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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Colin Cowherd's Balzin 5
nuggins
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#26
Posted: 12/7/2012 2:40:22 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GeorgeBailey:

 

Nuggins - Just a questions RE : 13 point teasers.  Aren't the payouts somehting like $100 to make $50?  I ask becasue my site, BETUS has 3 team teasers using a max of 12.5 points and it exactly $100 to make $50.  I have to believe that other sigths are pretty comparabel.  Not douching on your teaser angle at all (I love to play them) I just cringe everytimg I realize what I'm putting up to get what I'm pulling in.

 

Either way, 80% is an unbelieveable kill rate on yourr teasers nevertheless.


my 13-pts are -130 (4 teams only)... so $100 to win $76.92

i porb wouldn't be playing 12.5 and esp at those odds ... can't tell you how many times that .5 on a 13 pter has been the savior

ex. getting team XX at +4.5 - taking it to 17.5 ...and team ZZZ wins by 17

Thing that hurts is that pushes are a Loss

80% is rough est. - def, know over 75% for sure ,,,has been my bread n' butter for years   

plus i'm an action junky so i can play a game i really have no interest in playing and get something on it...

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#27
Posted: 12/7/2012 2:51:07 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by ddjf:

       what are you bringing to table prospect. your pathetic and i would put my picks against yours to show you whats up homey

 

Obviously you are just chirping due to amount of posts...

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#28
Posted: 12/7/2012 3:12:02 PM

13-point teasers are the only way I bet too.

I know my limitations. I have system picks that I bet (ATS, no teaser) but other than that, teasers are the safest way for me to bet.

90% clip usually. Most games are within 13-points of the line if you were to just guess. Then, add in your knowledge, and it's a much higher rate.

This week, I love a lot of games. Last week, I had 12 maybes, only bet 4, and all 12 hit. It's a fallacy that teasers are sucker bets. PARLAYS on the other hand, are definitely for suckers.

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nuggins
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#29
Posted: 12/7/2012 3:34:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jbkizzle:

13-point teasers are the only way I bet too.

I know my limitations. I have system picks that I bet (ATS, no teaser) but other than that, teasers are the safest way for me to bet.

90% clip usually. Most games are within 13-points of the line if you were to just guess. Then, add in your knowledge, and it's a much higher rate.

This week, I love a lot of games. Last week, I had 12 maybes, only bet 4, and all 12 hit. It's a fallacy that teasers are sucker bets. PARLAYS on the other hand, are definitely for suckers.


That's what I'm talking about! 
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#30
Posted: 12/7/2012 3:50:13 PM
Add me nuggins bro...I've been following Colin also...he's the best on nfl picks n I agree witcha bro on teasers!!!
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yomh1964
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#31
Posted: 12/7/2012 8:19:07 PM
[Quote: Originally Posted by GeorgeBailey]

 

Nuggins - Just a questions RE : 13 point teasers.  Aren't the payouts somehting like $100 to make $50?  I ask becasue my site, BETUS has 3 team teasers using a max of 12.5 points and it exactly $100 to make $50.  I have to believe that other sigths are pretty comparabel.  Not douching on your teaser angle at all (I love to play them) I just cringe everytimg I realize what I'm putting up to get what I'm pulling in.

 

Either way, 80% is an unbelieveable kill rate on yourr teasers nevertheless.

i bet on pinnacle,teaser  13  =  14  $  for  10$

i  play  teaser  every  sunday

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#32
Posted: 12/7/2012 8:24:15 PM
[Quote: Originally Posted by nuggins]

That's what I'm talking about! 
 
iam agree  100  % i send  you  PM,i  win  since  i play  teaser  13,bcs  in nfl its  tought  to   win ATS,anyway  i dont care  who  dont like  teaser   !!!!,bol
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#33
Posted: 12/7/2012 8:25:52 PM
wouppppppppppppppppps  add  me before   !!!!!
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#34
Posted: 12/7/2012 8:34:31 PM
If you don't think Cincy plays defense, watch the games... 

Swear people have no idea what they are talking about.


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#35
Posted: 12/7/2012 9:14:00 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Bucks10:

If you don't think Cincy plays defense, watch the games... 

Swear people have no idea what they are talking about.


Watch Romo try to pass laying flat on his behind with that CINN pass rush......
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#36
Posted: 12/7/2012 9:17:52 PM
keep a close eye on the weather  lots of rain and cold weather for east coast sat. sun.
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#37
Posted: 12/7/2012 9:20:29 PM
Cowboys (+3) - Agreed

Titans (+5.5) - I'll give that. I see Indy winning, but by more than 5.5 is asking a lot.

Panthers (+3.5) - Disagree. Carolina is digressing while I'll feel Atlanta is progressing. 

Browns (-6.5) - Agreed.

