*** NFL Sunday Ticket *** Best Play of the Month

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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: *** NFL Sunday Ticket *** Best Play of the Month
LeagueCapper PM LeagueCapper
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Posted: 12/6/2012 7:44:12 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by StoneColdNinja:

bol on all your plays lc 

what are your thoughts on the no/nyg total?

leaning over, i think both offenses will come out firing after a poor offensive showing last week.


Both teams off defensive divisional battles and both with weak secondarys. Should be a high scoring affair
SIMADMAN PM SIMADMAN
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Posted: 12/6/2012 8:35:16 PM
gl lc
RobG PM RobG
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Posted: 12/6/2012 8:38:36 PM
BOL


ddhuynh_82 PM ddhuynh_82
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Posted: 12/7/2012 4:15:02 AM
Hey LC so your 10 unit bet on the Saints is that considered a best of month or year type of play? or are you just bumping up the units to cover some of last weeks losses?

Just wanted see what you are thinking in terms of money management...
Xelorvegas PM Xelorvegas
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Posted: 12/7/2012 11:25:29 AM
LC I love your capping!!
I'm a huge giants fan an will not bet, but if I were if take the points! Because of the following:
Giants are terrible ATS as home favs, 4-13 or something terrible!
Also, I say the advantage goes to Spags te def coach as he know Eli's weaknesses and gilbrides play book! Love the other plays especially Temny!!!
Bol
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StoneColdNinja PM StoneColdNinja
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Posted: 12/7/2012 11:51:41 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

 

Both teams off defensive divisional battles and both with weak secondarys. Should be a high scoring affair

after both their games went under on primetime last week, i figured the linemakers set the total for this game at 53 for a reason. 
LeagueCapper PM LeagueCapper
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Posted: 12/7/2012 12:24:18 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ddhuynh_82:

Hey LC so your 10 unit bet on the Saints is that considered a best of month or year type of play? or are you just bumping up the units to cover some of last weeks losses?

Just wanted see what you are thinking in terms of money management...


All my best plays of the month have been 10 units
LeagueCapper PM LeagueCapper
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Posted: 12/7/2012 12:25:06 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Xelorvegas:

LC I love your capping!!
I'm a huge giants fan an will not bet, but if I were if take the points! Because of the following:
Giants are terrible ATS as home favs, 4-13 or something terrible!
Also, I say the advantage goes to Spags te def coach as he know Eli's weaknesses and gilbrides play book! Love the other plays especially Temny!!!
Bol


Let's hope it turns to 4-14
Kazual12 PM Kazual12
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Posted: 12/7/2012 12:49:32 PM
The Giants should just run the ball almost all day long against this Saints Defense.  I don't know if they will or not because they are so unpredictable....  The Giants lost to the Redskins but did a good job of controlling the clock and keeping time of possession.  I see the Giants being able to score against the Saints unlike their inability to do so against the Skins.  It is hard to fade Brees so I can see why you would take the five point road dog especially with the record Brees holds against the G-men.  Would you consider a money line play considering the information you provided and the amount of units are risking on this game?
jwm5050 PM jwm5050
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Posted: 12/7/2012 12:53:02 PM
Nyg just lost as well to Was, Manning needs a bigger bounce back game than Brees does in this spot. Nyg pass pressure is good, a guy like RG3 negates good pass pressure, Brees gets rid of it quick but pass pressure is effective against him. I like the over and I like the nyg defense matchup against no offense. Give me Nyg & Manning
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Kazual12 PM Kazual12
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Posted: 12/7/2012 1:32:08 PM
good point RG3 is so difficult to contain in that play action pistol form offense.  They are so good at running the option.  Brees is great.  I never take anything away from him but perhaps the Giants defense steps it up and rattles him enough to get a win.  As a fan I would like to see that but I can understand why people would take the five points here.
LeagueCapper PM LeagueCapper
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Posted: 12/7/2012 2:01:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Kazual12:

The Giants should just run the ball almost all day long against this Saints Defense.  I don't know if they will or not because they are so unpredictable....  The Giants lost to the Redskins but did a good job of controlling the clock and keeping time of possession.  I see the Giants being able to score against the Saints unlike their inability to do so against the Skins.  It is hard to fade Brees so I can see why you would take the five point road dog especially with the record Brees holds against the G-men.  Would you consider a money line play considering the information you provided and the amount of units are risking on this game?


