Jets Jets  


pjrez PM pjrez
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Posted: 12/9/2012 11:03:21 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kimoinsd808:



You can be mine. Jets -16.5 +18000 for $1.  PM me your contact info.  I like to settle up on Tuesday mornings. 


sloobylover PM sloobylover
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Posted: 12/9/2012 11:06:15 AM
JAX & HENNE =
ROVIN56 PM ROVIN56
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Posted: 12/9/2012 11:08:47 AM

the Jets???  i have half a mind to put you in a sack and beat you with a stick  

 

QMICH PM QMICH
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Posted: 12/9/2012 11:14:53 AM

I ALREADY GOT NYJ -2.5 , BUT AM STILL NOT CONFIDENT 

SANCHEZ WIPES UP THE MIDDLE

 

TRAIN69 PM TRAIN69
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Posted: 12/9/2012 11:25:26 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sloobylover:

JAX & HENNE =


If they had MJD and Shorts, all offensive line and a full starting defense I would agree.
amd PM amd
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Posted: 12/9/2012 11:34:10 AM
Damn...I'm leaning the other way 
DoubleUp4Life PM DoubleUp4Life
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Posted: 12/9/2012 11:37:03 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:



If they cover 3, they cover 6......I think they win by 17+ so it shouldnt matter.

I agree /


Love the Jets this week 

U got any read on the Hawks -10



Best of Luck Brother
TRAIN69 PM TRAIN69
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Posted: 12/9/2012 11:47:51 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:


I agree /


Love the Jets this week 

U got any read on the Hawks -10



Best of Luck Brother


No read. Thats the last game I would bet this week if I had too.
scalabrine PM scalabrine
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Posted: 12/9/2012 12:14:53 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LGFTW88:

Why not -3+110?

Mathematically this is not a good play based on LGTF's post. Why?

If Train gets +110 for -3 and +143 for -5.5, he is giving up .33 cents worth of juice to buy 2.5 points.

That means he is paying .33/2.5= .132 per half point which is more than any site would charge (i.e. the standard is .10 per half point and that is usually considered a ripoff unless you MUST buy down from 3 or 7 or to 3 or 7 from 3.5 and 7.5 which is understandable and one of the only times it's excusable). 

Not saying this pick won't hit, I'm just saying it's a bad bargain and you're paying too much. At most you should be paying
 -135 for -5.5. 
MJCpirate PM MJCpirate
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Posted: 12/9/2012 12:18:28 PM
J-E-T-S -3 +105 is my biggest bet so far today.

I slopped a lil on Jets -7.5 +170

GL GL
AAY PM AAY
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Posted: 12/9/2012 12:29:15 PM
Good Luck
ddjf PM ddjf
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Posted: 12/9/2012 12:37:00 PM
Ballsy Train, like it
ddjf PM ddjf
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Posted: 12/9/2012 12:38:03 PM
Check out Mia
TRAIN69 PM TRAIN69
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Posted: 12/9/2012 12:56:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by scalabrine:


Mathematically this is not a good play based on LGTF's post. Why?

If Train gets +110 for -3 and +143 for -5.5, he is giving up .33 cents worth of juice to buy 2.5 points.

That means he is paying .33/2.5= .132 per half point which is more than any site would charge (i.e. the standard is .10 per half point and that is usually considered a ripoff unless you MUST buy down from 3 or 7 or to 3 or 7 from 3.5 and 7.5 which is understandable and one of the only times it's excusable). 

Not saying this pick won't hit, I'm just saying it's a bad bargain and you're paying too much. At most you should be paying
 -135 for -5.5. 


Thats all assuming -3 was +110.....which it wasnt for me at the time.

Also, you have to factor in 4.5, 5 and 5.5 are dead numbers.



Jose_Reyes PM Jose_Reyes
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Posted: 12/9/2012 12:56:48 PM
Good luck train    
Gordon Gekko PM Gordon Gekko
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Posted: 12/9/2012 1:01:06 PM
Good luck
keepitstrict PM keepitstrict
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Posted: 12/9/2012 1:03:19 PM
on them fairly large as well, good luck buddy
scalabrine PM scalabrine
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Posted: 12/9/2012 1:05:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:



Thats all assuming -3 was +110.....which it wasnt for me at the time.

Also, you have to factor in 4.5, 5 and 5.5 are dead numbers.




Well if it was lower than +110 you were paying even more and I never saw it higher than 110 anywhere.

Anyhow, 3.5 is a key number (the biggest key number there is actually) and to 4 and moreso 4.5 are still a key numbers in many regards (i.e. there are games you were dissuaded from playing because of 4.5 vs. 4 in the past). All others are dead yes.

I think 3 +110 or +115 or +105 is just fine. And if not, I would even buy down a .5 pt off the 3 before I paid what you are paying to get to 5.5. This squad still needs to show some offensive efficiency and throwing around an extra 2.5 is no small order.
earthWake PM earthWake
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Posted: 12/9/2012 2:03:26 PM
i'd be shocked if the jets could score 5.5 points.
MJCpirate PM MJCpirate
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Posted: 12/9/2012 2:44:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by earthWake:

i'd be shocked if the jets could score 5.5 points.


Surprise Surprise...Maggot
VGPOP PM VGPOP
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Posted: 12/9/2012 2:48:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by earthWake:

i'd be shocked if the jets
could score 5.5 points.

The entire football world would be. There is no half a point in football.

TRAIN69 PM TRAIN69
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Posted: 12/9/2012 4:22:10 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by scalabrine:


Well if it was lower than +110 you were paying even more and I never saw it higher than 110 anywhere.

Anyhow, 3.5 is a key number (the biggest key number there is actually) and to 4 and moreso 4.5 are still a key numbers in many regards (i.e. there are games you were dissuaded from playing because of 4.5 vs. 4 in the past). All others are dead yes.

I think 3 +110 or +115 or +105 is just fine. And if not, I would even buy down a .5 pt off the 3 before I paid what you are paying to get to 5.5. This squad still needs to show some offensive efficiency and throwing around an extra 2.5 is no small order.


You're theory is flawed simply because I was selling, not buying. Of course the book isnt gonna give you quite as good of a deal. Its common sense.

You focused on the wrong details.


Jets -5.5
Jose_Reyes PM Jose_Reyes
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Posted: 12/9/2012 4:24:21 PM
Nice play train    
FiveStarGeneral PM FiveStarGeneral
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Posted: 12/9/2012 5:11:06 PM
KABOOOOOOOOOOOOOM !!!!!!
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