Ravens (+2.5) - Disagree. Ravens have played three bad games in a row, and lost one. Defense and offense is struggling, and are on the road. Alfred Morris should a have field day against the Ravens.
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#38
Posted: 12/7/2012 9:37:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GGALLERT:

 

LOL Those who tease cant cap...PATHETIC!!! So funny,


this statement is ignorant and ridiculous
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#39
Posted: 12/7/2012 9:44:42 PM
I take 5 teams parlay for 50 bucks
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#40
Posted: 12/7/2012 10:52:11 PM
[Quote: Originally Posted by tankstevens]

this statement is ignorant and ridiculous
 
 
and  your  is   intelligent   !!!!,
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#41
Posted: 12/7/2012 11:10:34 PM
thanks for posting these...think he goes 2-3  or 1-4 this week....  he has the cowboys right.....
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#42
Posted: 12/8/2012 12:26:53 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GGALLERT:

 

LOL Those who tease cant cap...PATHETIC!!! So funny,




DOOSH!  Money is money. The man is winning. Thats what counts. Thats all that counts.

Making money. 
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#43
Posted: 12/8/2012 2:41:32 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ROVIN56:

thanks for posting these...think he goes 2-3  or 1-4 this week....  he has the cowboys right.....

He has had the cowboys it seems almost every other week and has never had a losing week during nfl this year. Not that he can't have one but why don't you point out which ones he is off on. This way you can show us how great you are. 
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#44
Posted: 12/8/2012 2:49:30 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by lightsout2184:


He has had the cowboys it seems almost every other week and has never had a losing week during nfl this year. Not that he can't have one but why don't you point out which ones he is off on. This way you can show us how great you are. 

Nevermind read ur thread and get the sarcasm now lol
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#45
Posted: 12/8/2012 3:25:57 AM
agree %100 
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#46
Posted: 12/8/2012 3:34:22 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Xelorvegas:



love the over the cowboy game niether play a lick of defense.




I normally don't jump in someone else's thread, but I wanted to here.  Not sure where the information came from about the Cowboys and Bengals not playing defense, but the Bengals have stepped up big time the last month on the front line.  They are causing real problems for the other teams offenses. 

Since the Bye they gave up 31 to the Broncos (lots of teams will do that) 13 at SD, 10 at home to OAK, 6 at KC, 13 at home to the Giants. 

The Cowboys have a good (not great) defense, but still can slow BJGE.  Dalton has played good this year, but loses Sanu now (who has been his favorite redzone target the last 3 weeks), and Gresham has an injury that could force him to miss or be limited in this game.

Nothing personal, and maybe the over will hit, but just wanted to share that info with everyone.    Hope you make money this weekend, but be careful with assuming the Bengals and Cowboys don't play D. 
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#47
Posted: 12/8/2012 5:35:11 AM
Like Colin says he doesn't play the teams he plays the numbers. Look at his previous week's picks and just remember that when they were released at the time you would probably have made the same complaint that at least 3/5 seemed to back 'garbage' teams. Ravens and Browns look great here. Balty brings Washington back down to earth and a Cleveland team that's much better than it shows destroys the Chiefs at home. Cleveland is probably my favorite pick of his for this week even at 6.5.

He takes Panthers as they keep games close and Titans as they have enough of an advantage on each side of the lines to keep the game close. He's not taking these guys to win, just to cover.

I understand why so many of you are immediately turned off by picking Dallas anymore. Colin takes the points considering Cincy went four down and then four up with three of the four up being KC, Oak, and SD. He also is clearly on DeMarco Murray's cashews. His prediction of 27-24 seems entirely plausible.

Most of Colin's picks are never going to be safety picks but rather value picks. He understands the game well enough to foresee point differences in the 1-7 margins.
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#48
Posted: 12/8/2012 6:01:58 AM

[Quote: Originally Posted by JayFurley] Like Colin says he doesn't play the teams he plays the numbers. Look at his previous week's picks and just remember that when they were released at the time you would probably have made the same complaint that at least 3/5 seemed to back 'garbage' teams. Ravens and Browns look great here. Balty brings Washington back down to earth and a Cleveland team that's much better than it shows destroys the Chiefs at home. Cleveland is probably my favorite pick of his for this week even at 6.5.

He takes Panthers as they keep games close and Titans as they have enough of an advantage on each side of the lines to keep the game close. He's not taking these guys to win, just to cover.

I understand why so many of you are immediately turned off by picking Dallas anymore. Colin takes the points considering Cincy went four down and then four up with three of the four up being KC, Oak, and SD. He also is clearly on DeMarco Murray's cashews. His prediction of 27-24 seems entirely plausible.

Most of Colin's picks are never going to be safety picks but rather value picks. He understands the game well enough to foresee point differences in the 1-7 margins

100 % ,i was surprise ,but  collin  is  better than  99 %  than us !!!!!

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#49
Posted: 12/8/2012 8:13:26 AM
Has he made a Super Bowl prediction this year?
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#50
Posted: 12/8/2012 2:43:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by nuggins:

NP...

though i am a joke and bet teasers if anyone can get 13 pt-ers just friend/PM me and i'mm give you solid options.

2 have so far and outta 14 options i gave 1 guy they all hit...

just saying... some great spots to gain an edge this weekend..as every weekend.

i don't post my plays directly on covers since i have this mad juju jinx that i lose 9 outta 10 posts ...so i quit

gamblers superstition

BOL 

Sent you a f/r man..I can get those 13 point teasers...
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