Saints are definitely a live dog this weekend, Saints defense has played impressively better the past two weeks then at the beginning of the season. They limited the Falcons to 165 passing yards and a below 60% completion rate and the 49ers to just 17 offensive points. Great value in the Saints ML this weekend
LeagueCapper PM LeagueCapper
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Posted: 12/7/2012 2:05:07 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jwm5050:

Nyg just lost as well to Was, Manning needs a bigger bounce back game than Brees does in this spot. Nyg pass pressure is good, a guy like RG3 negates good pass pressure, Brees gets rid of it quick but pass pressure is effective against him. I like the over and I like the nyg defense matchup against no offense. Give me Nyg & Manning


Drew Brees is 60/100, 864 yards 9 TD 0 INT last 3 games against the Giants.

Brees has the fastest release in the league, slows down the strength of the Giants which is their D-line. Giants are nothing when there D-line has a bad game.
ddhuynh_82 PM ddhuynh_82
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Posted: 12/7/2012 2:18:47 PM
Thx for all your info LC and responses to our questions. Keep up the good work in NFL and NBA :)
idle_havoc PM idle_havoc
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Posted: 12/7/2012 2:56:27 PM
BOL LC
IceMan23 PM IceMan23
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Posted: 12/7/2012 3:21:59 PM
Damn League I think you talked me into Saints ML...I think Drew Brees rebound nicely and Saints ML is looking tasty...

Polish Sausage...Ditka...Saints...


Kazual12 PM Kazual12
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Posted: 12/7/2012 5:17:51 PM
i have noticed that the saints defense has improved.  the giants will win this game if they establish the run and stop settling for so may field goals.  the giants were hurt by penalties against the skins.  prior to they were the least penalized team in the league.  i am not sure if they still are or not.  giants better not hope to win this game in a shootout or they will lose.  time of posession and red zone efficiecy are key.  keep brees on the bench.
McBallin PM McBallin
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Posted: 12/7/2012 5:38:44 PM
So basically you like a bunch of dogs. 
ddc1982 PM ddc1982
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Posted: 12/7/2012 6:13:37 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:



Your looking at it the entirely wrong way. If your an 8-4 team and have the division leader 11-1 Texans next week, your not looking at that game like it's a possible loss so you should try harder this weekend. You want to prove everyone your a contender and that you can beat them. Colts are looking forward to playing the Texans, not the Titans who they've already beat and are 4-8

I am leaning towards colts -4.5.  I actually think they look at this game as a must win in order for them to secure their playoff birth.  We are talking about a colts team that went 2-14 the year before and is now on the verge of locking up a playoff spot.  The Colts are 1 game up on the steelers and bengals.  Losing this game could put them in a tough spot.  By winning this game, they secure their chances at a playoff berth as well as making the match up vs the Texans more meaningful as they then have a slight chance at winning the AFC South division title (they will still need the texans to lose to the vikings in week 16).  

From a statistical stand point, yes the colts have terrible defense but Titans offense is terrible as well.  They scored 2 Tds their last 2 games.  1 Td vs the Texans(who had a banged up secondary.  Texans also gave up 37 Pts to the Jags and 31 pts to the lions the prior 2 weeks) and score 1 TD vs the Jaguars.  A game in which Jake Locker went 23/40 261 Yards 1 Td and 2 picks.  This is verse a Jaguars team which ranks in the bottom 5 in pass defense.  In divisional play the titans have been surrendering 26 ppgs while averaging 14 PPg.  The colts have been surrendering 15ppg while averaging 21PPg.  Keep in mind the titans have played 1 more divisional game and have played the texans twice already. 

I think the colts win this game by a TD or more. 

What ever side your on BOL.  
Skipster PM Skipster
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Posted: 12/7/2012 8:13:42 PM
very nice stuff as always, LeagueCapper.
tonyrome PM tonyrome
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Posted: 12/7/2012 10:46:03 PM
Well LC you know what I think if you read my Saints +5??? post, haha.
Hope I lose this one or better yet Giants win by 1-4 (I bought Saints at 5 on Monday).

tuco PM tuco
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Posted: 12/8/2012 9:43:18 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by McBallin:

So basically you like a bunch of dogs. 


ain't "no thing" is wrong with that.
if you can martingale them (meaning your bank can stay solvent longer than dogs keep taking their beatings) - it's as decent play as any.

it's all about bucks - not hit percentages.

bobafett PM bobafett
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Posted: 12/8/2012 9:49:15 AM
other side NYG.....they just lost a divisional game in primetime....its not impossible for drew brees to have 3 shitty games (its the nfl)....
mugsy2000 PM mugsy2000
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Posted: 12/8/2012 10:26:16 AM
Watch out this weekend. I'm feeling home teams rule ATS.
six5juice PM six5juice
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Posted: 12/8/2012 10:53:43 AM
Would have been easier if you said you were going to be the dogs this week lol
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